Today, I would like to discuss a very interesting topic with you.
With Trump's strong comeback, the "special worship dispute" in the United States has been staged in advance, so there are many people discussing who is more beneficial to us. In fact, both Biden and Trump are very hostile to China, but their China policies are still different, and their impact on China is also different. If we recognize and analyze the logic of the two people, we can better pursue the advantages and avoid the disadvantages, and turn the evil into good fortune.
The establishment Biden hopes to engage China through an alliance strategy, in order to promote the main allies, European countries, to oppose China, and to prevent Europe from taking advantage of the vicious struggle between China and the United States to become self-reliant, after coming to power, he instigated Zelensky to provoke Russia, completely interrupted all possibilities of Russia-EU alliance, and firmly tied EU countries to himself. Everyone should feel that Biden seems to be more rational in the past two years, but the economic lethality to us is even greater than Trump's "indiscriminate beating of the king".
The anti-establishment Trump pursues an isolationist policy externally, while he adopts a policy of containment and decoupling toward China. This product is the first to identify China as the primary adversary, and the main culprit in provoking the confrontation between China and the United States, and the hostility towards China is also the greatest. Trump is determined that the alliance countries will not dare to defect, so he dares to ease relations with Russia, threatening these countries to transfuse blood for the United States, and at the same time being sure that these allies will follow his anti-China cause.
Trump is the most anxious to engage us, has a stronger sense of crisis, and will not hesitate to unite with Russia to oppose China, which has huge uncertainties for us. Biden's strategy is more robust and, therefore, more systematic, and certainly looks more difficult to deal with. Trump likes to exert maximum pressure, and it is easy to lose his grip if he is not careful, which leads to misfire. For China, while neither of them is a good thing, I now think Biden is slightly better. In the past, I actually thought that anti-establishment activists like Trump were better to deal with.
This is because the world has changed over time. At that time, Trump, the conditions for uniting Russia and opposing China actually did not exist, and he did not hesitate to mess up the relationship with his allies to unite with Russia, which is actually beneficial to us, because Russia will never wholeheartedly cooperate with him in anti-China, and the EU will also deviate from him because of this, so that we have more room for operation.
Now, the "United States Rare Sect" has succeeded in inciting confrontation between Europe and Russia, and European countries are bound to be chained to Washington's chariot and have no bargaining chips to bargain with the United States. Even if Trump unscrupulously eases relations with Russia, European countries do not dare to make his backlash on the China issue because of their fear of Russia, which makes the "understanding king" unhappy.
If Trump comes to power, the Russia-Ukraine conflict may end faster, and it will be a high probability event that Ukraine will be abandoned and traded. Of course, the fate of Ukraine was already doomed to a tragic end the moment Ukrainian politicians handed over the fate of the country to the United States and the West. Even without Trump, the patience of the United States and Western societies for the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is basically exhausted. Once the conflict between Russia and Ukraine ends, or the intensity is greatly reduced, the United States, which has withdrawn, will accelerate the transfer of resources to the Asia-Pacific region.
Trump's return to the throne will also make the world, especially the Sino-US relationship, more chaotic and uncertain. With our current strength in China, we are not afraid of our opponents playing system confrontation with us. Washington has an alliance strategy, we have the Belt and Road Initiative; Washington has military alliances, we have an increasingly powerful PLA, not to mention a Russia that can pin down NATO. In short, we can cover up Biden, and Trump is easy to miscalculate.
Iron also needs to be hard! No matter who of the two old men comes to power, we are actually not too timid, and our own strength is there. At the core of our competition with the United States is the competition of internal governance. As long as we resolve internal contradictions more effectively than the United States, even if Washington can mobilize all the forces it can muster, it will not be able to do anything about it, and this is the confidence and self-confidence of a great power. The United States and the Western bloc can't even deal with Russia, so what can they do with us China?