Text: Brother Flower Cat.
In the past few days, the melons of the American Civil War are getting bigger and bigger.
First, there was an armed standoff between the National Guard and the Department of Homeland Security's Border Patrol in Texas over immigration.
The Texas governor then invoked Article 10, Section 3, Section 1 of the U.S. Constitution to "declare martial law and take action without regard to the federal **."
This is in fact the equivalent of putting Texas in a state of war with the Federation, as the Democrats call it"Lone Star**
Then one stone stirred up a thousand waves, and various forces began to speak out.
First, Trump announced his support for Texas and called on states to send troops to support.
Then Musk left a message under the Texas governor's tweet expressing his support.
Soon after, the governors of 25 states (mostly Republican-controlled) signed a declaration in support of Texas in various forms and sent volunteers to Texas.
With this support, the governor of Texas has been able to expel the U.S. federal Border Patrol and begin to rearrange the barbed wire fence to deport illegal immigrants.
Biden, on the other hand, sees Texas' actions as an insurgency and threatens to take "military measures", and if Biden really has the courage to do so, the American Civil War is on the verge of war.
So, what's going on here? What is the undercurrent behind it?
The ins and outs of the Texas solo incident
Before we get into that, let's first learn a little about Texas.
Texas is the second largest state in the United States, with a population of 30 million, accounting for about 1 10 of the population of the United States, with a developed economy and the second largest annual GDP in the country, second only to California.
Fifty-seven of the Fortune 500 companies are located in Texas, so Texas, along with New York and California, has always been known as the Big Three of the American economy.
But what? This place is a bit special.
Most of the states of the United States were conquered, but Texas was originally part of Mexico.
It was only after the Mexican-American War that Mexico declined, and in 1836, Texas became independent with the support of the United States, establishing the "Republic of Texas", the famous"Lone Star Republic".
Later, lured by the United States, Texas joined the United States in 1845.
However, at the time of accession, the two sides had a reservation clause, and the Texas constitution made it clear that Texas had the right to "independence from the United States".
To put it simply,We can get by, but if we can't, or if I'm not happy, I can go out independently.
Sure enough, Texas declared independence again in February 1861 and did not rejoin the United States until the end of the American Civil War in 1870.
Therefore, Texas is very special in the United States, for example, Texas has its own state flag, and it can be raised to the same height as the American flag.
Within Texas, there are also many Texans who have the old dream of independence, believing that Texas was forced to join the United States and that Texas should regain independence, but this wave of people has little power.
However, in recent years, some practices in the United States have made Texans more and more dissatisfied.
For example, because of its developed economy, Texas has contributed a huge amount of tax revenue and wealth to the United States, but has not received commensurate returns and support.
Every year, Texas injects about $400 billion in tax revenue into the federal government, but only gets about $200 billion in spending, isn't that the equivalent of Texans paying to support other backward states?
If it becomes independent, won't all this money be used for Texans?
Another example is the serious problem of illegal immigration.
Because Texas is next to Mexico (and itself is independent of Mexico), the long border makes it easy for illegal immigrants to cross the border and make their way to Texas.
In the border town of Del Río, for example, sometimes in a month, 10,000 people can flock in.
These people have no place to live, and they have been "camped" under the cross-border bridge for a long time, and whether it is environmental problems or public security problems, they have brought a lot of trouble to Texans.
Therefore, after Trump ordered the wall to be repaired, Texas was the most active, and the wall was repaired after dividing it by two.
But after Biden came to power, the situation was different.
Not only is Biden no longer aggressive in his treatment of illegal immigrants, but he has introduced a new immigration bill: the American Citizenship Act of 2021.
Among them is one thing:Provide a pathway to citizenship for at least 11 million illegal immigrants in the United States!
This bill was interpreted by many people as "amnesty for the world", so South Americans ran to the United States like crazy, and the Texas police couldn't even stop it.
From 2021 to the present alone, there have been as many as 8 million illegal immigrants entering the United States, half of whom are in Texas!
And millions more are on their way to the United States!
Who can stand this!
Texas is already conservative and strong, and the Republican Party controls all key political institutions from the governor to the House of Representatives, and Biden is at odds with each other.
So Texas ignored Biden's immigration policy and began to block illegal immigration.
They first laid out a lot of barbed wire with blades on the border, and if you crawl over, you will get cuts.
But it was found that the effect was not good, and for those who walked the line to the United States, there was no way back, even if they were cut, they had to move forward.
Then Texas saw that it couldn't do it, and began to transport illegal immigrants to the Democratic-controlled states by plane and bus, which means that you will take care of the people you invite in.
This kind of "throwing off the burden" has also triggered a war of words between localities.
But this method is too costly and inefficient, and in the face of millions of illegal immigrants, they have to be sent to the Year of the Monkey?
So Texas learned from the pain and let the legislature introduce a bill once and for all:SB4.
The bill defines any "entry into the United States from a stretch between two border checkpoints" as illegal immigration and gives state police broad inspection powers.
Illegal immigration is defined as a Class B misdemeanor in the state and carries a maximum sentence of six months in prison. Repeat offenders can face a second-degree felony punishable by up to 20 years in prison.
SB4 also asks a state judge to deport illegal immigrants to Mexico if convicted.
To put it bluntly, SB4 is to directly cut off the entry of illegal immigrants within the legal framework, and as for whether illegal immigrants will come from other states (such as New Mexico), then Texans don't care.
But unexpectedly, this bill provoked Biden.
A White House spokesman warned of "very extreme consequences" for SB4 and demanded that it be snapped as soon as possible.
But Texas not only did not cancel it, but Abbott signed it directly into effect!
To say that this Abbott is also a head iron, he is a lawyer-turned, not only a die-hard fan of Trump, but also the most troublesome figure in the Democratic Party.
When he was Texas attorney general, he sued Obama almost every day for being unconstitutional.
After becoming governor, Abbott also raised the bar with Biden every day, pulling the blade barbed wire and throwing the burden with the bus.
Originally, Biden had sent the federal ** Border Patrol to cut these barbed wires, but Abbott gave full play to his lawyer expertise and appealed to the Supreme Court, winning the lawsuit and freezing the Border Patrol's power to cut barbed wire.
When Biden saw it, did you think you would go to court? Me too!
So he arranged for the U.S. Department of Justice to sue Texas to the Supreme Court, saying that the SB4 bill was unconstitutional.
This time, the U.S. Department of Justice said in the lawsuit, "States cannot pass immigration laws that interfere with congressional enactment." The Department of Justice will continue to fulfill its responsibility to uphold the Constitution and enforce federal laws. SB4 must be prohibited".
The result? Although the Supreme Court did not rule that SB4 was unconstitutional, it approved a request from the White House by a vote of 5 to 4
Allow Border Patrol to remove part of the barbed wire fence along the Texas border that is used to deter illegal immigration.
Then Biden happily sent the Border Patrol to tear down the barbed wire.
As a result, before the barbed wire fence could be dismantled, it was blocked by the Texas National Guard.
Although the National Guard of the United States is somewhat like China's reserve forces, institutionally speaking, the command is in the state** and not in the federal**.
Some of the writings even translate directly as "state soldiers," and their commander is the lieutenant governor of the state in charge of the National Guard.
In this way, it is de facto formed"Armed confrontation" between the state armed forces and the federal armed forces, which is a very serious incident politically.
Abbott then signed an order declaring martial law in Texas.
This martial law is based on Article 1, Section 10, Paragraph 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which reads:
If a state is invaded, it has the right to enter a state of martial law and act without regard to Congress or **.
But the problem is that this intrusion subject is not clearly defined.
That is, if the armed forces of the federal ** enter the territory of the state without the consent of the state, it is also considered an "invasion", then the state has the right to take action.
To put it bluntly, this is a bug, Abbott can't win the lawsuit, so he uses legal loopholes to indirectly achieve his goals, which is worthy of his lawyer's background.
After martial law, the Texas National Guard began Operation Lone Star.
On the one hand, the confrontation with the Border Patrol continues, and on the other hand, more barbed wire is laid in response to the Supreme Court's decision.
Biden directly issued an ultimatum, requiring Texas to comply with the court decision within 24 hours and transfer border patrol powers to the federal **, otherwise it will face "serious consequences".
Originally, this matter was only a matter for Texas and the federal **, but soon, things began to expand.
Trump jumped out first and called on all governors to send troops to support Texas and deploy more troops to the Texas border.
Immediately afterward, the governors of Oklahoma and Florida said they were ready to send troops to support Texas.
More states have expressed solidarity with Texas and are currently supporting TexasThere are 25 states in total, and there are 26 states in total.
How many states are there in the United States?
50, that is, more than half of the states rose up in rebellion.
What can Biden do?
Do you have to force most states to rebel?
So,After 24 hours passed, Biden quietly coaxed.
Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which manages the Federal Border Patrol, has said that the Federal Border Patrol no longer intends to remove barbed wire fences installed in parts of the U.S.-Mexico border in Texas.
The Border Patrol** also said they would not carry out Biden's orders and would not arrest fighters from the Texas National Guard.
It seems that Texas won this hard-fought stud game.
The intrinsic reason for the Texas operation
On the surface, this confrontation between Texas and the federal ** is because there are too many illegal immigrants and Texas can't stand it, but in fact, there are deep-seated reasons.
The first is a Republican sabotage of Biden's illegal immigration vote base.
What many people don't understand is that since it is an illegal immigrant, it should be deported, why is Texas deported, but Biden is against it?
In fact, Biden has a big plan to allow illegal immigrants to enter the country.
Biden is well aware that the biggest challenge facing American society today is ideology, and the gap between the left and the right is becoming increasingly unbridgeable.
Therefore, Biden's line is to stick to the basics while engaging in ethnic politics and try to get the votes of those ethnic groups in the middle.
Why did Biden vigorously promote the "Black Lives Matter" campaign in 2020, and even Biden and Pelosi had to kneel down to black people? Isn't it just trying to win the votes of black people?
Why did Biden choose Harris, a woman + minority, as his deputy? It is also to win the votes of female voters and minorities.
The huge number of illegal immigrants in the United States is also one of Biden's goals, as early as the Trump era, the Democratic Party secretly implemented a plan to give illegal immigrants driver's licenses in many states.
You know, there is no ID card in the United States, and when many states vote for **, as long as you have a driver's license, you can vote!
Biden also promised to change Trump's draconian immigration policies and reunite families of illegal immigrants.
This tickles the itch of illegal immigrants, and many illegal immigrants not only want to immigrate themselves, but also want to bring their families who remain in their hometowns to pursue the American dream together.
One is "white supremacy" and very immigration-friendly Trump, and the other is immigrant-friendly Biden, who is immigrant-friendly and hopes to give his whole family an American identity, and it goes without saying who illegal immigrants who can vote for.
So Biden won**.
But it's not enough for Biden to win once, and he wants to continue to win.
Why did Biden introduce an immigration bill covering 11 million people on his first day in office, giving back to those illegal immigrants who voted for him.
According to this bill, starting from January 1, 2021, all immigrants who have passed a background check and meet other basic requirements such as paying taxes and reside illegally in the United States can obtain temporary legal residence status and apply for a "green card" after 5 years, and after another 3 years, they can apply to become a U.S. citizen and get a "green card".
For some special illegal immigrants, such as "dream students" (illegal immigrants who arrived in the United States before the age of 16, lived in the United States since June 2007, and were under the age of 31 as of June 15, 2012), they can directly obtain U.S. status within three years.
I have to say,The deadline set by Biden is too vicious.
The first is the five-year period, Biden 2024**, so he set a five-year period in 2021.
Using the carrot of obtaining "temporary legal residence status" in five years to lure you in front is equivalent to binding the votes of these illegal immigrants who want to obtain status directly to the Democratic Party in advance.
This is followed by the 5+3 deadline, which also paves the way for the Democrats to gain an advantage in 2028**.
As for the special illegal immigrants (dream students) who got a green card in 3 years, and want to bring their families to the United States, they must also vote for the Democratic Party honestly in 2024.
These people are not naturalized for a day, and every day they worry about whether Trump will make a comeback and make their American dream come to naught, and the only option is to be firmly tied to the chariot of the Democratic Party.
The Republican Party sees Biden's plot clearly, so it must be undermined.
Previously, the Republican Party in the United States has repeatedly criticized Biden's immigration policy, accusing Biden of ineffective response to the border crisis and demanding that he take more measures to prevent migrants from entering the United States.
At the same time, Republicans linked the issue to aid to Ukraine, saying that if Biden did not carry out extensive reform of the U.S. immigration system, it would not provide additional money to Ukraine.
But it didn't work, illegal immigrants continued to pour in.
So the Republican Party simply came to the bottom of the kettle to draw salaries, and the illegal immigrants in the country can't be controlled now, so I'll cut off the channels for new illegal immigrants first!
So there was a dispute between Texas and the federal**.
The second is the general rebellion of traditional white Americans against the illegal immigrant community in order to uphold the values of WASP.
Many people are a little strange, Americans are originally a nation of immigrants, why are they so unfriendly to new immigrants?
In fact, the United States is indeed the descendants of immigrants, but most of these immigrants are English, Irish, German, Dutch, and so on from Europe.
In the fusion of the 17th century, because of the same skin color, common beliefs, similar cultures, the first national identities were created.
Academically, they were given an abbreviation: WASP (White Anglo-Saxon Protestant), which refers to Protestant European-Americans in general.
But as immigrants continue to pour into the United States, the U.S. demographics have changed.
Analysis of Census data shows that there are currently 61 million immigrants and their children born in the United States, a record number of themA quarter of them are illegal immigrants!
The vast majority of these immigrants come from Latin America, after all, it is easiest for them to get to the United States, just cross the border river.
Most of these Latinos are Catholics, they value family, and one person goes to the United States, and slowly one family runs over.
In addition, Latinos are especially able to have children, with an average of 6 children, ranking first in the United States, and are already the fastest-growing ethnic group in the United States.
This phenomenon has almost directly changed the demographics of the United States, leading to a record decline in the white population.
from 63 in 20107% to 57 in 20208%，Ten years down by 57%。
If this trend continues, the next census will probably be below 50 percent of whites.
That's a bit of a hassle.
On the one hand, the Catholic values of these Latino immigrants are unable to integrate into predominantly Protestant American society, and they often choose to cling together.
Over time, many Catholic neighborhoods were built in the United States, squeezing out Protestant whites and making traditional whites feel like a minority.
On the other hand, illegal immigration also poses a huge social problem.
While most illegal immigrants are just poor people who want to make a living, there are definitely a lot of drug dealers and other vicious criminals mixed in, after all, in Latin America, drugs and ** are as common as oxygen.
Therefore, many illegal immigrants in the United States are engaged in the work of drug dealers, some people are engaged in drug trafficking, and more people bring a small amount of drugs into the United States to pay the commission of the snakehead group.
You see, many of the criminal characters in American movies are Latino illegal immigrants, either gangsters or drug dealers.
In this way, it is very unfriendly to the white people of the American WASP, especially the white people at the bottom.
The job has to face the competition of these illegal immigrants (illegal immigrants ** low), the national welfare will also be diluted by these illegal immigrants, the children's schools will be occupied by the children of illegal immigrants, the surrounding housing prices will be ** because of the number of illegal immigrants, even if you go out for a stroll at night, you will be robbed by illegal immigrants!
The white people at the bottom, represented by the red necks, are angry with illegal immigrants and almost overwhelmingly support Trump.
Why is Texas the most loyal to Trump?
Texas Red Neck even dares to break through Capitol Hill?
It is because they are the people who have been the worst victims of illegal immigration.
WASP whites now know very well that Biden has personally created a huge, politically demanding interest group for the United States for the sake of his votes, which may shake the national capital of the United States.
So it must be destroyed before this interest group is formed!
Do you think Texas is just targeting new illegal immigrants this time?
No, Texas and Trump deliberately made such a big fuss, even to the point of a civil war, in order to break the information cocoon of the Democratic Party and awaken the attention of white groups in various states of the country to the threat of illegal immigration, which is fundamental.
The third is a muscle-flashing activity that Trump did before **.
Many people think that if Texas really fights with the Union, it will definitely be a disaster.
In this case, why does Trump, as the next candidate for the United States, still watch his people encounter the flames of war?
Actually, Trump didn't really want to fight, he just wanted to show his muscles to the Democrats (and even all Americans).
We have seen that in recent years, the Democratic Party's encirclement and suppression of Trump has almost unanimous.
First came the Capitol Hill investigation, then the Trump tax evasion investigation, then Trump's ** and campaign funds misappropriation gate, and then Trump's illegal possession of classified documents.
Later, he was charged with fraud and sent Trump to jail, and recently banned Trump from running in several states.
What do you mean by these practices?
There is a sense that if you can't kill Trump, you will kill Trump.
No matter how powerful Trump is, in the face of the blow of the state apparatus, to be honest, it is quite embarrassing, although it has not brought any substantial damage, but it is very effective in hitting the momentum of the Trump camp.
A significant portion of Trump's supporters believe that if Trump continues to run, he will be hit harder.
It cannot be ruled out that the Democratic Party will make some "off-the-market moves" when it is about to be the first time, which will cut off Trump's election path, and then it will affect the overall election results of the Republican Party.
Instead of this, it is better to change someone in advance, so that the chances of winning are better.
For this situation, Trump must prove it to the outside world:
Biden's conspiracy can't hit me! I'm still here! I still have the big picture!
Therefore, Trump called for a call, and 25 states responded en masse, who else in the United States has such a strong appeal? Who else can replace Trump?
Presumably, the hesitant Sichuan fans, seeing that their boss has such great prestige, must take a firm stand and follow Trump to continue to smash the Democratic Party.
At the same time, Trump also declared to the "deep **" behind the Democratic Party, you don't do moths, if you do, I will plunge the United States into a civil war.
Texas is a big economic state, and there are also your interests in it (especially the military industrial group), and when the time comes, the jade will be burned, but it will not look good!
So this incident seems to be a win for Texas, but in fact Trump wins.
Fourth, another attempt by Texas Republicans to stoke populism.
As mentioned earlier, Texans have always had a certain separatist force due to historical reasons.
Later, as the struggle between the two parties intensified, the separatist forces began to merge with the Republican Party. Some local Republican candidates have campaigned under the slogans "Take Back Texas" and "Texas First."
This is just the Texas version of Trump's slogans such as "Take Back America" and "America First."
To put it simply, as long as the Republicans are in office, the separatist forces will be more honest, and as long as the Democrats are in office, then the separatist movement will be more violent.
For example, as soon as Biden's Democratic Party came to power in 2020, the separatist force "Texas Nationalist Movement" announced that it would establish an independent state.
Their slogan and proposition was "to ensure and protect the political, cultural and economic independence of the nation of Texas, and to restore and protect the Constitution of the Republic of Texas and the inherent rights of the people of Texas." ”
In June 2022, Republicans in Texas even passed a resolution on independence at the state convention (not the state legislature).
The resolution declares that the Confederation has undermined our right to local self-government.
Therefore, federal enabling legislation that violates Texas' 10th Amendment related rights should be ignored, opposed, rejected, and repealed, and Texas reserves the right to secede from the United States.
The resolution also calls on the Texas legislature to allow a statewide referendum in 2023 to decide whether the state should secede from the United States and become an independent country.
But what? Until the end of 2023, there was no referendum in Texas.
Why? Because such a thing as a referendum is nuclear, it can be shouted as a deterrent to scare the Democratic Party, but it can't really be done, because once it is done, there is no turning back.
Biden also understands it, you are just having fun, anyway, if you are really independent, I really dare to cite the US Constitution to suppress it.
So now Texas has changed its approach, not to make trouble for independence, but to quote the U.S. Constitution and use the model of martial law in the state to sabotage Biden's plan, even if Biden is annoyed, he can only stare dryly.
How will things end?
Many people compare this incident to the American Civil War.
From the perspective of internal roots, the two things are still relatively similar, because the economic foundations of the two sides are completely like fire and water.
Why did the United States fight the Civil War back then?
The South was dominated by a plantation economy, with a large amount of raw materials, and a large number of black slaves, which were sold to Europe, and the slaves were kept on the plantations.
Because of the weak industrial base, many goods have to be imported from Europe, so low tariffs are advocated.
The North, on the other hand, is dominated by an industrial economy, which wants cheap raw materials, labor, and high tariffs to hit European industrial goods.
You see, the demands of these two groups of people cannot be reconciled at all, and they quarrel in Congress every day.
In the end, after Lincoln was elected as the first in the North, he introduced a series of tariff policies in favor of the North, which annoyed the South, and finally the South withdrew from the group, and the Civil War broke out.
Originally, the North did not fight well, but the North would open up, issue a declaration to emancipate blacks, liberate a large number of blacks as soldiers, and as a result, overturned the South.
What now? The situation is similar.
The financial capitalists in the west want globalization (excluding China's globalization), they need to maintain economic relations with other countries with low tariffs, and use the tide of the dollar to harvest the whole world.
Some of the low-level whites in the South and Central, whose jobs have been shattered by the cheap products brought about by globalization, and who have lost their livelihoods, want high tariffs and protect their own industries.
That's why the bottom white people are desperately supporting Trump, because in their view, only Trump can change everything and lead them back to the best of America's best times, which is MAGA.
But the problem is that the Democrats are hanging up again!
Illegal immigrant!
Originally, the white people at the bottom felt that they could achieve their goals by relying on the votes in their hands and send the ** they wanted to the throne.
But now as soon as the Democratic Party opens up illegal immigration, the white people at the bottom find that even if they launch a family vote, they can't vote for those Latino illegal immigrants with seven or eight children!
Life is hard enough, the Democratic Party has taken away the jobs that belong to the bottom whites, and the security of the bottom whites, and now they have to take away even the opportunity to vote to realize their demands, is it tolerable, which is unbearable!
So, not to mention Texas making an effort to become independent, the voices of other states to become independent are starting to get louder and louder!
In 2020, a US think tank conducted a survey and found that as many as two-thirds of Republican supporters in the South of the United States were in favor of secession from the Union.
In another September 2021 survey, more than half of Trump supporters wanted red states to secede from the Union.
This is the current United States, which has become more and more torn, and perhaps, the United States is walking on the road of the past.
However, although the tear is very strong, it may still be a long way from the civil war.
Because neither the Republicans nor the Democrats dare to fight.
Even if Biden really gave the order, it is difficult to say whether the executing troops dare to shoot or not, after all, no one wants to be cannon fodder in political struggles.
In the final analysis, this Texas "civil war" incident is nothing more than Republicans taking advantage of the anger of the white people at the bottom to win sympathy, get votes, and scold Biden on the topic of immigration.
There is a high probability that Biden will only suffer a dumb loss this time, and he can only wear small shoes for these disobedient states from other angles.
For example, Biden suspended the approval of new LNG exports, although it seems to have nothing to do with Texas's **, but everyone knows that one of Texas' main businesses is natural gas exports, and it is obvious that Biden is using off-market tricks to force Texas to comply.
But the problem is that Texas' nature is for Europe, and if it is really broken, doesn't that force Europeans to go to Russia?
So it's hard for Biden, but he will definitely continue to act in private, whether it is to put forward conditions or make compromises, and Texas will not really go to the point of civil war.
Although there is a high probability that this incident will not be resolved, it has also exposed the internal rift in the United States.
Now the topic of immigration between the two factions in the United States has reached the point of turning against each other, and it only takes one spark to completely detonate.
Perhaps, the closer we get, the more extreme events like this will be, let's wait and see.