On February 20, the Chinese version of the "2024 Quantum Computing Industry Development Outlook" report was released through the official platform of Photonic Box, and the English version of the report was released through the official platform of ICV.
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Over the past year, PhotoBox has witnessed many advances and breakthroughs in the field of global quantum computing, which are leading humanity into an unprecedented era of computing.
As the annual product of Photonic Box, the annual report provides comprehensive, comprehensive and insightful views for policymakers, researchers, and business people in the quantum industry.
In 2023, it will continue to develop in a variety of technical routes such as superconductivity, ion traps, photons, neutral atoms, and semiconductorsIn terms of mass hyper-convergence, the combination of large models and quantum computing, and quantum computer swarms, many significant progress events have occurred. The quantum computing cloud platform is also becoming more and more mature, gradually reducing the threshold and cost of quantum computing, and providing users with more convenient services. This advancement will enable more industries and fields to take full advantage of the power of quantum computing, driving the expansion of its application scope and impact.
This report was prepared in collaboration with the ICV research team and the QuantumChina research teamIt is designed to ensure the accuracy of the information and the reasonableness of the analysis.
We hope that our report can contribute to the development of the industry. However, due to limitations in knowledge and perspective, there may be errors or deficiencies in the reportWe sincerely welcome and appreciate any form of criticism and suggestions
Standing at this moment full of challenges and opportunities, we are still full of confidence and expectation for the development of the quantum computing industry in 2024. Let's work together to witness the vigorous development of the quantum computing industry.
As a Chinese partner of ICV, Photonic Box would like to thank China Telecom Quantum Group, Spin Technology, Origin Quantum, Huayi Quantum, Guodun Quantum, Qike Quantum, Micro Era, Zhileng Low Temperature, CSSC Pengli, Zhongwei Marsh and Zhongke Cool Origin for their support.
Highlights:ยท Summary
A 100-page report on the quantum computing industry, showing the outline and style of global quantum computing development in 2023;
With the development of quantum computing industrialization, the 2024 edition of the report is increasingly shifting the focus from academic research to industry
Expand the scale of the industry, and appropriately adjust the industrial calculation model according to the current technological progress;
Eight perspectives were proposed, involving international competition and cooperation, industrial ecological construction, technology trends, industry standards and barriers, etc.
The ecological overview map of the global quantum computing industry, the distribution map of the global quantum computing cloud platform, the comparison chart of quantum algorithms and software, etc., are presented richly, which is easy for readers to understand the quantum computing industry visually;
The first Chinese and English versions of the report were released on the same day, bringing the latest report information to Chinese readers as soon as possible.
According to the report, the quantum computing industry will enter a rapid growth cycle. With the continuous upgrading of quantum computer hardware and the continuous optimization of algorithms, more software and hardware companies will devote themselves to the field of quantum computing and promote the wide application of quantum computing in different industries.
Quantum computing will play a leading role in finance, healthcare, materials science and other fields, bringing disruptive innovation to downstream industries. At the same time, cooperation and competition in the industrial chain will also become more intense, and investment and innovation, as well as huge market demand, will become the key driving force to promote the industry forward. ** and enterprises will also work together to increase R&D investment to strive for a competitive advantage in the field of global quantum computing.
With the rapid development of science and technology, quantum computing has moved from theory to practice, indicating that a revolution in computing power is coming.
At this turning point, Photonics Box is honored to jointly release the annual series of reports with ICV - "2024 Quantum Computing Industry Development Outlook"., which aims to take you through the latest advances and future trends in the field of quantum computing.
Technology giants such as IBM, Google, and Nvidia, as well as quantum computing companies such as Quantinuum, Huayi Quantum, and Q-CTRL, are focusing on the development of their fields, and the technology of global quantum computing will continue to climb in 2023. The trend of mass hyper-convergence is more obvious, and international telecom giants are gradually paying attention to and joining the layout of quantum computing power.
According to the evaluation criteria of technological innovation, practical benefits, and scientific research leadership, the report selects the ten most important advances in the field of quantum computing in 2023, including the first successful application, effective experimental verification, novel architecture design, parameter maximum, practical utility improvement, number and influence of the solution, and whether there are major scientific breakthroughs and extensive reports. The overall progress is displayed in two general directions: quantum computing chips and software algorithm cloud platforms
In 2023, there will be many events of the integration of quantum computing and supercomputing around the world, and the quantitative hyperconvergence has shifted from theory to preliminary practice, and has also shown a trend of deepening development. Quantitative hyper-convergence mainly relies on the cloud platform to provide computing power to the outside world, which has become a supplement to a new form of computing in the supercomputing center, providing diverse, flexible and efficient computing resources, providing more powerful computing power for different industries, and exploring the potential value of quantum computing more extensively.
At present, the integration of quantum computing and supercomputing still faces challenges such as hardware stability and algorithm optimization, and the realization of quantum supercomputing needs to be tried and explored in multiple dimensions, including compatibility and integration (interface design, system integration), software and algorithms (quantum programming languages and tools, algorithm adaptation and optimization), resource management and scheduling, etc.
With the evolution of technology and the deepening of international cooperation,The integration of quantum computing into the supercomputing system will be an inevitable step
The layout of global telecom operators in the field of quantum computing shows a trend of cross-border cooperation, openness and sharing, and strives to maintain a leading position in the future technology competition. At present, global telecom operators are building a quantum computing ecosystem to promote the active participation of practitioners and enthusiasts in the quantum field by opening up cloud platforms and attracting enthusiasts to participate.
This openness and ecosystem building will help promote the further development of the entire quantum computing field, and it also indicates that quantum computing technology is expected to play an increasingly important role in the field of telecommunications, bringing new breakthroughs in network performance and communication security.
Quantum circuits have three common metrics: circuit size, circuit depth, and number of qubits. Among them, the size of the circuit corresponds to the "number of quantum gates in the quantum circuit", the circuit depth corresponds to the "parallel operation time of the quantum circuit", and the number of qubits corresponds to the "space cost of the quantum circuit". These three are generally not optimal at the same time, especially since depth (time) and number of bits (space) are often trade-offs.
For the first time, the annual ICV map the development trend of quantum computing over the next decade
In the 2024 edition of the annual report, the industrial ecology overview chart has been further updated, with modules subdivided and enterprise logos added. Due to the limited layout, it is not possible to present all corporate logos. However, we still strive to provide our readers with the most up-to-date portrait of the industry.
We update the industrial ecological map in a timely manner, on the one hand, to help readers feel the development of the quantum industry more intuitively; On the other hand, it can also provide a broader perspective for people with lofty ideals and research explorers to understand the quantum industry from a macro perspective. Although venture capital investment in 2023 is lower than in the previous three years, this is mainly due to macroeconomic impactsHowever, there has been a shift in financing from a preference for hardware to software investmentFinancing companies are also distributed in more countries and more technical fields
ICV counts the financing of the world's major quantum computing companies from 2018 to 2023, involving 19 countries, 59 quantum computing hardware companies, and 39 quantum computing software companies, with a total of 230 financings.
In terms of the total financing scale, the United States is ranked at 579The total financing scale of 4M dollars ranks first, far exceeding that of other countries and regions. This shows the enthusiasm and strength of the U.S. investment in the field of quantum computing, as well as its leading position in quantum computing technology and market. Despite the fact that China's 60The total financing scale of 6M US dollars is among the highest among Asian countries, but there is still an order of magnitude gap compared with the United States, indicating that there is still a lot of room for improvement in the scale and level of China's investment in the field of quantum computing.
ICV continues to believe that late 2027 to early 2028 will be an important time point for the whole industryDedicated quantum computers will progressively solve specific problems such as combinatorial optimization, quantum chemistry, machine learning, and guide materials design and drug development.
Compared to last year, there are two main reasons for the upward revision of the quantum computing market size in this report. First of all, referring to IBM's latest technology roadmap, it is expected that by 2028, the number of quantum gates and computing technologies such as error correction will reach a relatively mature stage, laying a solid foundation for practical commercial applications.
Secondly, with the continuous evolution of quantum computing technology and the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and other fields, the application boundaries of quantum computing have been continuously expanded, making the commercial potential of quantum computing more extensive and far-reaching.
The power of the swarm: The fleet technology will break through the bottleneck of quantum computer performance, representing a new stage of technological progress and performance improvement.
A new era of cloud enlightenmentThe development of cloud platforms is helping quantum computing continue to expand its influence and application boundaries, making quantum computing technology more accessible and accessible.
Mass hyper-convergenceThe convergence of classical supercomputers and quantum computing has shown great potential in the field of artificial intelligence, opening up new paths for future applications.
Tend to be rational: The quantum computing industry is entering a stage of rational development, which means that the market and technological development are maturing, providing a stable environment for long-term investment and research.
Policy guidanceThe support for quantum computing technology has been continuously strengthened, providing a solid backing for technological innovation and industrial development, and promoting the rapid development of the global quantum computing field.
Deepen cooperationThe global Quantum Alliance has created a new situation of in-depth research and cooperation, creating more opportunities for cooperation in the development and application of quantum computing technology.
Ecological barriersThe quantum cloud platform will accelerate the construction of the industrial ecology and form the ecological barriers of enterprises and the best industry standards.
Three-leggedThe United States, China, and Europe have each shown their abilities in the field of global quantum computing, and international competition is constantly fierce.
In the three-legged situation, the United States has obvious advantages in the quantum computing industry chain, ** attaches great importance to quantum computing and strong support to promote the growth of the number of enterprises, including various types of enterprises, including IBM, Google, Microsoft, Amazon and other representative enterprises.
The United States has maintained a leading position in many fields such as superconductivity, ion trapping, and optical quantum, and its scientific research innovation and cooperation are active, and its technical level and leading ability are at the forefront of the world.
And China is rising rapidly in the field of quantum computingIn recent years, China has achieved significant advantages in optical quantum computers and other aspects, and its technological level and challenge ability have improved rapidly - however, in the context of increasing competition between China and the United States, especially in quantum chips and ultra-low temperature equipment, China still has a large gap compared with the United States.
In this emerging track with abstract concepts and far-reaching influence, can China catch up with it under the premise of backward advantages? How will the pattern of the world's quantum industry change drastically? Through the in-depth exploration report, I believe you will also have your own opinions, and everyone is welcome to actively discuss.
Finally, we believe that the future of quantum computing belongs not only to scientists and engineers, but also to everyone who cares about technological development and industry innovation. Whether you're a business decision-maker, a technology researcher, or a casual reader curious about the future of technology, the 2024 Quantum Computing Industry Outlook will provide you with valuable insights and inspiration.
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