Break 4 into 3 ! The sharp drop in egg prices is only the beginning , and the center of gravity ma

Mondo Health Updated on 2024-02-16

The Spring Festival is approaching, and the meat products in the domestic agricultural and sideline products market are obvious. Pork, beef, and lamb are all on the rise, while eggs are declining significantly. At present, the national average egg wholesale ** is 961 yuan kg, down 1% from yesterday. According to the situation in the Xinfadi market, the box of eggs in the wholesale market is ** in 425 to 436 yuan between catties. According to the analysis of the institution, the average ** of eggs in the production area is 393 yuan catty, the average ** of eggs in the market in the sales area is 389 yuan jin, a decrease of 011 to 023 yuan catty. In particular, the production area ** compared to 557 yuan Jin dropped by nearly 3 percent. At present, eggs are showing a downward trend.

According to the data, on the one hand, approaching the Spring Festival, the stocking demand of the downstream market has basically ended, and food companies have also taken holidays. The egg market is mainly based on household consumption, but residents do not have a high attitude towards egg hoarding, so terminal egg sales have slowed down. Especially with the return of migrant workers, the support of urban consumption is insufficient, and the decline of eggs in the market is more obvious. On the other hand, domestic eggs** are relatively sufficient. In the second half of last year, farmers began to increase the number of laying hens month by month, and the number of laying hens is now more than 12100 million. In addition, the cost of feed support weakened, farmers have a slight willingness to actively carry goods, and the egg inventory in each link also has a certain pressure, and the reception of the first business is relatively weak, and the situation of oversupply is more obvious. Therefore, the comprehensive market before the Spring Festival long and short adjustment, eggs ** to landslide **. Now that the Spring Festival is approaching, the market is gradually deserted, and the market is gradually stabilizing. However, the price of eggs has "broken 4 into 3", *cumulative** nearly 3 percent, but this may be just the beginning, and eggs will continue to decline further after the year.

According to the analysis of the agency, according to the sales data of chicks and the calculation of the age of the phased old chickens, the domestic laying hen inventory is expected to reach 12 this month3.5 billion, an increase of 082%。Therefore, after the Spring Festival, egg production is still at a high level, and the number of newly raised eggs exceeds the number of old chickens eliminated. Especially after the year, meat and poultry meat consumption enters the off-season, and farmers carefully eliminate old chickens, which will make eggs relatively relaxed. On the demand side, affected by the Spring Festival holiday, the purchase and sale of eggs in the producing areas have stagnated, and the inventory level in the producing areas has increased. After the Spring Festival, consumer demand weakened, the terminal market was mainly based on clearing inventory, and the receiving efforts of merchants were not high, so the number of eggs will continue to increase. So, considering the increase and decrease in demand, eggs may be further revised down after the year. In addition, the downward trend in eggs was further exacerbated by the fact that corn and soybean meal** were at a low level due to reduced feed costs, and the impact of costs on egg prices was smaller. However, it should be noted that after the Spring Festival, with the arrival of nodes such as the centralized start of work and the return of students to school, the demand for goods received by merchants may increase, so it may rebound temporarily. Overall, after the Spring Festival, eggs are still in a downward trend, and eggs in the production area may fall to 32 to 3About 3 yuan catty.

During the Spring Festival, while meat products soared, eggs declined. This situation is constantly happening in the domestic agricultural and sideline products market. After analysis, we can see that the downward trend in egg prices may continue after the year. Factors such as sufficiency, declining demand and reduced cost pressures are all influencing the trend of eggs. In the long and short game, there may be a short-term recovery, but on the whole, it will still decline gradually. This is relatively positive news for farmers and consumers, as they can benefit from the low-priced egg market. However, the volatility of the egg market also needs to be paid attention to, and reasonable market ** and strategic adjustment are particularly important for operators. It is hoped that the egg market will remain stable in the future and provide consumers with better choices.

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