The current conflict between Ukraine and Russia is still ongoing, and the situation is serious. At the recent Davos forum, the "Ten Points for Peace" proposed by Zelensky of Ukraine attracted widespread attention. However, while the Ukrainian side is strenuously claiming that the discussion was successful, Zelensky's former aidesArleyStovich fled to the United States and gave interviews that revealed some hidden truths. This article will focus on the descriptionArleyStovich revealed a negotiation between Ukraine and Russia, and analyzed the unfavorable situation of Ukraine** in this conflict, as well as the long-term impact on Ukraine's future.
ArleyIn his interview, Stovich mentioned that Ukraine and Russia reached visible progress in a negotiation in March 2022. At that time, the delegations of both sides were in TurkeyIstanbulNegotiations were held and a draft agreement was drawn up that would be extremely beneficial to Ukraine. The Ukrainian delegation returned hopefully after the negotiationsKievand cheerfully opened the champagne because they believed that Ukraine would finally be able to achieve a peaceful situation. Disappointingly, however, the deal was eventually overturned, and Ukraine was plunged back into a protracted conflict.
The failure of this negotiation can be described as a great regret. If at the beginning of the war, Ukraine had been able to come to an agreement with Russia, it is likely that the current conflict would have ended long ago. This will not only save the Ukrainian people from military service, but also lead UkraineEconomyof resuscitation. However, the failure of the Ukrainian side to seize the opportunity has led to Ukraine having to respond passively in this conflict, and it may pay a huge price in the long term or even permanently.
InArleyIn the interview, Stovich was very pessimistic about the current situation and said that Ukraine could face a protracted war for 10 to 15 years. The problem facing Ukraine is not only the conflict with Russia, but also the reshaping of the entire European security system. And Ukraine, as a party, it is difficult to grasp the initiative in this process, and can only play the role of being beaten passively.
The challenge for Ukraine is that a final solution to the European problem will still need to be discussed by NATO and Russia. The position of the Ukrainian side is not important, they are not capable of playing a decisive role in this issue. If Ukraine had reached an agreement with Russia in the negotiations in 2022, the war would probably have ended long ago. This will save not only the suffering of the Ukrainian people, but also for UkraineEconomyThe conditions for the reopening of the situation, although the pace of development may be slower, are also significantly better than the current predicament. Therefore, Ukraine's missteps and missed opportunities have left Ukraine to face the status quo passively and possibly pay the price in the long term or even permanently.
In contrast, Russia did have the absolute initiative in this war. Western countries have had to consider Russia's demands, which define the conflict as an existential struggle and insist that its legitimate security interests have been violated by NATO and that its living space has been eroded. Against this backdrop, Ukraine could have met Russia's security demands at a relatively small cost. However, due to the obstruction role of Western countries, unrealistic ideas have arisen in Ukraine, which now puts Ukraine in a vulnerable position.
The Ukrainian side paid a huge price in pursuit of a more idealistic outcome, and finally had to negotiate with Russia and meet Russia's security needs. For Ukraine, this is undoubtedly more than worth the cost. Ukraine's improper decision-making in the conflict and the dilemma of its foreign policy have led to the fact that Ukraine is now at a disadvantage and will pay a heavy price for possible future turmoil.
Through the conflict between Ukraine and RussiaArleyIn the description of the content of Stovich's interview, we can see a series of mistakes and missed opportunities of the Ukrainian side in this conflict. In the absence of substantial progress in the "Ten Points for Peace" proposed by Ukraine,ArleyStovich fled to the United States and by revealing the truth, raising questions about the behavior of Ukraine.
Ukraine, in its conflict with Russia, has missed the opportunity to reach a peace agreement with Russia. InArleyIn the negotiations described by Stovich, the Ukrainian delegation was full of hope and raised a glass to celebrate that an agreement had been reached. However, this agreement was overturned, and Ukraine was once again in a crisis situation.
Ukraine's missteps have forced Ukraine to face the prospect of a protracted war. It is difficult for Ukraine to take the initiative in the situation and can only passively wait for the results of the negotiations between NATO and Russia. And Ukraine does not occupy an important position on this issue, and more has become the sacrificial side.
For Ukraine, it is no longer possible to change past mistakes, but it can learn from them and try to achieve a more favorable outcome in future negotiations. Ukraine needs to recognize its vulnerable position in the conflict and work withInternationalSocieties are building closer relationships and seeking more support and assistance. At the same time, Ukraine also needs to remain calm and rational, not swayed by emotions and personal interests, but focus on the overall long-term goal to achieve a better shift in the situation and a peaceful solution. Only in this way can Ukraine truly achieve peace and development.