Pig prices again**, outrageous home? The current state of the market raises questions
Bad weather and frozen pig prices 1, Henan ushered in"Shocking"Snowy weather.
Recently, the snowfall in Henan has attracted widespread attention, and even the ** meteorological observatory has expressed surprise. This rain and snow weather has brought great inconvenience and impact to Henan. Roads are icy, traffic is paralyzed, and people's daily lives are greatly affected. This kind of weather is actually quite scary.
2) Bad weather causes pig prices to be rare**.
However, what is even more unexpected is that pig prices have also been affected by bad weather, and there has been a rare **. On February 1, the pig price continued, and the market even expected the pig price to exceed 8 yuan. However, on February 2, the pig price suddenly dropped to 05 yuan catty, the market was shocked.
The reasons behind the pig price** 1. The pig price has risen too much, resulting in an increase in the number of slaughters.
Although the pig price ** is positive, the increase this time is a bit exaggerated. After the price increase, the mood of the farmers was mobilized, but their actions were different from before. Normally, when the price of pigs is **, farmers will choose to continue to sell in the barn, which will further affect the pigs**. But this time, the situation has changed, and farmers are looking for ways to speed up captive breeding and rush to sell their pigs. Why?
First of all, the long-term ** of pig prices has brought huge panic to farmers, especially since the duration of this ** has significantly exceeded the trough of the last round of the pig cycle, and the agricultural sector is in urgent need of quick profits. Secondly, although the Spring Festival has a certain stimulating effect on consumption, the post-holiday is the traditional off-season for demand, which has a restraining effect on pig prices. Therefore, in anticipation of the post-holiday pig prices will weaken again, the willingness of farmers to quickly withdraw from the pig market has increased significantly.
2.Demand growth was slower than expected, leading to an imbalance between supply and demand.
Although consumption has increased as the Spring Festival approaches, the overall increase in consumption is much lower than in previous years. With the price of pigs, the white strips are also corresponding, but the consumer demand is limited, and the resistance of downstream merchants to the white strips has increased significantly. This led to a change in supply and demand in the hog market, the trend came to an abrupt halt, and pig prices began. The magnitude is unexpected, and it can be used"It rose by 1 point and fell by 5 corners"to describe.
The future trend of pig prices and 1. The impact of Spring Festival demand and feed **.
Although the pig price is large in the short term, as the Spring Festival is approaching, the downstream demand will still exist, which will have a certain supporting effect on the pig price. In addition, with the decline of corn and soybean meal, feed has also fallen, alleviating the cost pressure of animal husbandry. When the market sentiment stabilizes, the trend of pig prices** will also weaken.
2. There is little chance of pig prices rebounding.
After this up and down fluctuation, the possibility of pig prices being large again is very small. Pig prices are expected to remain weak and fluctuate beyond the New Year. Although demand will increase during the Spring Festival, due to the overall consumption increase is lower than expected, as well as the resistance of downstream merchants to white strips, the pig price space is limited.
Summarize and think.
Through this pig price rise and fall event, we can see the volatility and uncertainty of the market, as well as the impact of various factors on pig prices. In the future, it is necessary to pay more attention to collecting and analyzing market information in order to make more accurate judgments and decisions. At the same time, it is also very important for farmers to maintain a normal mentality, not to chase up and down excessively, to stabilize their operations, and to take into account production costs and profit margins. After all, the market is risky, but there are also opportunities.