**: China Securities News.
China Securities Network News (Reporter Lian Run) GDP growth of about 5%, the deficit rate is planned to be arranged at 3%, and from this year onwards, it is planned to issue ultra-long-term special treasury bonds for several consecutive years ......For the expected goals and important deployments proposed in the work report, many experts believe that this is conducive to further stabilizing expectations and boosting confidence, and with the continuous release of policy effects, the steady economic recovery is expected to be consolidated and enhanced.
The expected growth target is conducive to boosting market confidence.
The economic growth target for this year is set at around 5 percent. Xun Yugen, chief economist and director of the research institute of Haitong**, believes that the expected GDP growth target this year remains unchanged from last year. It is worth noting that 2023 is based on the growth target set from a low base in 2022, which also means that this year's growth target is more high-quality.
Peng Wensheng, chief economist of CICC, said that by 2035, socialist modernization will be basically realized, and the per capita GDP will reach the level of moderately developed countries, and a certain level of economic growth will be maintained in the process. On the basis of last year's economic growth, the work report clearly puts forward the expected target of economic growth of about 5% in 2024, taking into account the needs and possibilities, indicating that attaching importance to economic development is conducive to boosting market confidence.
Gao Ruidong, chief economist and director of the research institute of Everbright**, said that for the time being, the economic growth rate is stable at about 5%, which will help stabilize employment and social expectations. In the long run, this goal is also linked to the 14th Five-Year Plan and the goal of basically realizing modernization, leaving room for flexibility in the long-term planning goal of Chinese per capita GDP reaching the level of moderately developed countries by 2035.
Macroeconomic policies have been further strengthened.
The deficit ratio is planned to be arranged at 3 percent, and starting this year, it is planned to issue ultra-long-term special treasury bonds for several consecutive years, and this year it will issue 1 trillion yuan ......This year, the proactive fiscal policy has given more prominence to moderate efforts to improve quality and efficiency.
Huang Wentao, chief economist of China Securities Construction Investment, said that "3% deficit rate + 1 trillion special treasury bonds" is beyond market expectations, reflecting the positive fiscal forward and guiding expectations. In addition, starting from this year, it is planned to issue ultra-long-term special treasury bonds for several consecutive years, which will be specially used for the implementation of major national strategies and security capacity building in key areas, which basically means that the fiscal sector will continue to maintain a positive orientation in the next few years.
According to Peng Wensheng's analysis, the new measure of issuing ultra-long-term special treasury bonds is more vigorous and sustainable, which is conducive to boosting domestic demand and the confidence of all sectors of society in long-term economic growth.
In 2024, monetary policy is expected to continue to usher in RRR and interest rate cuts. Macroeconomic policies will further enhance efficiency and enhance the consistency of policy orientation. Yang Fan, chief macro and policy analyst at CITIC, said.
The basic system of the capital market is expected to continue to be perfected.
Enhancing the intrinsic stability of the capital market was written into this year's work report, which caused heated discussions.
Fang Yi, chief strategic analyst of Guotai Junan Research Institute, and Chen Ximiao, co-chief strategic analyst, said that the work report pointed out that "enhancing the internal stability of the capital market" and clarified the focus of the current and next stage of capital market reform. In the future, it is expected to further improve the basic system of the capital market, pay more attention to the dynamic balance of investment and financing, vigorously improve the quality and investment value of listed companies, and increase the entry of medium and long-term funds into the market. By strengthening market rules, we will create a rule system.
1. Regulate coordinated financial markets and promote long-term capital formation.
Xun Yugen believes that to enhance the internal stability of the capital market, it is necessary to vigorously improve the quality and investment value of listed companies and increase the supply of medium and long-term funds. On the one hand, improving the quality of listed companies is an inherent requirement for the steady development of the capital market, and listed companies should be supported to inject high-quality assets, market-oriented mergers and acquisitions, stimulate business vitality, and deepen the delisting mechanism to accelerate the survival of the fittest; And guide listed companies to return investors through repurchase and cancellation, increase dividends and other ways to enhance investment value. On the other hand, the recent policy measures to encourage long-term allocation funds such as insurance funds to enter the market have been launched one after another, indicating that relevant departments have actively responded to the concerns of the market and paid more attention to the balanced development of investment and financing.