The 2024 ** election in the United States ushered in the so-called "Super Tuesday" party primary on the 5th, and more than a dozen states such as California, Texas, North Carolina and American Samoa held primaries. According to a number of mainstream estimates in the United States, Joseph Biden, a current Democrat, and Donald Trump, a former Republican, won in multiple states, each expanding their lead in the party's campaign.
How many levels do the two of them still need to break through the ** "showdown"?
Trump's two "passes".
Trump faces two hurdles: criminal prosecution and campaign finance. He is the subject of four criminal proceedings on a total of 91 counts, the first former in U.S. history to be criminally prosecuted.
Mr. Trump has denied all the charges, claiming the indictments are politically motivated. Analysts believe the lawsuits could indeed weaken his chances of victory. Voters have torn apart about Trump's criminal indictment, with some arguing that it was a concerted Democratic effort to "destroy" Trump, while others questioning how a man who has been twice in the House of Representatives and faces a series of indictments can remain in the race.
Regardless of voters' opinions, these trials are bound to be a considerable distraction for Trump and could ultimately influence voters' decisions on polling day on Nov. 5** as events unfold.
Christopher Galdieri, a professor of political science at St. Anselm College in the United States, told Xinhua that the trial alone may not prevent Trump from being re-elected, but if he is ultimately convicted, it may lead to the "drain" of some voters.
The legal proceedings will also put additional financial burden and pressure on Trump's campaign path. Recent public financial documents show that Trump's campaign funding for political operations lags significantly behind Biden's. At the beginning of February, the Trump camp had about $30 million in cash reserves, while the Biden camp had nearly $56 million in its accounts.
According to Bloomberg, Trump spent $51.2 million in 2023 to pay for legal fees. He has an additional $23.5 million to work with. The funds are expected to run out around July of this year, just in time for the Republican National Convention to determine the candidate and the campaign to begin in earnest.
In recent weeks, Trump has been fined more than $500 million. Trump could also face more fines for four criminal proceedings.
Biden's "** vote".
Biden's tenure has been accompanied by high inflation and a series of domestic policies that have led to low approval ratings, and his policy stance on issues such as the Ukraine crisis and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has also been controversial.
In the Michigan primary election that ended on the evening of February 27, Biden defeated his party rivals, but more than 100,000 Democratic voters in Michigan ticked the "no promise" option on the ballot, that is, voters only expressed partisan leanings, but did not support a specific candidate, which was also called "** vote" in the United States.
There are a large number of Arab Americans in Michigan, and they are dissatisfied with Biden's "pulling the strings" since the outbreak of the new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and some activists have launched a campaign called "Listen to Michigan" to push Democratic voters to express themselves to Biden through the primary, urging the United States to stop funding the war and call for a ceasefire.
Listen Michigan organizers said their goal was to vote "no commitments," a "vote." In the end, more than 100,000 people responded.
Michigan on the "Rust Belt" of the United States is a "swing state", and its election situation has always attracted much attention. Douglas Wilson, a Democratic strategist in North Carolina, a "swing state," believes that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict will become one of the major issues that will sway voters.
Independent voters are the key to the road
Independent voter support is essential for electoral success in the United States. According to a 2023 poll released by Gallup Consulting, more than 40% of Americans call themselves "independent voters". Darrell West, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, told Xinhua that independent voters are particularly sensitive to character issues, so Trump needs to do a lot of work in this important group of voters.
For Trump, in addition to being riddled with lawsuits and tight expenses, his aggressive and outspoken personality may also offend certain groups of voters, which in turn can alienate some independent voters and centrist voters from Trump. Many Americans** believe that Trump has no respect for women, military personnel, journalists, and people with disabilities.
Many independent voters are also unhappy with the design of the current primary. Nick Troano, founding executive director of United America, said the primary system failed to engage independent voters. In the 22-state primary, independent voters were barred from voting, and those 24 million or so voters were ultimately "forced to accept a partisan nominee" without a choice.
The American people are growing tired of "only electing unpopular" independents who don't really have a voice. It's a bit sad for our country. Whitney Tararico, a 33-year-old voter, said.
Under the U.S. Constitution, candidates need to be nominated by their political party or run as an independent candidate, but states impose restrictions on the selection of candidates, and in most states, elections are actually run by both the Democratic and Republican parties. Reuters A recent Ipsos poll showed that more than half of American respondents said they were dissatisfied with the current system.
The primary is the first stage of the U.S. election, during which Democratic and Republican candidates compete for nominations from their respective parties. On Super Tuesday on the 5th, voters in more than a dozen states and U.S. territories cast their ballots for the candidates that day. After the primaries, the two parties will hold their respective national conventions to formally nominate ** and vice ** candidates. This year's U.S.** voting day is Nov. 5. (Participating reporters: Xiong Maoling, Hu Yousong, Deng Xianlai, Sun Ding, Li Jie, Liu Si, Haiyang, Guo Qian).
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