In today's three conflicts, the United States has fallen into a dilemma, and the dilemma is difficult to solve; In the Sino-US game in which the east rises and the west falls, China will surely win, which is the general trend, and the general trend is difficult to reverse. Therefore, whether it is a Westerner or a Chinese faction, they must clearly understand the situation and make plans as early as possible. Otherwise, when the sickle of the times sweeps towards you, you don't know it, and you are doomed to end in a tragedy. How so? Here's why:
Clause.
1. In the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The original good wish of the United States was to use NATO's eastward expansion to squeeze Russia's living space, and if Russia can continue to endure it, then take advantage of the situation to swallow Ukraine, the last strategic buffer zone; If Russia can't continue to endure it and fires the first shot, then use Ukraine as a blood-sucking tool, pour out the strength of the entire Western camp, strangle Russia, help the pro-Western forces in Russia to come to power, open the door to Russia again, and dismember the Russian Federation today again as it did in the past. At that time, a pro-Western Russia will be born in the north of China, China's northern gateway will be completely open to the United States, and NATO's artillery will naturally be deployed along the border between China and Russia for thousands of miles and in the south. This is more once and for all than Trump's alliance with Russia to resist China.
However, the development of the war did not go as Biden wanted, and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict turned into a protracted war, and the United States had to hope that "whoever asks for it will get it": hoping that by cutting off Europe's energy **, on the one hand, it will increase the trap on Russia, and on the other hand, it will force European funds and industries into the United States to help the United States alleviate the immediate debt pressure. However, this strategy of "seeking the upper side and getting the middle ground" has once again put the United States in a dilemma: First, it can no longer force Europe and Russia. Europe's industry and people's livelihood have turned their attention to China after losing energy support, and Russia's energy and grain exports have also turned to China after losing their markets.
The United States opened its arms and prepared to welcome the capital and industry that came to avoid danger, but it turned out to be empty, and the warring sides on the European battlefield have turned their economies to China, a big manufacturing country, trying to use China's high-quality and low-cost goods to alleviate their own inflation, and use China's vast consumer market to alleviate their own industrial overcapacity. If the United States continues to increase its persecution of the warring parties in the field of cutting-edge technologies such as chips, then Europe and Russia will have no choice but to continue to inject China. In other words, the United States, with its own ** and greed, has succeeded in forcing its enemies and allies into China's arms at the same time and all.
Then the United States will relax its persecution, right? No way. Once the United States relaxes its persecution of Russia and Ukraine, its political prestige in Europe, which has been operating in Europe for many years, will be greatly weakened, and the economic myths and cultural tidal forces it has formed in Europe and Russia will be replaced naturally and logically by the vitality of the Eastern economy and the dazzling cultural brilliance. It will not be long before pro-Oriental regimes will emerge one after another in Europe, and this is an undoubted trend, and the terrible thing about this trend is that it is not only fatal to the hegemony of the United States, but also devastating to the myth of the superiority of the capitalist system. Therefore, the United States has fallen into an embarrassing dilemma on the battlefield of Russia and Ukraine: it cannot be persecuted, and it cannot relax its persecution.
Clause.
Second, in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States is also caught in a dilemma. In October, after the start of the current round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States fully supported Israel for the first time, and most of its Western allies also sided with Netanyahu, especially Germany. However, as the demonstrations of the people in various countries against Israel's atrocities intensify, if the United States wants to continue to shelter Zionism, it has to be the enemy of the whole world, and American politicians who want to continue to defend Israel's crimes have to risk being abandoned by their own voters, which is obviously beyond the scope of Biden**.
As a result, we have seen that the United States has actually begun to condemn Israel, and even included dozens of Israeli extremist Jewish settlers in the sanctions list. Although the sanctions are painless, the change from all-out and brainless support to condemnation and sanctions has already shown that the United States can no longer do whatever it wants in the Middle East as it did in the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict. Of course, this is indispensable for a country like China that dares to uphold justice and makes unremitting efforts in the United Nations. However, the embarrassment of the United States in the Middle East today lies in the following: on the one hand, it wants to protect its Middle East allies and even hopes that Israel will annex the whole of Gaza at an early date, but it cannot resist the demands of the righteous forces of all parties to protect Gaza refugees, and must condemn and even sanction Israel; On the other hand, we must not allow the China-Russia-Iran triangle to pull out the nail that is wedged in the Middle East, but we must not allow the Zionists to act in a reckless manner to arouse public anger and even besiege Israel and the local US military.
However, even if the United States has taken into account the above two points, taking into account the concerns of all parties and protecting Israel, it still cannot ignore the charm of China's great power diplomacy in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. The speed at which the influence of China and the United States in the Middle East will decline will determine the new geopolitical landscape after the current round of conflict. This trend of pattern change is far more profound than occupying a few more pieces of land. You must know that every "alliance of princes" in human history is a moment of transfer of power between the old and new hegemons. In an era of peace like today, the form of "alliance of princes" is this kind of regional military conflict. Every military conflict, on the surface, seems to be a gladiatorial struggle between two small forces, but may I ask, is it not the princes of all walks of life around the world behind that conflict? China, the United States, Russia, and Europe all wanted to make moves far from their own homeland, which not only completed the process of gladiatorial fighting, but also avoided domestic turmoil. From the perspective of geopolitical pattern, the most unfavorable for Russia is the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the most unfavorable for the United States is the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and the most unfavorable for China is the conflict in the Taiwan Strait. However, now that China is "war-free on the Eastern Front," this is something that makes the United States very anxious.
Clause.
3. In the Taiwan Strait, we are faced with a single knife to attend the meeting. The Taiwan Strait is the third powder keg that the United States is trying to build, and we in China want to destroy this attempt of the United States. In the blogger's view, whether it is peace or military reunification, it is a problem at the "technical" level, not the core. The core of the Taiwan Strait issue between China and the United States is how to weaken the other side to the greatest extent and slow down the development of the other side while preserving itself. China wants to upgrade its industry, and the United States also has to tide over the difficulties. China has no intention of delaying the United States, but it is not impossible; The United States is deliberately delaying China's pace, but it is becoming increasingly weak.
After China issued the voice of "** means war", the United States also fell into a dilemma in the Taiwan Strait: if it continues to arch the fire, it is possible to break the strings, and once it exceeds the red line of the mainland, our army may wave the righteous army and cross the sea to the island; Weakening support for the ** elements may make the ** elements lose this election. Once they fail to cooperate with Cai Lai and other internal and external ghosts, the control of Taiwan by the United States and Japan will be greatly reduced. Since Pelosi's visit to Taiwan last August, our military has accelerated the intensity of military exercises around the island, and has continuously demonstrated to both sides of the Taiwan Strait that our military has the ability to land and fight, especially after the release of the detailed map of Taiwan, this deterrence is self-evident. Therefore, will the next step for the United States continue arms sales, military aid, and military guidance, or will it send different levels of ** to visit? How far is such a red line from piercing our bottom line? Will the mainland take advantage of its layout and play with fire in the South China Sea and the Korean Peninsula to create a horn in the Taiwan Strait?
Clause.
Fourth, the general trend is difficult to reverse. Let me ask, if we use Russia to contain Japan, North Korea to contain South Korea, ASEAN to contain the Philippines, and Pakistan to contain India, and then face the US military in the Taiwan Strait, will the US military have the courage to "go to the meeting alone"? Probably not. That's why I often say that the overall situation of the Sino-US game has been decided, and our biggest trouble will be internal. This is the main reason why I have recently focused my attention on domestic issues. After the general trend of the Sino-US chess game has been decided, our biggest problem is internal adjustment, and the biggest internal problem is the rectification of the elite.
Through internal rectification, the entire ecological closed loop from industrial upgrading to a sound legal system will be completed; Only by improving the organizational form of internal personnel, financial and material can we adapt to the pace of development in the new era in the future and lay the foundation of software and hardware for comprehensive internationalization. Otherwise, a rash opening of the country will inevitably lead to a situation of leakage everywhere, and will even be wantonly harvested by international capital because of loopholes in the legal system in all walks of life. Therefore, I also advise certain so-called "elites" in China who are accustomed to doing things flamboyantly to pay close attention to self-examination and keep up with the situation of the times in a timely manner, otherwise, when the sickle of great changes sweeps towards them, they are still unaware of it, and they are doomed to end in tragedy. Elites, never forget that China is a people's democratic socialist country, and this program will not change, nor will it be shaken in the slightest because some people are stirring up trouble.
Well, about my analysis of the dilemma and irreversible view of the U.S.-China game, if you have anything to refute or add, welcome to discuss and share with you in the comment area, if you also like my article**, remember**, follow or give me a "highly recommended" support. If you want to show your support to the blogger by tipping, you can find the appreciation button to encourage the article.
**10,000 Fans Incentive Plan