During the Spring and Autumn Period, the princes of all walks of life met hundreds of times, and as the hegemony of the Zhou royal family turned from prosperity to decline, the theme of the alliance also changed from respecting the king to fighting for hegemony. Today, with the decline of the unipolar hegemony of the United States, the form of the "alliance of princes" is also changing, from the original personal show of power by the United States to a gladiatorial arena for multipolar games. The small countries are watching and listening to all directions, for fear that they have made the wrong bet, and the big countries have also tried their best for fear that they will show their cowardice in front of their little brothers.
In ancient Chinese history, there are princes' alliances such as the Mianchi Conference and the Huangchi Conference, and in the modern history of the world, there are major events such as the Yalta Conference and the Bandung Conference. There are three forms:
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1. International gatherings of all kinds.
The first is the United Nations, which was established in 1945 and is naturally a place where countries discuss international issues, and its regular and irregular meetings played an important role in avoiding large-scale wars after the end of World War II. The series of resolutions on the Palestinian-Israeli issue that have been adopted recently are the best proof of this. China has played a key role in the ceasefire between Palestine and Israel, the protection of refugees, and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state, and the United States has had to adjust its stance and condemn and even sanction Israel. It can be said that this round of "alliance of princes" at the United Nations is a major victory for the world's righteous forces represented by China. If it weren't for China's strong display of power in recent years, the United States would probably continue to unilaterally protect Israel and continue to condone its vicious behavior in Gaza, as it did in previous decades. Therefore, the "alliance of princes" within the framework of the United Nations will play a major role in maintaining the world order for a long time, and China should also make good use of this form to promote our influence in the grand order, after all, this is the most concentrated place to show strength to other countries at present, and it is the most civilized way to do it except for force. All countries in the United Nations are full of cooperation and intrigues, taking international law as the criterion and speaking with their fists, and the United Nations is still the largest venue for more than 100 countries in the world.
Then there are NATO, the European Union, the G7, the SCO, the BRICS, and so on. In fact, this is a small "alliance of princes", just like the Eastern Bohou, Western Bohou, Southern Bohou, and Northern Bohou in the Shang Dynasty, all of which are formally aimed at safeguarding the interests of the member states within the Organization, but in essence they all operate within the US hegemonic system that gradually formed after World War II and is based on the US dollar system. Including the BRICS, at present, it can only be said that it is a supplement to the dollar system, and there is still a long way to go to say the word "alternative".
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2. Military exercises.
Joint military exercises between countries are a more intense form of "alliance" than inter-organizational gatherings. After all, both the organization and the assembly are relatively moderate, mainly fighting wits and words, while the joint military exercise is a show of muscles with real guns and ammunition, and it is a demonstration of military hard power. In 1048 B.C., King Wu of Zhou led his army and the princes of the Eight Hundred Roads to observe the troops in Mengjin, Henan, and tested the attitude of various countries towards the crusade against Shang through joint military exercises; In 482 B.C., Wu Wangfucha led all the elites of Wu to form an alliance with the two dukes of Jin and Lu in Huangchi to establish his position as the new overlord; In June 1914, the Austro-Hungarian Empire held a military exercise in Sarajevo, and the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand, who commanded the military exercise, became the fuse of World War I; In 2023, the United States, Japan and South Korea plan to hold large-scale joint military exercises in China's Yellow Sea in an attempt to assert their authority, show their strength, and deter countries in the region, including China, in the Western Pacific. In order to smash their ambitions, China, Russia and the DPRK also conducted joint military exercises in the adjacent waters at the same time, accompanying them to the end, and as a result, the joint military exercises of the United States, Japan, and South Korea ended hastily. This kind of confrontation between the two camps of China and the United States in the form of military exercises has been particularly frequent this year, including the military confrontation in the South China Sea in recent days, which is a compromise method that is much higher in intensity and intensity than assembly and negotiation and lower than direct military conflict, which can not only suppress the opponent to the greatest extent and compete for control of territory, territorial waters, and airspace, but also not cause a large-scale war, so it is very suitable for superpowers such as China, the United States and Russia. In the military exercises again and again, not only let the military commanders of the two sides understand the gap with their opponents in a timely manner, but also let the surrounding small countries understand the situation. The strong can attract more followers, while the weak will lose their authority and cohesion. As a small country, no one wants to be abandoned; As a big country, we don't want to be isolated. The consequences of isolation, like Russia today and China back then, are supported on all sides by enemies. Therefore, China, the United States, and Russia have spared no effort in military exercises, and no one dares to slack off, and a new round of the arms race is intensifying. The handover of hegemony has undergone subtle but significant changes in military confrontation one after another. However, this kind of masterful move can generally only be carried out between large countries, and small countries have almost no strategic determination to speak of, and if they are not careful, they will turn into direct military conflicts.
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Regional conflicts.
Whether it is the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, or the India-Pakistan conflict, they are all regional wars for the sake of territory. The reason why China, the United States, and Russia can be called great powers is not only because of their economic size or military strength, but mainly because of their economic and military strategic determination, which can control confrontations such as military exercises within a certain degree of intensity, make regional wars as far away from their own homeland as possible, and at the same time obtain the greatest benefits in wars far away from their own homeland, which is not something that any country is capable of. Even as powerful as Russia is in danger of being attacked on its homeland; Even if it is as powerful as China, it is facing the crisis of squeezing its maritime borders; Looking at the whole world, the United States is now the only country and maritime frontier, far from all wars and crises. I've always wondered why the United States is also growing all the way when the global economy is in a downturn? The long-term security expectations of its territory and maritime borders should be an important factor. As long as conflicts and wars continue to brew in countries and regions other than the United States, the United States will be able to earn military profits on the one hand, and the American economy on the other, and the United States will not only delay the pace of development of China or Russia, but the pace of development of all countries except the United States.
Judging from the above three forms of "alliance of princes", in addition to managing the prestige of a great power in an orderly manner in international organizations and assemblies, China must also transform passive counterattack and disturbance into active suppression in various military exercises and confrontations, and deter its opponents within a limited range of intensity, so as to ensure that it can achieve its overall strategic intention under the premise of national security at home and in the sea, that is, to escort the economic strategy with the national defense strategy, to promote the diplomatic strategy with the economic strategy, and to use national defense, diplomacy, and The overall strategy of the economy ensures that we have the longest possible lead time for the global leadership transition. To become a global leader and stand at the center of the stage, is China really ready? I think it will take some time to give some time to those Chinese who worship foreign countries from their bones, and the real establishment of national self-confidence is a difficult and cruel process for some people, and supporting various software and hardware iterations of national self-confidence is still a grand project. The "alliance of princes" in ancient and modern China and abroad not only had to parade and watch the battle, but also drank and danced swords, drums and beating. When meeting the alliance, whether it is in the form of assemblies, negotiations, military exercises, military parades, conflicts, wars, or in the form of singing, dancing, drinking, and academic research, it is the best time to focus on showing their own strength and discovering the weaknesses of their opponents, so no one dares to show cowardice, because any little weakness or cowardice when meeting the alliance will become the entry point of the opponent's attack. Therefore, our comrades might as well be braver when they join the alliance, and there are 1.4 billion people behind them, what are you afraid of?
Well, about my analysis of the three main forms of the alliance of princes in the world today, if you have anything to refute or add, please feel free to discuss and share with you in the comment area, if you also like my article**, remember**, follow or give me a "highly recommended" support. If you want to show your support to the blogger by tipping, you can find the appreciation button to encourage the article.
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