A soldier who doesn't want to be a general is not a good soldier, and a short who doesn't want to be empty at the top is not a real investor.
After the Spring Festival, most varieties appeared, but which varieties are** and which varieties are**, for a while, there was a lot of confusion.
Many people like to be the top, as if they can't do it at the beginning, they can't have fun, but most people can't find the north because of this contrarian thinking mode.
If you have this hobby, you can like it, and I also need everyone's continued attention.
So when is the right time to do the top? My personal experience is that there needs to be a reference for making a decision, and if there is a considerable wave of ** in the front, then it is likely to fall sharply again.
It's not that you can't do the top but you have to have a method, we can notice that glass ** has a very strong **gene, since July last year, glass ** has happened twice to hit the level **, so will there be a third big fall? Do you need the blessing of a top pattern?
The answer is probably very much since the last July. The starting point of the glass ** has not formed a top form, and it is the same willfulness, saying that it will fall, and it will go when it is said.
We can see that the high point on July 19, 21, the high point on October 11, 21, and the high point on February 10, 22, without exception, all began to fall directly without too much brewing.
Since there has been such a pattern in the past, we are looking forward to another one. According to the previous law, once the current round of ** accelerates, it is likely to fall to near the previous low, ** The amplitude is close to 200 points, up to more than 10%.
The glass market currently has a large inventory. The demand performance is very weak, and the real estate side is bullish, and it cannot make waves in the glass market, as high as 7514The inventory of 80,000 heavy boxes increased by a staggering 56% year-on-year23%。
At present, there is polarization in the glass industry, and the float glass fueled by natural gas and coal-to-gas loses more than 100 yuan per ton, while the float glass fueled by stone tar makes a profit of about 50 yuan per ton.
Because at present, there is no large glass company that has a plan to reduce production, on the one hand, it is a poor inventory, and on the other hand, it is a manufacturer that does not stop production. As long as it doesn't hurt on the body, **continue** is inevitable. ##
Comments:
1. There is no plan to reduce production? Subjective, it's a sea of clouds.