The law of reverse growth in the seedling market The more beautiful it is, the faster it grows, an

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-03-07

I am "Qingshan because of the snow white head", thank you very much for your attention and comments, I have been engaged in landscape design for 20 years, focusing on the landscaping industry.

The article is not well written, there are errors and omissions, please correct them!

The seedling industry is an industry full of opportunities, but also full of challenges, highly competitive, the threshold for entrepreneurship in this industry is very low, and new varieties are the core of the core.

Many new varieties of trees can be sold for 5,000 7,000 yuan each, and 50 60 trees are planted on one acre, and the income per mu is more than 25.3 million yuan.

However, there is a rule in the seedling industry: the higher the landscape value, the faster the tree grows, and the more people who follow the trend to plant, the more likely it is to rot the market.

This article gives 6 examples to illustrate.

Ginkgo biloba, because of its unique leaf shape and longevity, is known as a "living fossil of plants". As early as 1998 and 2005, 15 ginkgo biloba** was once as high as 15,000 yuan, and it was difficult to find a tree at that time.

However, as more and more seedling farmers planted ginkgo biloba, **began to fall year after year**, and by the end of 2023**, it fell below 300 yuan.

This is mainly due to the fact that ginkgo biloba is easy to reproduce and grows faster, which leads to a rapid increase in the amount of ginkgo biloba on the market, and eventually there is an oversupply.

The osmanthus tree is one of the traditional landscape trees in China, and it is loved by people because of its fragrant and fragrant flowers. Between 1998 and 2008, 12 osmanthus trees** were as high as 120,000 yuan.

However, after seeing the huge market potential of osmanthus trees, all rural areas in the south began to plant a large number of osmanthus trees in the farmland and dry land, in front of the house and behind the house, resulting in a rapid increase in the amount of osmanthus trees on the market, which began year after year, and now it has fallen below 400 yuan.

*Only 3% of the peak remains

Luan tree is very beautiful, is an excellent greening tree species for viewing flowers and fruits, and has strong adaptability, and is very popular with greening projects, between 2000 and 2008, the price of 15cm trees has been as high as 6,000 yuan.

However, with the passage of time, the army of luan tree planting has grown, and the ** has also decreased year by year. At present, the 15cm tree** has dropped to about 200 300 yuan, and those with poor tree shape are not even cared for, so they can only be cut down and used as firewood.

*Only 5% of the peak remains

The American red maple is a popular landscape tree in Europe and the United States, and is loved by people because of its unique color and hardiness.

However, between 2003 and 2015, the 15th American red maple** was as high as 170,000 yuan, in 2024, you have to make an appointment to queue up to buy trees.

However, when the seedling farmers saw that planting American red maple was so profitable, the seedling farmers in the provinces of the Huanghuai River Basin followed suit and planted, resulting in a rapid increase in the amount of American red maple in the market.

*Only 1% of the peak remains.

Most people's American red maple can't be sold, which is a typical swarm of bees coming in and leaving in disarray.

Native to South America, jacaranda is a very beautiful flowering tree that is popular in the market because of its vitality and high landscape value, and it can be used as both a street tree and a landscape tree.

Between 2004 and 2017, the maximum number of 15cm trees reached 20,000 yuan, which can be described as a hard to find, and the price is one day.

However, jacaranda grows quickly, and the first and second growers make a lot of money, causing subsequent growers to flock to it. Over the course of a few years, the inventory on the market surged, and the jacaranda followed.

Nowadays, the ** of fine trees is between 900 and 1200 yuan; The ** of the ordinary tree shape is even lower, and even many people's trees cannot be sold.

Native to Madagascar, the phoenix tree has a beautiful shape, an umbrella-shaped crown, mostly red flowers, dense flowers, bright colors, like flames, and the phoenix tree has a long flowering period, which is very suitable as a garden landscape tree.

2002 2010, 15cm tree, the most ** time 130,000 yuan, we all see the first to plant phoenix wood people into the gold, so many seedling farmers began to follow the trend of planting, inventory is also increasing day by day, just a few years, phoenix wood began to begin, never look back, now 15 fine trees are only 500 600 yuan.

As can be seen from the above examples, the development law of the seedling industry is not accidental, but has a certain inevitability.

The first growers of those new varieties, they were at the forefront of the market, and in just a few years, they made huge profits, which naturally attracted followers.

Due to the high value of the landscape, the fast growth rate, and the lack of much management, the second group of growers began to follow the trend and although the income was not as high as that of the first people, they could still make a considerable profit.

Subsequently, the third and fourth batches of people continued to join, and the market inventory became larger and larger, and finally a bad market was inevitable. The later the follower, the greater the risk, the lower the profit, and in the end, it is very likely that they can only chop it and sell it as firewood.

In contrast, although some tree species have high landscape value, they grow slowly and require manual pruning and management, and their ** have been relatively stable;

Such as tassel tree, purple nan, water elm rowan, honeysuckle, English hawthorn, European hornbeam, fragrant wood, blood maple, witch hazel microphylla and most of the modeling seedlings (podocarpus, joint ash, oak, crape myrtle, wood hydrangea, etc.).

Water elm rowan. Ma Yinhua. This is because there are very few growers for these tree species, there is a small stock on the market, and it is stable and naturally strong.

For example, the tassel tree of 15, the ** of 10 years has been around 4000 5000 yuan, and the 12cm blood maple has also been stable in the range of 3500 4000 yuan, in the past 6 years, the ** of the English hawthorn is still every year**, and in 2017, the 10cm tree, the price of the car is 5000 yuan, and it will rise to 1 in 202320,000 yuan.

English hawthorn.

In the context of China's rapid economic development and the world's largest GDP growth rate, everyone pursues a short-term, efficient and rapid development model, and seedling farmers are no exception.

Seedling farmers tend to follow the trend of planting trees with short cycles and quick results, and usually hope to reap the benefits within 3-5 years. Those trees that take more than 6 years to bear fruit, they are usually not interested and are not willing to wait that long.

In the seedling industry, those tree species that are very beautiful, easy to reproduce, and grow quickly, the lower the planting threshold, the more people will follow the trend of planting, so that it is easier to oversupply the market, which is what we often call a bad market.

This requires seedling farmers to have a certain market insight and foresight when choosing planting varieties, and there is nothing wrong with following the trend, the original creators are a minority, and most people are following the trend, and catching up with the trend is actually following the trend.

Follow the wind direction to make money, pigs can fly when the wind comes, but avoid blindly following the trend of planting.

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