In the game of great powers, the attack should be attacked, and the code should be guarded

Mondo History Updated on 2024-03-01

In the game of great powers, we should attack when we should attack, and we should be guarded by rules, rather than blindly "coercing and coercing". According to a report by Red Star News on February 29, Palestinian Ambassador to Russia Nofal publicly said on Wednesday that representatives of Hamas and the Palestinian National Liberation Movement (Fatah) will meet in Moscow, the capital of Russia, on Thursday, when the two sides will discuss the formation of a "united Palestine" and the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip. Shortly before that, Palestinian Prime Minister Ashtiye announced his resignation on the 26th, which should be to "pave the way" for Hamas and Fatah to form a joint **.

It should be pointed out that the alliance between Hamas and Fatah, the two major political and armed factions of the Palestinians, means that the Palestinians will complete the initial integration within the Palestinians, which is conducive to "unanimity with the outside world." This also confirms our previous analysis, that is, Hamas's "north" to Moscow and "south" to Egypt's Cairo, is actually Russia "integrating all forces in the Middle East", so as to force the United States to "focus" on the Middle East and have to "make a deal" with Putin, so that the Kremlin can "decently end" the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

We also pointed out that Hamas's "crossing from the north to the south" will resolve "two major contradictions": on the one hand, there are "contradictions within the Palestinians", and specifically, "the distribution of power and the line between Israel and Israel". Now Pakistani Prime Minister Ashtiye has announced his resignation, and Pakistani Ambassador to Russia Nofal has announced that Fatah will discuss with Hamas the formation of a "unified Pakistani people", which confirms our previous analysis, that is, under the mediation of Russia, Hamas and Fatah will resolve "internal contradictions" and "distribution of power", thus paving the way for "unanimity with the outside world".

On the other hand, in addition to resolving the "internal contradictions among the Palestinians," Putin also needs to reconcile the contradictions between this round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and other Middle Eastern countries, so in addition to "going north" to Moscow and meeting with Fatah, Hamas also needs to "go south" to Cairo, Egypt, to discuss the "situation in Gaza" and other issues with the Egyptian side. The reason why we still need to win the support of other Middle Eastern countries is, first, because the Palestinians alone cannot "push the Middle East situation to a climax" and will inevitably need the support of Middle Eastern countries. The second reason is that part of the actions in this round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict have harmed the interests of other Middle Eastern countries.

To give a simple example, just before Hamas "went south" to Egypt, Egyptian ** Sisi publicly complained that the Houthis' continued raids on the Red Sea shipping lanes had caused Egypt's Suez Canal revenue to drop by 40 to 50 percent, and that the Houthis attacked Red Sea merchant ships under the banner of "supporting Hamas". Of course, Hamas cannot be blamed for this, Sisi's words are for Russia and Putin, because discerning people can see that in this round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Russia plays the role of the boss behind the scenes, and Hamas and the Houthis are all "thugs" who rush to the front.

Therefore, if Putin wants to "boil away" the situation in the Middle East, in addition to integrating the Palestinians internally, he also needs to obtain the support of other Middle Eastern countries, otherwise, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and other countries may fall to the side of the United States because of the damage to their interests. Now Hamas and Fatah have gathered in Moscow to discuss the formation of a "reunification **" shows that Russia has completed "preliminary integration", and the reason why it is said to be "preliminary" is because whether it can be "integrated" in the end depends not only on the results of Hamas's "northward movement", but also on the results of Hamas's "southward movement" and whether it can win the support of other Middle Eastern countries.

It should be emphasized that even if Putin has not yet "fully integrated" the Middle East, it has already caused "high vigilance" in the United States. On February 25, Ross Riley, a US military member and spokesman for the Air Force, died in front of the Israeli Embassy in the United States, which actually has quite "symbolic significance", indicating that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is tantamount to "roasting the United States on a fire" - if you support Israel, you will "lose" the Arab world and may be "trapped" in the Middle East in order to save Israel; And stopping Israel means that the United States and Israel **, the Angsa people and the Jews "have contradictions".

On the second day of Riley**, Biden publicly "drew a red line" against Israel, saying, "I hope that by next Monday, we will see a ceasefire (between Palestine and Israel)", and "my national security adviser told us that we are close, but we are not done yet". Obviously, the United States hopes that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict can end as soon as possible, even if the ceasefire is "temporary," which can not only prevent the United States from continuing to consume its soft power, but also prevent it from being "trapped" in the Middle East because of its support for Israel, and has no time to "trap Russia" and "contain China."

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