The conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues, and NATO has made frequent moves recently. Following the recent military exercise codenamed Dragon-24 in Poland, Nordic Response 2024 will also be held in Norway, Finland and Sweden from March 3 to 14.
Will NATO send troops to Ukraine? Has the Russia-Ukraine situation entered a new turning point? Let's take a look at the analysis of Cui Hongjian, a professor at the Institute for Advanced Study of Regional and Global Governance at Beijing University of Foreign Chinese.
The Russia-Ukraine conflict has taken a new direction.
Cui Hongjian, Professor, Institute for Advanced Study of Regional and Global Governance, Beijing University of Foreign Chinese: Recently, we have seen that the changes in the Russia-EU conflict have obviously taken a new direction. On the Ukrainian side, the battlefield is becoming more and more difficult, and now the United States is slow to show an attitude on the issue of aiding Ukraine. Now there is a relatively big turn in the whole of Europe, and now Europe is more concerned not about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict itself, but about whether this conflict will quickly expand into a war between Russia and other European countries and even between Russia and NATO once Ukraine cannot hold on. I think there's such a shadow hanging over the whole of Europe right now. So in this context, the interaction between all parties now, I think, will determine whether there will be a new turning point in the Russia-Ukraine conflict in the coming period.
Tensions are rising in Europe, and the trend of direct confrontation with Russia is intensifying.
Cui Hongjian, Professor, Institute for Advanced Study of Regional and Global Governance, Beijing University of Foreign Chinese: Now the European side, and recently the United States, have made a stronger statement, expressing to Russia that if Ukraine loses this conflict, then it will be a direct conflict between Russia and Europe, and between Russia and NATO. Now, judging from the current situation, this risk and possibility are increasing. At the same time, it cannot be ruled out that the current series of remarks, including some tough gestures from the West, is also a kind of diplomatic showmanship. Because now for the West, on the one hand, it has to deal with Russia's more aggressive, both on the battlefield and in diplomacy; On the other hand, for the West, the real henchman is to help Biden more between the Democratic and Republican parties in the United States to hedge against the Republican Party, especially Trump's supporters, who may quickly withdraw from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and not provide support to Ukraine. So judging from the current situation, it is true and false, but it is also at this time that it should be said to be the most dangerous time. Because both political and diplomatic gestures, as well as substantive military preparations, could further increase the mutual miscalculation between the West and Russia. And we know that mutual miscalculation is the result that in the end, if either side makes the wrong strategic decision, it can push either the West or Russia into a situation from which there is no return.
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