Kuomintang legislator candidate Xu Qiaoxin revealed in an online program that the difference between blue and green is actually only about 5 percentage points, and the KMT still has a good chance to win this year.
In response to the changes in the election situation, Xu Qiaoxin pointed out that judging from the recent polls and the KMT's internal polls, "Hou Kangpei" is currently losing about 5 percentage points to "Lai Xiaopei". In addition, according to the polls and vote estimation data of "Beautiful Island Electronic News", "Lai Xiaopei" got 42 in the last wave9 to 439 percentage points, or about 5848 to 59840,000 votes, while "Hou Zhao" is 389 to 40 percentage points, or 5302 to 54520,000 votes, the two combinations are actually very close.
Xu Qiaoxin analyzed, although the difference of 5 percentage points in the poll seems to be a lot, but the difference in the conversion of votes is only 500,000 votes, so the current poll leader may not be guaranteed to win, and the laggard will not necessarily lose, it will depend on the recent issue, the voter turnout rate of the day, and whether the Taiwan businessmen who have not been included in the poll return to their hometowns to vote, and the election situation of the two sides is very close, and the Taiwan Chamber of Commerce will return to their hometowns to vote.
Xu Qiaoxin pointed out that the supporters of the blue camp have the characteristic of "hating iron but not steel", and after scolding first, they will consider whether to vote, and when the supporters of the blue army lose too much in the polls, they will show a discouraged momentum and do not come out to vote;However, if there are a lot of polls all the way, they will also think that they are not missing one vote and run out to play on the first day, so no matter whether they win or lose, they will not be able to arouse the Blues' willingness to vote.
However, Xu Qiaoxin said that the voters in Taipei City are very willing to vote, and the primary strategy of the current "Hou Kangpei" election is to consolidate the basic market, because the voter turnout, recent issues, white camp supporters, and the tide of Taiwanese businessmen returning to their hometowns to vote will become an important key to triggering the flip of the middle 500,000 votes, so there is still a good chance to win this year, and the Kuomintang will neither be overly optimistic nor too pessimistic.