U.S. 2024** is coming, and the current Biden** approval rating is in the doldrums. Although Biden's approval ratings have significantly lagged Trump in key "battleground states," his team has not given up on seeking a breakthrough. At the same time, the Democrats have come up with an "off-the-shelf move" to try to stop Trump's campaign by disqualifying him from the state's party primary. However, what Biden did not expect was that the Trump campaign quickly fought back, putting the situation in a new uncertain situation.
Poll data shows that Biden's approval rating has continued to decline. Biden's overall approval rating was only 35 percent for the U.S. economy, the lowest number recorded during his tenure. Another poll showed that Biden's overall approval rating among voters was only 37 percent, and even lower among younger voters at 26 percent. In the face of this sluggish approval rating, Biden has accelerated the formation of his campaign team in the "battlefield states" in the hope of winning more support.
Some Democratic-run states have introduced a policy to disqualify Trump from running party primaries in those states based on Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. While the claim was not supported in all states, Colorado and Maine passed the decision separately. Although this approach is seen as simplistic and crude, Biden may have more chances for Trump's broad support within the Republican Party, if he were replaced by other Republican contenders.
Trump reacted strongly to the disqualification of the Democrats from his candidacy, and his campaign was quick to speak out, accusing the Democrats of meddling in the election and saying it would appeal the matter to the Supreme Court. Key Republican Party members have also voiced their opposition to the Democrats' actions, calling them a sign of political repression and disrespect for voters. Trump's rival, Vivek Ramaswamy, also said he would boycott the party primaries in some states if he was disqualified. Trump's lawyers have appealed to the Supreme Court and hope the court will overturn the Colorado court's ruling to ensure he can run in the Colorado party primary.
The Supreme Court's decision will have an important impact on Trump's candidacy. Currently, the Supreme Court has a conservative majority, including three appointed during Trump's term. This means that the judge's personal inclination can have an important impact on the outcome of the case. After Trump's lawyers appealed to the Supreme Court, the Supreme Court agreed to expedite the trial and will argue on Feb. 8. If the Supreme Court ultimately decides to overturn the Colorado court's ruling, it will mean that the Democrats' "off-the-shelf move" has failed to prevent Trump from running and could further strengthen Trump's supporters and increase his competitiveness in the league.
Mr. Trump's interweaving presence in courtrooms and campaign rallies has created a portrayal of himself as a "political victim," which is one of the reasons why he has been able to maintain high approval ratings. Although the Democrats are trying to use "off-the-market tactics" to prevent Trump from running, a victory in the Supreme Court will further cement that image and make the Democrats' hopes of winning this year even slimmer.
The United States is coming, and Biden's approval rating is in a slump, especially in the key "battlefield states", which is at a disadvantage. The Democrats made an "off-the-shelf move" when they tried to disqualify Trump, but the Trump campaign quickly fought back and appealed to the Supreme Court. The Supreme Court's ruling will have an important impact on Trump's candidacy, and the Supreme Court, which has a conservative majority, could benefit Trump. Trump's successful portrayal as a "political victim" has also increased his competitiveness in the campaign.