In the past two days, the domestic pig market has once again "changed face", by the East China, Central China group pig enterprises to pull up the sentiment stronger, the southern region of pork pickling good cash, slaughtering enterprises operating rate is increasing day by day, pig ** stop down, the market ushered in the trend of "continuous rise", in particular, the phenomenon of large factories is prominent, pig prices "soaring", in some areas, pig ** raised 06 yuan kg, then, when the pickling is good and the winter solstice solar term is coming, the tide of pig price increases is comingThe specific analysis is as follows:
According to market feedback, on December 20, in the north and south of the country, pig prices continued the trend of the whole line, and the average price of foreign three-yuan lean pigs was 026 yuan kg, the average price of live pigs rose to 1472 yuan kg, the market is showing a trend of "soaring", and the pressure of slaughter loss at the breeding end has also been significantly reduced!
According to the analysis of institutional data, in terms of slaughterhouses, at present, the operating rate of large-scale slaughterhouses in the domestic sample has increased to 3694%。Compared with yesterday, it was revised up by 118 percentage points, the slaughterhouse pig enthusiasm is still high, the average daily slaughter volume has also reached a stage high, from the white pig **, today's national top **white pork** in 183 yuan kg, compared with 1 yuan kg yesterday, pork ** showed a sharp rise!
Judging from the current situation of domestic pig slaughter, at present, in the 28 provinces and regions that are monitored in the country, the number of live pigs has generally risen to 136~16.25 yuan kg, of which, Jiangsu ** rose to 1625 yuan kg, ** hit a new high in the country, and the price of pigs in Xinjiang rose to 136 yuan kg, ** in the national low!In the traditional high and low provinces, at present, the pig price in Heijiliao area has risen to 1395~14.15 yuan kg, in the traditional ** area, the Sichuan and Chongqing market ** rose to 1485 15 yuan kg, the price of pigs in the two regions rose to 145~15.3 yuan kg!
Judging from market feedback, this round of pig prices, pig prices in East China are more obvious, especially in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Shandong and Henan, pig prices have risen significantly, taking Jiangsu as an example, pig prices have risen by 0 in two days85 yuan kg, Shandong area ** 07 yuan kg, Henan rose by 085 yuan kg ......
According to the analysis of the institution, at present, the domestic Middle East pig prices have risen sharply, on the one hand, due to the frequent epidemic phenomena before, the pig production capacity at the breeding end is slaughtered in advance, and the pig production capacity in the social area has shrunk in stages, and the lack of pigs in the market is more obviousOn the other hand, recently, the low-temperature, rainy and snowy weather in the central and eastern regions has continued, making it difficult to purchase and sell live pigs at the grassroots level, and the level of pig source in slaughterhouses has declined. Superimposed, the level of local pork consumption has gradually improved, the demand for residents to make bacon has increased significantly, and the willingness of families to consume has become stronger, which has also driven the local slaughterhouses to greatly improve the performance of start-ups, and the sentiment of raising prices and ensuring quantity is stronger!
In southwest and southern China, pig prices are mainly affected by the recent rebound in local household pickled demand, the increase in terminal white goods, the increase in the operating rate of slaughterhouses, and the mentality of raising prices to collect pigs
Therefore, under the support of multiple factors, pig prices have risen, and the market has shown a "soaring" performanceThere is 1 bad news in the market!
Personally, I believe that although pig prices have shown a sharp upward trend, however, from the summary data of institutions, the pig price may be under pressure again, and the market has the risk of rising and falling!
On the one hand, the overall domestic pig production capacity is relaxed, especially, near the end of the year, the breeding end has the pressure of the first bar impulse, some of the head pig enterprises are affected by financial pressure, the pressure bar is reluctant to sell the lack of sustainability, the sentiment of slaughter is strong, and the pig farm is full of weight, the regional pig price spread increases, and the phenomenon of low-price pig source transfer will increase, which will also ease the difficulty of slaughterhouse procurement in the central and eastern regions;
On the other hand, by the slaughterhouse two days up, some areas of the standard pig ** touched the cost line, the breeding end of the slaughter sentiment has become stronger, the market pressure bar mentality gradually loosened, superimposed, white pigs are larger, the downstream receiving efforts are still poor, some slaughtering enterprises are facing the difficulty of leaving the factory, fresh has the pressure of passive storage!
Therefore, under the interweaving of long and short, it is expected that in the next 1 2 days, the rise of the northern factories may come to an end, the market will increase sharply, and the pig price may turn into the trend of ** again!However, due to the winter solstice solar term is imminent, consumer demand is still picking up, it is expected that pig prices will maintain the situation of high prices, by the rhythm of large factories slaughtering, pig prices or will show a trend of rising and falling limits, however, the trend will still be strong!Hogs
Rising streak!Pig prices are "soaring", and the tide of price increases is coming1 bad news!Pig price on December 20What do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion, the content is original, unauthorized, please do not ** or wash the manuscript!