[Introduction].Hello everyone, today is December 20th, in the domestic refined oil and livestock and poultry breeding, recently, oil prices and pigs, eggs ** trend affects people's mood, the good news is that gasoline price reduction, today from 0 o'clock, the level of gas stations in various provinces and cities in China after the implementation of price adjustment, 92 95 gasoline generally fell 033~0.4 yuan liters!In terms of livestock and poultry breeding, pig prices have continued to rise, but the risk of pig prices has increased significantly. In the egg market, the egg price trend is weak, and the egg in the production area has reached a new low!Oil price adjustment information
So, what's happening in the market?Today is December 20th, and after the price adjustment, 92 95 gasoline and hogs and eggs ** are analyzed as follows:
First of all, in the gasoline and diesel market,From 0:00 on December 20, gas stations in various provinces and cities in China will implement the level after the 25th price adjustment of the year!In the previous 10 working days, the center of gravity of international oil prices was weak, and the domestic ** rate of change was adjusted at a low levelAs of the 10th working day, **rate of change is -723%, gasoline and diesel ** decreased by 415 yuan and 400 yuan respectively, equivalent to the price of 92 95 gasoline is expected to be reduced by 033~0.4 yuan liters!
In the process of 25 price adjustments, a total of 12 oil price reductions, 10 oil price increases, and another 3 times do not fall or rise!After the conversion of ups and downs, gasoline and diesel** will drop by 50 yuan in 2023!
Take Shandong as an exampleAfter the price adjustment on December 20, No. 92 gasoline ** was lowered by 3 cents 3 to 781 yuan liters;No. 95 gasoline was lowered by 3 cents 6 to 805 yuan liters;No. 98 gasoline was lowered by 3 cents 6 to 877 yuan liters;No. 0 diesel** was lowered by 3 cents 5 to 711 yuan liters;-No. 10 diesel was lowered by 3 gross 6 to 752 yuan liters;- No. 20 diesel was lowered by 3 Mao 8 to 785 yuan liters!
Secondly, in the egg market,Recently, egg prices have been under pressure, showing a downward trend that exceeds expectations, from the analysis of institutional data, in the production area market, the average price of eggs is 403 yuan catty, the average price of eggs in the sales area market dropped to 412 yuan catty!Taking the production area market as an example, the egg ** compared with the high point at the end of November, the cumulative decrease was 069 yuan catty, a drop of 1462%！
On the one hand, affected by the low temperature and cold wave weather, egg logistics links are prone to frost damage, egg storage difficulty increases, and the sentiment of breeding end and circulation links to inventory is strong;On the other hand, on the demand follow-up side, the substitution mentality of egg consumption is higher, the downstream market is slow, the terminal market inventory is more, the business receiving mentality is poor, and the supply and demand sentiment is slightly cautious!
According to the analysis of the agency, due to the significant increase in the number of new laying hens this month, the inventory level of laying hens is at a high level, and the number of laying hens may reach 12100 million, the overall market of eggs is loose, however, since December, due to the poor delivery of e-commerce, the stocking mentality of food factories is not high, pork is low, residents are strong in substitution consumption, the downstream market inventory consumption is slow, the pressure of excess has increased sharply, and the market has shown a trend that exceeds expectations!
Taking Hebei as an example, at present, the average price of eggs in the province is 385 yuan catty, down 12 from the beginning of the month9%, down 10 percent year-on-year3%！At both ends of supply and demand, the production area by the increase in new laying hens, low day-old laying hens into the peak production capacity, egg ** level has increased significantly, however, the lack of good demand, due to the e-commerce goods less than expected, the central and eastern regions of the continuous rain and snow weather, resulting in a significant increase in egg inventory, and the lack of incremental demand, poor consumption follow-up, market de-stocking pressure, egg prices show a significant decline in performance!
Finally, in the hog market,Recently, the domestic pig price stopped falling, showing a significant upward trend, on December 20, the national average price of live pigs rose to 736 yuan catty, in many places in East China, the pig source has generally risen into the "8 yuan era", recently, the local factory has risen more obviously, however, the pig price has gradually come under pressure!
On the one hand, after the group pig enterprises rose, the incremental slaughter mentality became stronger, the first pig farm followed the trend, the breeding end of the slaughter rhythm was significantly accelerated, and the slaughterhouse also shifted from the "lack of pigs" to the stage of surplus, and the procurement pressure of slaughterhouses in many places has decreased sharply, and the mentality of taking advantage of the situation to reduce prices has become stronger
On the other hand, recently, the cost of pig collection in slaughterhouses has increased significantly, and the average ex-factory price of white pigs has also increased significantly, but the downstream level of receiving goods is also difficult to improve
Therefore, under the long and short adjustment, although, the pig price shows a comprehensive trend, however, limited by the lack of good market follow-up, superimposed, the regional pig price spread expanded, and the cross-regional circulation of commercial pigs increased, which also limited the pig price to further rise, it is expected that in the northern region, the pig price or will be "from the rise to the fall", the market or will once again enter the stage of a short downward adjustment, however, due to the start of the southern pickling, pork sales will also increase significantly, and the market is not lacking in the basis of the first again!
Gasoline prices have dropped dramatically!On December 20, after the price adjustment, 92 95 gasoline, hogs, eggs, ** how!What do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion,**For reference only, the content is original, unauthorized, do not**!