On December 29, 2023, the last trading day of 2023 for A-shares came to an end, and the hearts of the little leeks that had been restless for a year finally landed!
On the same day, the Shanghai Composite Index, the Shenzhen Component Index, and the ChiNext Index closed at 297493 points, 952469 points, 189137 o'clock, the whole year respectively**41%。
In the case of the world's top rise, the big A in 2023 really hurts the little leeks.
First, the big A really only fell by 37%?
On December 26, 2023, I saw a sentence on the Internet, which made me feel very emotional: "When I saw the market closed on this Chinese New Year's Eve, the first thing that came to mind was 'I can finally drop one day less', not the happiness brought by 'one more day off'!".Bigger A shareholders are stunned."
The Shanghai Composite Index of the Big A rose from 3,089 at the end of last year26 o'clock to the end of 2023 297493 points, during the period on May 9 touched a high of 341895 points, and then it has been around 3000 points**, although the last two days**, it still folds below 3000 points. **Seems to have only dropped by 37%, but the whole market is already miserable.
Let's take a look at the losses of shareholders first. According to a survey, in the first half of 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index **3In 65% of cases, the situation of shareholders**: 58% of shareholders lose blood, 9% of shareholders lose little, 4% of shareholders are flat, 14% of shareholders make small profits, 7% of shareholders make big profits, and 8% of shareholders eat melons. Then in the second half of the year, it fell by 3 on the basis of the end of last year7%, the loss of shareholders can be imagined. There are many shareholders on the Internet who post their annual income bills, all of which have earned more than 100,000 yuan, defeating more than 90% of the users of a ** company, which is worth celebrating, but it also shows that the loss of shareholders is still not small from another angle.
Let's take a look at Hu Xijin's ** situation. Hu Xijin, a well-known person, entered the ** on June 26, 2023, with a high-profile entry of the Shanghai Composite Index at 3,144 points on the same day. He is firmly optimistic about the big A, and people also name 3144 points as "Hu Xi into the bottom". But on December 28, 2023, his account was floating with a loss of 43,80730, the loss rate is close to 10%.
Let's take a look at the loss situation. The following is a passage from an online article The 2023 public offering ** ranking data is out, which can be said to be a shame of the year. Shi Minjia of Shanghai Bank ** lost 4636% ranked as the champion, and 19 **, including Guolian**, CITIC Construction, Xinyuan**, Bank of China**, AVIC**, GF**, Nord**, etc., had a yield of more than -40%. For a long time, in the past 2 years, the yield of 120 ** has been more than -50%, and the champion is Nord ** Niu Zhiyuan, with a loss of 66 in 2 years77%;In the past 3 years, the loss of 74 ** has been more than -50%, and the champion is still Nord** Niu Zhiyuan, with a loss of 71 in 3 years43%!
Finally, take a look at the losses of your friends. Some of my friends copied Huawei's car concept "Cialis" and earned 300%, and some made 20% of Darentang and Yiling Pharmaceutical, but more than half of them were small losses, such as the loss of 16 below82%. In particular, the sharp fall of more than 3,000 points has made many people either lie down and watch the market value decrease day by day, or cut and sell meat to death.
At the beginning of this year, two of my friends, one of whom sold a house**, lost 50% as of December 15, but found that they could use the remaining money to buy the house they sold back. The other sold ** and bought a house, but also lost 50%, and found that now that he has sold the house, he can also buy the previous ** back.
2. Why is it always me who gets hurt?
* The most uncomfortable thing is, of course, the little leek!There is a statistic on the Internet, from 2011 to 2022, the proportion of shareholders who lost money in more than half of the years was far more than 50%, which is really tragic.
So, why is it always the little leeks that get hurt?As a member of the small leek group, I have the same heart-wrenching feelings as many people.
From the perspective of time:China's ** is essentially for corporate financing, all the time for the real economy blood transfusion, years of strong expansion so that the number of listed companies quickly exceeded 5,000 is this reason. Some people say that "it is just an ATM disguised as a ** by minorities", which is actually not unreasonable. This "starting point for financing rather than allowing shareholders to enjoy the results of listed companies" is not friendly to small leeks, plus for many years, China's ** most of the time has not been a bull market, the public wealth creation effect is poor, and the money is earned by the head players!In the TV series "Flowers", Mr. Bao said a particularly good sentence: "The market is always right, and you are wrong." ”
From the geographical point of view:Small leeks and big coffee players are the difference between amateurs and professionals. I remember Han Han told a story that he played well with a football team composed of some adults and was very proud. But once in a match with the children's reserve team (students around the fifth grade of primary school) of a professional team in Shanghai, I wanted to let people not kick the children badly, but the first half was poured 20:0, resulting in an early end of the game. Han Han said bitterly, "Don't use your hobbies to challenge other people's ability to eat." Industry research, enterprise research, first-class software, strict discipline (such as a 5% drawdown), and a large amount of money are the key to obtaining excess returns. This is not counting self-operated insiders, private equity speculation, fraudulent funds, etc.
People and aspects:Some of the Achilles' heels of the little leeks are the root cause of its repeated defeats. Defect one, Increase positions when the rising channel is up, sell when the falling channel, a typical chasing up and killing down, seriously violating the principle of "sell high and buy low". Defect two, when it is not a bull market, especially in a descending channel, the position is lying down waiting for a reversal. Don't you know how many basements and even hell there are under the floor, China Duty Free was fired to 331 in May 2021 because of the theme of Hainan International Tourism Island and duty-free shopsThe ** of 2 yuan, and now it has fallen to more than 80 yuan and is still falling is an example. Defect three, there is no empty position concept, always keep a full position, for fear of missing **. Even in a bull market, this is not the best plan, and the bad ** will keep losing, and there will be no funds to cover the position and spread the cost. Defect four, I like to listen to the gossip operation, just think about it, the real gossip is top secret, make yourself rich, and you operate according to the gossip is actually to carry a sedan chair for others. Defect five, refusing to admit defeat and repeated defeats. If you don't learn advanced methods well and don't improve your professional level, the repeated defeats of the little leeks can only be a tactic of adding oil, and the effect is often repeated defeats.
3. What should little leeks do in 2024?
During this period of time, there are many bull market sounds on the Internet in 2024, in fact, there are so many bull markets!Wu Jinglian once said, "Don't believe in the bull market." So, what should little leeks do in 2024?
It's not a bull market that doesn't start. Don't always think about losing and fighting, learn to break your wrist as a strong man. In history, there is only one famous Zeng Guofan, who has been defeated and successfully defeated, and everyone else may not be able to see the dawn. According to relevant statistics, the average loss per capita of A-share shareholders in January and July 2023 is 6220,000 yuan, due to the large loss of shareholders, as of the end of July 2023, the number of A-share shares sold by the people is 2570,000 households. Anyone's money is not blown by the wind, if you want to get high returns, the premise is whether you can take high risks, bear losses, bear the uncertainty of staring at the market every day, and watch your ** market value dripping blood every day.
It is necessary to use idle funds and improve their professional level. Small leeks if **,One isTo use part of your idle funds, do not borrow money from relatives and friends, do not raise a high percentage of financing, so that even if there is a loss, you can bear it;The second isIt is important to improve the level of professionalism and avoid the five fatal flaws mentioned above. **Low in and high out, in China, long-termism is unacceptable, and you must learn to dance with wolves. The one who will buy is the apprentice, and the one who will sell is the master, this is the most important.
There is nothing new in this world, but the stories of the past are repeating themselves.
Every penny you earn is a realization of your knowledge of the world;Every penny you lose is a lack of knowledge of the world.
You can never make more money than you know, except by luck. But the money earned by luck often depends"Strength"Losing is also an inevitability.