At present, the current situation can be described as very good for the Kokang Alliance!The Allied forces had previously cleared the large and small Burmese army strongholds around Lao Cai City, the capital of the Kokang region, and surrounded Lao Cai, according to the latest informationThe Allied army's attack on Lao Cai has also been officially launched, and has basically captured some neighborhoods in the east of Lao Cai City.
In this case, Min Aung Hlaing's authorities do have a bit of a "rush to the doctor".There is information that it is ready to seek India's help and bring in Indian troops to help the Burmese authorities fight the allied forces。In this issue, let's talk about this topic together.
In fact, India's relations with the Burmese authorities and with Min Aung Hlaing himself are good. On October 14, shortly before the Kokang Allied forces launched the offensive, India's Deputy Adviser Vikram Misri also paid a goodwill visit to Myanmar. And in terms of level,This Misri is not a very high-ranking figure in India, while Min Aung Hlaing is the de facto leader of the Burmese authorities。But despite this, Min Aung Hlaing personally gave a warm reception to the Indian guest, which shows that the attitude of the Min Aung Hlaing authorities towards India is still very good.
And the Indian side also has a high regard for Min Aung Hlaing himself. Previously, when Min Aung Hlaing visited India, India had a certain influence ** "One India" news publicly saidIndia has given Min Aung Hlaing "kingly treatment".And just when Min Aung Hlaing entered the country, Indian Army Chief of Staff Rawat took the lead in going to Gaya, a city in northeastern India near Myanmar, to greet him, and then accompanied him to meet with Modi in New Delhi, the capital of India.
Under such so-called "historical friendship", it is now reported that the Min Aung Hlaing authorities have turned to India for helpIt is hoped that India will send border troops and mountain troops with rich "mountain warfare experience" to northern Myanmar to help the Burmese army fight against the allied forces。In recent years, India has also been "rushing from the left to the right" in South Asia, and has sent 70,000 troops to intervene in Sri Lanka and sent troops to the Maldives to support pro-India.
So, will the Indian side really send troops to help, as it wishes?In the author's opinion, such a possibility is actually very small.
First of all, if India wants to send troops to northern Myanmar, it is actually very difficult. This is because the border between India and Myanmar, including Manipur, Nagaland, Mizoram, etc., also exists in the same situation as the northern states of MyanmarThat is, relations with the authorities in New Delhi, India, are very distant, and there are many armed groups in the area that oppose the authorities in New Delhi。Once the Indian army attempts to pass through these areas in a big way, it will certainly not be particularly painful.
And even if the Indian army forcibly enters northern Myanmar from northeast India despite all difficulties, then the complex terrain and fairly general road facilities in northern Myanmar will make the Indian army very headacheIf the Indian army really comes in, maybe they won't be able to leave.
A more feasible way is for the Indian army to land by boat from Yangon, the core area of the Burmese Burmese ethnic group, and then go all the way from the Burmese core area through Naypyidaw, the capital of Burma, and then go north to northern Myanmar. However, in this way, the Indian army is comfortable, and Min Aung Hlaing may not agreeIn case the Indian army comes to a "dove occupies the magpie's nest",If they join forces with the local Bengali Rohingya anti-Burmese forces, the situation will be even more difficult to manage.
The Rohingya and Rohingya forces in Myanmar are inextricably linked to IndiaIf India really sends troops to intervene, the first to applaud must be Pakistan and RailwayOnce the Indian army really appears in the jungles of northern Myanmar, it must be Pakistan Railway that provides military aid to all the princes in northern Myanmar as soon as possible. With the strong assistance of Pakistan and Railway, northern Myanmar will become India's Vietnam and India's Afghanistan.
Once in 1952,In order to deal with the armed forces in northern Burma, Myanmar once invited more than 4,000 Indian Gurkha mercenary groups to enter northern Myanmar, but these menacing Indian armed forces were defeated in the Battle of the Salween River。Modi, who has always been shrewd, probably does not think about repeating the mistakes of the past.
Min Aung Hlaing's administration once hoped to use Aung San Suu Kyi to establish good relations with the West, and also wanted to seek support from Russia and India as a "backer".As a result, neither the West, nor Russia, nor India are really willing to help Min Aung Hlaing。It can only be said that Min Aung Hlaing has offended people who should not be offended, and in this case, it is useless for Min Aung Hlaing to ask anyone for help.