Are contemporary young people increasingly reluctant to get married and have children, just because of high housing prices and high bride prices?Of course not, the post-90s generation has generally been reduced to the "three big and one low" group, and the registered marriage population in the country in 2020 is only 81310,000 couples, only 60% of the number of registrations in 2013, a new low in the past 17 years, and the number of new births is even more miserable, while the total number of births in the country has exceeded 2600 million.
Therefore, as soon as the news came out that Xiong'an New Area was identified as a pilot area for reforming marriage customs, many people took it for granted that it was a policy to increase the gradually declining marriage rate and birth rate. But looking back, there are several mountains that really hinder the marriage rate and the birth rate, housing prices, medical care, education, pensions, capitalists, and high bride prices.
Many prejudiced people seem to think that among them, it seems that only the mother-in-law's high dowry is a soft persimmon, so the state will restrict the mother-in-law's blood basin, as for whether the marriage rate and the birth rate can be increased, they feel that this is to insert a urinary catheter for the incontinence of the patient, the effect is definitely there, but the effect is yet to be determined.
This kind of logic, which ordinary people can see through, does not have any point in discussion. As for the birth rate, not having children 30 years ago may be due to kidney deficiency and lack of qi and blood, and today, 30 years later, not having children is basically a lack of confidence.
Because in today's national involution, bride price and high housing prices are just a small cold among many cruxes, not a major illness.
So what's the problem?
Let's take a look at the current situation of these people, and we may find the answer. According to the data of the Human Resources and Social Security Bureau, as of 2020, the actual population paying social security is only 3500 million people, accounting for only 27% of the total population, and the remaining 73% only have state-mandated basic pension insurance and medical insurance. Of the 73% of the unpaid population, 5163% of the rural population occupies the absolute main position, and among the unmarried village population who are still nobles, the proportion from rural areas is more than 75%, of which the post-80s and post-90s occupy the absolute main force.
In addition, according to the data of Qipu, the population with a college degree or above is only 218.3 billion people, or 17% of the total population. Of course, it is not surprising that among the 83% of those with a high school education or less, the rural population is the absolute main force, and among the unmarried population, the post-80s and post-90s generations are naturally the main force among the younger generation with low educational qualifications. Therefore, from the above data pointing to the unmarried population, we can almost conclude that the prevalence of the unmarried population does not have a competitive advantage. Of course, this does not mean all, according to the above data, we can also see the general situation of the post-90s, the parents of the post-90s are already in their early 40s and early 50s, the post-60s and post-70s, a family of two generations are the development of this society, and the group of people at the bottom of the society, most of the parents are facing the loess with their backs to the sky, relying on coolies to eat。
The hard-hit areas of the unmarried population have not caught up with the dividends of the post-90s, the distribution of employment has not caught up, the good thing of an old hen marrying a wife has not caught up, and the high housing prices have caught up with the high bride price to catch up with the high cost, and they are about to face the parents who are gradually losing their labor force and have no social security.
When the house was still used to live, he was in school, and when he needed a house to live in after graduation, the house was no longer used to live in. Daddy and mother need to support the elderly, and there is a damn distance in their hearts, the so-called poor and ugly family are under great pressure, and they haven't won the same.
Therefore, these poor children with insufficient congenital conditions have naturally become the "three big and one low" group, with high employment pressure, high pressure on marriage and childbirth, high pressure on pension, and low happiness in life. So don't say anything about what's wrong with the post-90s, they are really the most bitter generation.
Of course, this is only the first reason for the decline in the marriage rate, and the only way to improve this situation is to relieve the worries of young people, change the current national basic pension insurance to the compulsory payment of social security for all, and solve the pension pressure from the root, which is one of them.
The second is education, which is also a cliché with a low fertility rate, although the high housing prices generated by the school district housing have stimulated the economy, but the sequelae left behind have made the struggling young people generally become old people suffering from Parkinson's, and they ask when they meet: Where is my home?
According to the latest census data, as of 2020, the country's floating population has increased by 70% compared to a decade ago, and has reached 49.3 billion people, accounting for 35% of the total population. Of course, this group of people is still dominated by the post-80s and post-90s, in addition to the unmarried army, there are also married people in the post-80s and post-90s and school-age children who need to go to school. There is no local hukou, there are only two ways for children's education, either to enter a private school, the minimum tuition fee is more than 10,000 a year, and the upper limit I understand is 320,000 a year, or like a public school donation, what I understand is 80,000 to start, which doesn't sound like much, but in 2020, the average income of the national population is 32,189 yuan, and the median is 27,140 yuan, which is the average. Combined with the cost of education mentioned above, you should also understand that for: How can there be so many left-behind children and so many people who are willing to be single?
Of course, this does not take into account other costs, and with inflation growing at an average rate of 3% per year, education has become a consideration for some people's lives. Therefore, it seems urgent to detach education from marketization, accelerate public ownership, rationally quantify educational resources, reform the education system, and return education to education itself. Only in this way can we completely solve the educational concerns of the bottom society and solve the problem of young people's reluctance to get married from the root. For this kind of big concept of things, we need to make efforts from many sides, and now the restrictions on housing prices, restrictions on bride price and other means have been introduced, for this kind of policy that attaches great importance to people's livelihood, we only have full support, I believe that the future will be better and better.
As for other reasons, click on it and discuss it in the comment area.