1. Viewpoint review: Last week pointed out that there are still risks this week, but pointed out that the beginning of the week and the weekend are key points, and the weekend is more important. As a result, it broke directly down on Monday, and it was confirmed that the weekend would be a low. Although Tuesday closed out of the positive line, we also pointed out in Wednesday's morning commentary that the probability of the day will be downward, because if it rises again, the short cycle will reverse again, and the probability of three consecutive short cycle reversals is extremely low, and the result is that Wednesday completely engulfed Tuesday's small yang. Thursday's live broadcast pointed out that although Thursday is the point in time, there is only an hour and a two-hour time point resonance on Friday afternoon, so it is pointed out that although Thursday's 3013 has basically met the conditions to become a band low, it cannot be ruled out that the low point may appear on Friday afternoon, in fact, Friday hit a new low, after reaching 3010 points, there was a wave of more powerful **. And this 3010 point is not much different from the strong support near the 3,000 points we pointed out, so this week's grasp of ** is basically flawless.
However, this week's performance is extremely poor, two days ago because of the outbreak of the Beijing Stock Exchange, which caused a blood-sucking effect on **funds, coupled with the short cycle of **operation, so the relay sentiment on the main board is poor. On Wednesday and Thursday, although the Beijing Stock Exchange began to ebb, I don't know whether those active funds are on the Beijing Stock Exchange or what, but the relay sentiment of the main board stocks is still very poor. It didn't get a little better until Friday. In the first three days of this week, we have been emphasizing risk avoidance, and even Wednesday can not be selected, but because Thursday is the point in time, the judgment of the opportunity has far outweighed the risk, so a slightly positive operation strategy was given. On Friday, although the morning stocks selected only two high-opening and low-absorbing even board stocks Jintuo shares and Dongan Power, but in addition to these two stocks, they still failed. In fact, Friday is every opportunity to do better, the main reason for failure, if Thursday is completely because of the general environment, then Friday human factors are greater. This does need to be reviewed.
Second, ** research and judgment:
1. Monthly: From the monthly line, in the next one or two months, in my opinion, I am not afraid of falling, and the more it falls, the better, because the more **, the greater the likelihood of a larger level low near January, and once that low point is established, because this time point is the first important monthly time point since 3708 points in December 21 (note that it is the first, not one), it is expected to last for one year, or even two years of overall upward **. In that case, the torment of 22 and 23 years will finally come to an end, so it's worth looking forward to. However, because the larger 49 cycle is still downward, if there is to be a two-year **, it is necessary to achieve the reversal of the maximum cycle, so once the ** time is exceeded, it is not possible to get out of the bull market pattern, we must pay special attention to the formation of a medium-term high at a certain weekly time point, of course, this is a later story, and it is not too late to elaborate on it.
2. Weekly: There is no important time point near the weekly line, and the next weekly time point is at the end of the month and the beginning of next month. And if it becomes a low there, in mid-January, there is hope for the formation of a second low. Therefore, considering the monthly line, it is still possible for the weekly line to continue to bottom out, but if there is a surge in the middle of next week, ** breaks through 3070 points, then the analysis of the monthly line and the weekly line will have to be reversed. Therefore, the performance of the next short cycle is also very critical, and the expectation should be **style**, but in case the trend exceeds expectations, the impact on the weekly line will be particularly huge.
3. Daily line: daily line Following the previous two consecutive reversal short cycles, here finally ushered in a regular ** short cycle, the previous point in time on November 22 one day earlier to form a high. At this point in time, November 30 is very likely to form a low point one day after the mistake. However, this short cycle, although the time is a bit long, but the overall strength is not strong, so from the morphological point of view, it is in line with the adjustment or the movement of the ** range. Therefore, only from the **daily line, the possibility of a strong ** next week cannot be completely ruled out. However, the next short cycle is still short, only six trading days, and it should not be so easy to fully recover the first two weeks** unless there is a big positive.
In addition, I have to say about the U.S. stock market, the time structure is too strong, to the low point on October 27, through November 7, 15, 22 three short cycle time points, the current 30 day of this point in time, there is still the possibility of being crossed. And during this period, the Nasdaq, Dow and S&P have completed the high-nine structure of the daily line, all of which are completely ineffective, and they do not even make a bend, and the time structure is stronger than imagined. And the Dow is only one step away from the all-time high, if the previous high can not stop its upward pace, after breaking through the new high, there may even be ** acceleration, if there is such a trend, the big A can be ashamed and brave, a little to keep up, it is also possible. However, if the U.S. stock market is effectively blocked by the previous high and falls back, it is very conducive to the big A to run at its own pace and run towards the January low.
In short, next week *** is the way it should have been. In other words, the certainty of next week's ** is extremely strong, but there is a certain uncertainty about the strength of ** due to multiple factors.
3. About the operation: In terms of bands, I pointed out in my morning review on Thursday that if ** is close to 3,000 points, don't think too much, buy it first. The Friday morning review pointed out that if there is a further downward trend, there is no need to panic, just see it as giving a low sucking opportunity. So far, the actual trend has been fully in line with expectations. **Relay, sometimes positively correlated with the index, but sometimes dominated by relay emotion, and the index is not very related, so to look at it comprehensively, the index and emotional resonance is the first time to operate. Fortunately, on Friday, the index bottomed out, the relay sentiment has also improved, and the promotion rate of the board is relatively high, our two morning stocks Jintuo shares of the long legs and Dong'an power's earth and sky board, are very imposing, gem, to noon there is only one limit stock, but to ** reached five, there is also a significant improvement. Therefore, there is a possibility that the relay emotion and the exponential resonance will improve simultaneously. In addition, when it comes to the last month of the year, it is also the time when New Year's Eve demon stocks are prone to appear, which is also the direction that needs to be paid close attention to this month. If the big demon appears, as long as it is not a continuous word or a continuous large opening and a second board limit, we are also very confident that we will rely on the morning low suction to get on the car. Many of the previous big demon stocks have been selected as our morning stocks for three or four consecutive days, and I believe that next time will be no exception.
In the blink of an eye, it was the last month of the year, and the VIP group began a 24-year subscription. The first two years, that is, the end of '21 and the end of '22, were very clear that they were not optimistic about the last year. So I didn't encourage everyone to join the group. And the ** of the two years of 22 and 23 years are indeed not good, but here we are clearly bullish on the trend of 24 years, so I am personally full of confidence in the ** of the new year. Therefore, I also hope that everyone can join the small group in the new year. All new joiners, while enjoying the discount of old fans, subscribe to the whole of next year (currently only accept annual subscriptions) friends, the rest of December will be given for free. For specific matters, you can contact me through 9449, Qiqi Qiba.