International financial markets knew as early as December 28

Mondo Finance Updated on 2024-01-31

[Information guide].

Some of Maersk Line's vessels returned to the Red Sea route.

In October, the global economic and trade friction index was 305, which continued to be in the high range.

The U.S. Supreme Court of Michigan rejected Trump's appeal that he was not eligible for party primaries in next year's election.

U.S. employers expect to hire less in 2024, according to the survey.

The Bank of Japan will reduce the size of its regular bond purchase operations for the January-March quarter.

[Market Information].

According to the ship situation updated on the official website of Denmark's Maersk Line Group (Maersk) on the 27th, dozens of its container ships have returned to the Suez Canal and the Red Sea route, and the diversion plan will still be updated according to the latest situation to effectively plan the ** chain. France's CMA CGM also said it was resuming the Red Sea route. Hapag-Lloyd, for its part, intends to continue its detour to the Cape of Good Hope and conduct its next review on Friday.

According to data released by the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade, the global economic and trade friction index was 305 in October, continuing to be in the high range, up 44 points year-on-year and 124 points month-on-monthThe amount of global economic and trade friction measures increased by 29% year-on-year and 43% month-on-month6%。

The U.S. Supreme Court of Michigan ruled on the 27th to reject the appeal that former U.S. **Trump is not eligible for the 2024 U.S. ** election party primary in Michigan.

Surveys by several U.S. regional Fed banks, including New York and Dallas, show that U.S. employers expect to hire less in 2024, a trend that is expected to constrain wage growth and ease inflationary pressures. The data showed that the Fed's measures aimed at slowing economic growth and curbing inflation are affecting the economy, an outcome that implies a slowdown in employment, but not a direct contraction.

U.S. consumers are hesitant to switch from traditional gasoline vehicles to electric vehicles, and some auto companies are delaying spending plans on electric vehicles. In the first 11 months of this year, sales of electric models grew rapidly, faster than the overall growth rate of the automotive industry, but lower than the same period in previous years. Auto industry executives say they believe electric vehicle sales will accelerate as more lower-priced models are introduced and public charging stations become more popular. In the near term, the cooling of buyer interest has weighed on U.S. automakers. EV sales began to stagnate in the second half of the year, with auto industry executives attributing this to the relatively high EV rate**.

Fitch said the increased burden of interest expenses in the US and Europe will lead to higher defaults on yield-yielding bonds and leveraged loans in 2024.

Copper*** rose to its highest point in recent months in anticipation of a rapid rate cut in the United States and a tightening of the market balance next year.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said that GDP is expected to grow by almost 2 percent in 20235%;* Will limit the cost of electricity transmission in energy-intensive industries.

The Bank of Japan said it would reduce the size of its regular bond purchase operations for the January-March quarter. The Bank of Japan plans to buy 400 billion to 900 billion yen of 5-year and 10-year government bonds in each operation in the coming quarter, compared with 450 billion to 900 billion yen in the previous quarter. The Bank of Japan has also cut its purchases of bonds of other maturities.

According to the ASEAN Doing Business Report 2023, 51Eleven percent of companies surveyed expect to be profitable operating in ASEAN in 2023. There are respectively6% and 51Forty-one percent of the companies surveyed expect their market share, operating profit and operating income to increase in ASEAN in 2023, with 70 percent planning to expand their business in ASEAN95%。

According to Statistics Korea, the number of newborns in South Korea fell by 8 percent year-on-year in October4% to 18,904, the lowest in the same month since statistics began in 1981. In 2019, South Korea's population experienced its first natural decline, and as of October, the trend has continued for 48 months.

[Global Market Dynamics].

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is 111 higher than the previous sessionAt 19 points, it closed at 3765652 points, an increase of 030%;S&P 500 Index 683 points, closing at 478158 points, an increase of 014%;Nasdaq Composite Index**2460 points, closed at 1509918 points, an increase of 016%。

The most actively traded February 2024 futures price on the New York Mercantile Exchange*** market is 23$3 and closed at $2,093 an ounce1 US dollar, an increase of 113%。

New York Mercantile Exchange light weight for February 2024 delivery***1$46, closing at $74 per barrel$11, a decrease of 193%;London Brent for delivery in February 2024***1$42, closed at $79 per barrel$65, a decrease of 175%。

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies**047%, closing at 100986。1 euro for 1$1,102, up from $1$1045;1 pound to 1$2,795, up from $1 in the previous session$2723;1 dollar for 14189 yen, down from 142 in the previous session45 yen;1 USD to 0CHF 8,433, down from 0CHF 8532;1 dollar for 1C$3,213, up from 1CAD 3203.

The onshore yuan was quoted at 7 against the US dollar at 16:30 on the 27th1437, up 8 basis points from the previous trading day, closed at 7 in the night1440。The offshore yuan fell 89 basis points to 7 against the dollar1514。

U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board, with the 2-year Treasury yield falling 111 basis point at 4254%, and the yield on the 3-year Treasury note fell 8 basis points to 3988%, and the yield on the 5-year Treasury note fell 95 basis points at 3799%, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell 101 basis point at 3799%, and the yield on the 30-year Treasury note fell 92 basis points to 3955%。

[Intraday focus].

21:30 U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending December 23.

23:00 U.S. Nov Existing Home Sales Contracted Sales Index.

00:00 the next day, EIA** inventory for the week to December 22 in the United States.

Editor: Wang Xiaowei.

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