In the immediate aftermath of the conflict in Ukraine, a whirlpool of situations that has attracted global attention is about to unfold over Ukraine. According to sources, Russia's Vladimir Putin is planning to divide Ukraine into three, and the implementation of this plan will trigger more regional conflicts and instability.
The worst outcome of the Ukrainian army's defeat: the loss of control over the locality
On the one hand, the scale of the war faced by the Ukrainian army is too large for them to bear. Ukraine's vast terrain and strategic location and, crucially, its geographical location on the border with Russia make it a geopolitical wrestling zone. Although the Ukrainian army is numerous, in the face of the strong strength of the Russian army, they are far behind in terms of tactics and resources, which makes people feel powerless.
On the other hand, Ukraine's decision-making level also faces a series of internal and external challenges. Corruption and decay have led to the collapse of internal unity and chain of command, and the effectiveness of decision-making has been greatly reduced. In addition, Ukraine is facing political pressures at home and abroad, and the conflicting interests and forces of various interests and forces make the decision-making process difficult and complicated, and it is impossible to respond quickly and effectively.
The Ukrainian army's successive defeats on a number of key battlefields have made the deterioration of the situation irreversible. On the one hand, the Ukrainian army has been unable to provide sufficient support and materials when making tactical adjustments and strategic deployments, which has greatly reduced the morale of the troops. On the other hand, the Russian army has adopted the strategy of precision strikes against the Ukrainian army, and strictly blocked the aid and supply to the Ukrainian army, which has made the Ukrainian army lose its protracted combat capability.
The loss of control over the localities by the Ukrainian army has had disastrous consequences. Ukraine's cities and villages have been devastated one after another, and people's lives and property cannot be guaranteed, triggering a large-scale humanitarian catastrophe. At the same time, it has also plunged the whole of Ukraine into a state of political, economic and social chaos, and the stability and development of the country have been seriously affected.
According to Putin's arrangement: Russia's influence in Ukraine expands
Growing political influence Putin has long viewed Ukraine as an important area of interest for Russia. In the 2014 Crimean crisis, Russia successfully annexed the Crimea region of Ukraine. This action has sparked widespread concern and condemnation from the international community, but Russia has not stopped its political expansion in Ukraine. By supporting pro-Russian factions and interfering in Ukraine's internal affairs, Putin has made the political situation in Ukraine chaotic and thus gained a greater voice in Ukrainian politics.
Strengthening military power Russia's military strength in Ukraine has also been greatly enhanced. Putin** is constantly increasing his military presence in Ukraine and providing military assistance to pro-Russian factions. After the Crimean incident, Russia took away a large number of military facilities and equipment from Ukraine, making Russia's military strength even stronger. In addition, Russia has also conducted large-scale military Xi in the border areas of Ukraine, demonstrating its military deterrence in the region and further strengthening Russia's regional influence.
The deepening of Russia's economic influence in Ukraine is also expanding. Ukraine is an important economic partner, and there are close economic ties between the two countries. Russia has forced Ukraine to become economically dependent on Russia through economic means, such as reducing gas ** to Ukraine, restrictions on Ukrainian goods, etc. This economic dependence makes Ukraine more vulnerable to Russian influence in policymaking and important decisions.
The possibility that Ukraine will be divided into three: a change in the geopolitical landscape
The turbulence of the geopolitical landscape Ukraine has always been one of the key points in the geopolitics of Eastern Europe, located between Russia and Europe, and is a contest between the two major powers. However, as Ukraine's relations with Europe continue to strengthen, Russia's influence on it is declining. Ukraine's gradual tilt toward Europe has sparked concerns in Russia, which annexed Ukraine's Crimea region in 2014 and sparked the Ukraine crisis. Since then, the pro-Russian faction in eastern Ukraine has also gradually sought independence and the possibility of further secession.
The possibility of a split into three The possibility of a split in Ukraine stems mainly from the disagreements between pro-Russian and pro-European factions within the country. The majority of the population of the eastern Ukrainian region is of Russian origin, and they are more supportive of maintaining close relations with Russia. Western Ukraine, on the other hand, is more European, pursuing democracy and Western values. This internal antagonism has exacerbated instability in Ukraine, which in turn has led to changes in the geopolitical landscape. If Ukraine were to be effectively divided into three regions, eastern, central and western, it would create a series of political and economic problems for the entire region.
Regional political and security issues The division of Ukraine into three would pose a threat to the political stability and security of the region. First of all, the situation in Ukraine could trigger local conflicts and vicious circles, plunging the region further into instability. Secondly, Ukraine's ** could provoke further geopolitical scrambles between Russia and Europe. Russia is likely to continue to support pro-Russian forces in the east, while Europe is likely to step up its support for the rest of Ukraine. This could lead to an escalation of the confrontation between the two major powers of Russia and Europe and aggravate tensions in the region.
Despite reports that Ukraine could be divided into three according to Putin's arrangement, we must recognize that the consequences of such a situation would be catastrophic. A ** Ukraine will lead to long-term instability and a protracted conflict, which is not only a disaster for the Ukrainian people, but also a warning for the entire region and the international community.
Proofreading: Tomato Hero.