Recently, Israel launched a cross-border airstrike that resulted in senior Iranian generalsMousaviKilled in Syria. This sudden incident infuriated Iran**, Raisi** announced that he would make Israel pay, and Iran's foreign minister also announced that the revenge plan had begun. In fact,MousaviThe identity is very special, he is Iran in SyriaMilitaryAn important figure directly involved in the operation, and was a close confidant and important image representative of Iranian General Soleimani. Soleimani was treatedMilitaryGenius, his death once triggeredMiddle EastRegional drastic **. Now that Israel has once again killed one of Soleimani's cronies, Iran will not sit idly by. This article will focus on Israel's attack on Iran and possible Iranian revenge, as well as an analysis of its implications.
MousaviHe is an Iranian brigadier general, serves as a senior adviser to the Revolutionary Guards in Syria, and is involved in Iran's efforts in SyriaMilitaryCooperative action. He is IranMilitaryAn important pillar of power, which has been stationed in Syria for many years. In him, Iran's important strategic intentions in Syria can be seen.
As one of Soleimani's cronies,MousaviThe status is more prominent. Soleimani is a former brigade commander of Iran's Quds Force and has significant influence in the Iranian military. Soleimani was treatedMilitaryGenius, he's thereMiddle EastThe region showcased excellentMilitaryability, listed as a "devilish genius" in the United States, givesU.S. militaryThere's a lot of pressure. He has a loyal group around himFollowers, which includes:Mousavi
Shockingly, Soleimani was killed in an attack in January 2020, and he was killedU.S. militaryof drones killed near Baghdad airport. The incident almost triggered an escalation of the conflict between the United States and Iran, with Iran attacking Iraq with missilesU.S. militaryStation as a revenge operation. MousaviThe death, which coincides with the fourth anniversary of the attack on Soleimani, can be said to be a deliberate major blow to Iran by Israel.
Iran forMousaviThe death is an expression of strong resentment and anger and a determination to make Israel pay. Regarding Iran's revenge plan, there are several possible initiatives.
First of all, Iran may launch in the direction of Syria and so on by supporting itRocketsStrikes against Israel. Syria is Iran inMiddle EastAn important ally in the region, Iran can take advantage of Syria's geographical location andMilitaryresources, to launch a powerful counterattack against Israel.
Second, Iran is likely to further support the Hamas group in Palestine. Currently,Gaza StripThe fighting is raging, and Hamas is engaged in bloody clashes with the Israeli army. Iran may increase its support for Hamas, including by offering moreMilitaryaid and supplies to help Hamas launch a more robust assault on Israel.
At the same time, Iran may also face the Houthis in YemenArmedYesMilitarysupport, and with LebanonAllahCarry out more closelyMilitaryCooperate. This will put Israel in the face of a north-south dilemma and put more pressure on Israel. Iran is in a difficult situation, so they may do whatever it takes to retaliate against Israel.
However, Iran is unlikely to be directly involved in the fight with Israel. This is mainly because it is not easy for Iran to intervene directly in the ground war, given the presence of the United States and the fact that Iran does not share a border with Israel. For Iran, it is more appropriate to maintain a distance from the battlefield and engage in confrontation through "** people".
For Israel, the Hamas raid has exposed their weaknesses. If Iran supports another wave of Hamas's "Al-Aqsa flood operation", Israel will face a serious challenge, completely discrediting the Israeli army and losing important geopolitical relationsPoliticsInitiative.
Despite the escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel, it is subject toInternationalThe situation and the entanglement of the interests of all parties are still quite complicated. The author believes that there will be some uncertainties to consider when Iran chooses to retaliate.
First of all, the United States is inMiddle EastThe presence of a region is an important constraint. Iran is well aware that it will be difficult to avoid a direct war with IsraelU.S. militaryConflicts. U.S. militaryInMiddle EastregionalMilitaryThe power is strong, and Iran does not want to face a full-scale confrontation with the United States. Therefore, when choosing revenge measures, Iran will consider more indirect ways to avoid direct conflict with the United States.
Secondly,Middle EastregionalPoliticsThe situation is also very complex. Iran must weigh its relationship with other regional forces when considering its plans for revenge to avoid provoking greater conflict and an uncontrollable deterioration of the situation. Middle EastThe numerous conflicts and entanglements of interests in the region, as well as the complex relationship between the forces of various parties, make it difficult for Iran to choose the target and form of revenge.
Looking ahead, the key to the success of Iran's revenge against Israel will depend on whether Iran can find effective ways and win over othersMiddle EastThe support of national and regional forces. Israel also needs to be alert to the possibility of continued attacks by Iran and strengthen itselfMilitaryDefensive forces. SaneInternationalThe society should maintain a high degree of attention to this incident and actively promote itMiddle EastRegional peace settlements.
MousaviThe death was a major blow to Iran, triggering intense feelings of anger and revenge. Iran is likely to retaliate against Israel in a number of ways, including by supporting the Syrian launchRockets, strengthening support for Hamas, and with LebanonAllahcooperation, etc. However, Iran may not directly intervene in the fight with Israel, but rather engage in a "first-man" approach. Uncertainties remain in this tension, including the role of the United States andMiddle EastComplex situation in the region. Anyway,InternationalSociety should actively work to promoteMiddle Eastregional peace settlements to reduce the occurrence of potential conflicts.