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As we all know, the current trend of China's population aging is becoming more and more obvious, according to the 2022 census data, China's elderly population over 60 years old accounts for 19 percent of the national population8%。
It is estimated that by 2023, the proportion of the elderly population will exceed 20%, which means that the number of people in the labor force will decrease year by year in the future, and at the same time, the number of people will decrease in the next ten or twenty years.
After all, today's birth rate is not high, and the result of aging will inevitably reduce the total number of stomas, according to the current trend, the total population is expected to decrease by nearly 100 million people in 2035, and by 2050, the population may fall to 1.1 billion people.
The loss of such a large number of people will inevitably have a huge impact on China's economic development and social constructionWhat would happen if our population were halved and it would change from 1.4 billion to 700 million?
Objectively speaking, if China's population is really halved, there are advantages and disadvantages, starting from the advantages, the first point is that resources can be better rationally allocated, and the construction of centralized and balanced distribution of resources can be promoted.
In fact, this is easy to understand, although the population is smaller, but the total amount of resources has not changed much, so everyone can get more resources to use.
In this way, the problem of resource shortage can be greatly alleviated, and at least some basic social security and welfare benefits can benefit more people, such as medical resources, educational resources, natural resources, and so on.
The second point is that the pressure on the state's finances has been eased to a certain extent, and it is necessary to know that the state should allocate various funds from the treasury to carry out social construction or provide various social security services, so as to improve the living standards of the country's more than 1.4 billion people.
You must know that this is not a small expenditure, in addition, the annual funds for the construction and development of people's livelihood also account for a large part of the finance, if the future of China's population halved, then the corresponding expenditure will also be greatly reduced.
At the same time, the pressure on social security and services will also be significantly improved, such as a significant reduction in spending on ensuring people's livelihood, much less consumption of infrastructure services, and a higher utilization rate of social resources.
The third point is that the natural environment will be improved to a certain extent, and it is important to know that the current population pressure will also cause serious damage to the natural environment.
After all, the more people there are, the more natural resources are consumed, and in the process of human activities and construction, they will also bring varying degrees of destruction to the natural environment.
If the population is halved, not only the consumption of natural resources will be halved, but the damage to the environment will certainly be greatly reduced, and at the same time, China's greening construction and the implementation of environmental protection and sustainable development policies can be well implemented.
From the perspective of economic development, the primary problem brought about by the halving of the population is the shortage of labor, which will lead to a decline in productivity and a slowdown in economic growth.
You must know that many industries in China are labor-intensive, such as some heavy industry, manufacturing, handicrafts, etc., which require a large amount of labor.
Many people may think that artificial intelligence robots can be promoted, but some jobs cannot be replaced by machines at present, not to mention that human resources play a vital role in the process of social and economic development.
And then this will bring about changes in the industrial structure and changes in the consumer market, and now many industries in China have been continued and developed by relying on a huge population base, such as real estate and automobile manufacturing.
Once a large number of people are missing, it means that these industries are facing the dilemma of stagnation, which will inevitably bring about the transformation and upgrading of many industries relying on the population base.
At the same time, this also leads to the adjustment of the consumer market, people's desire to consume will shift to other industries, rather than some asset consumption, of course, we can also see that the decrease in population means a decrease in consumption, and consumer demand will also be affected a lot.
From the perspective of the social level, the problem of aging will be highlighted in a certain period of time, and the country needs to invest more energy and funds in the social security and pension system to meet the living needs of more elderly people.
The state also has to consider the allocation of resources, the current situation, how to balance the development of young members of society and old-age security is a major problem for future development.
After all, the proportion of the young population is declining year by year, and the labor force that can contribute to the society in the future is becoming less and less, which will bring a lot of adverse chain reactions, and some potential social contradictions are likely to gradually become prominent and intensify, which needs to be prepared in advance.
In addition to these, there are some other adverse effects, such as the inheritance and development of culture will be limited and impacted, the sharp decline of the population will lead to fewer and fewer people inheriting traditional culture and skills, and many excellent culture and skills will be lost.
In addition, the population decline will cause a growing gap in the level of development of various regions, because people will consciously pour into economically developed areas, and economically backward areas are likely to become empty cities, so it will also bring corresponding economic problems and social crises.
On the whole, the halving of the population is not a good result, which will bring great trouble to our country, but in terms of today's demographic changes and trends, the population decline is inevitable.
This requires China to make timely adjustments to deal with the difficulties it will face in the future.
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