To what extent has the "guaranteed delivery of the building" progressed?
In the past two days, I watched the news and saw a report from an official media, "Up to now, the work of guaranteeing the delivery of buildings is progressing smoothly, and more than 2.68 million units of 3.5 million units have been delivered, with a delivery rate of more than 76%." Jointly maintain the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.
This is the second time that Guanloujun has recently seen a "disclosure" about the progress of "guaranteed delivery of the building". Last time, it was data from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development in early August, "Over the past year or so, the overall resumption rate of special loan projects has been close to 100%, with a total of more than 1.65 million housing deliveries, and the housing delivery rate of the first batch of special loan projects exceeding 60%. ”
In other words, in just 4 months, more than 1 million houses have been delivered.
2.68 million sets", the progress is fast, and the joy is great!Unfortunately, this is another data that does not stand up to scrutiny!Guanloujun spent several days inspecting, checking the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the National Bureau of Statistics and other official **, and also tried to find "indirect evidence" from other ** reports. But in the end, apart from the "exclusive" of this official media, Guanlou Jun got nothing.
In other words, it is still a mystery to what extent the "guaranteed delivery of buildings" has progressed. 1.65 million sets?Don't let "Guaranteed Delivery" become a game of show.
"Guaranteed delivery" is related to the vital interests of countless buyers. Don't ask Guanloujun if he understands the exact progress of the "guaranteed delivery of the building", Guanloujun only knows that the current real estate market is very ugly.
For example, the willingness to invest in real estate is weak. In the first 11 months, the national real estate development investment was 104045 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 94%；Among them, residential investment was 7,885.2 billion yuan, down by 90%。In addition, the area of new housing starts fell by 212%。
For example, the activity of the commercial housing market is very low. In the first 11 months, the sales area of commercial housing in the country was 100509 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 80%, and the sales of commercial housing decreased by 52%。Among them, the area of residential sales decreased by 73%。
For example, the speed of de-commercialization of commercial housing is very slow. As of the end of November, the area of commercial housing for sale in the country was 653.85 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 180%。Among them, the area of residential buildings for sale increased by 204%。
For example, the "Three Arrows" is also very poor. In the first 11 months, the funds in place for real estate development enterprises were 117044 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 134%。Among them, domestic loans were 1,422.7 billion yuan, down by 98%；The utilization of foreign capital was 4.2 billion yuan, down by 351%；self-raised funds were 3,850.5 billion yuan, down 20.0 million3%；deposits and advance receipts were 3,958.3 billion yuan, down by 109%；personal mortgage loans were 1,998.2 billion yuan, down by 81%。
Therefore, from the general trend, you can think of it with your toes, unless you "inject water", the progress of "guaranteed delivery" will not be smooth. Therefore, if it must be said on the better, the real estate market is still in the process of adjustment. To be honest, the recovery of the real estate market is very slow, especially in second-, third- and fourth-tier cities, where confidence is seriously lacking, and housing prices are still bottoming out and falling endlessly. This is the reality of the current property market.
I don't know when it began, ** people are used to "talking back". Admitting that there is a lot of pressure on "ensuring the delivery of the building" is not a shameful thing. What is a shame is to whitewash the truth regardless of the personal feelings of buyers who are waiting for the delivery of the house. Guanloujun doesn't want to put on a posture of "angry youth", but he still sincerely suggests that if there is no real detailed statistics and an authority that can stand the test, he would rather not say it, and never exaggerate. "The progress is going smoothly" and "the situation is very good" -- this kind of self-talking "low-level red" not only confuses the public and interferes with the overall situation, but also hinders the view and is easy to be scolded.
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