Why is the EU crazy to rob Ukraine?There are three major mysteries behind it!
The world doesn't talk about rules anymore, and even a "circle" doesn't talk about rules. For example, on Thursday local time, European Council President Charles Michel "unexpectedly" announced that the European Union had decided to start accession negotiations with Ukraine. To what extent was this move of the European Union "unexpected"?According to Reuters, the EU made this "historic decision" in an "unusual" way, bypassing Hungary, which has always been firmly opposed to the issue, and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban left the vote early to "abstain", and the proposal to start negotiations was finally adopted by the unanimous consent of the remaining 26 member states.
There is a basic "covenant" for accession to the EU, and this basic "covenant" means that every member state must agree before new members can join, which is the basic programmatic rule of the EU. Although this rule objectively reduced the efficiency of the EU's decision-making, it was the biggest consensus at that time. As a result, in order for Ukraine to join the EU, many other conditions and conditions are not considered, and even all members can vote to approve it, bypassing Hungary, which is opposed.
This incident fully illustrates three points: First, the game in today's world has reached a deep water area, and the efficiency of decision-making at critical moments is very important, and the EU does not hesitate to violate even the most basic rules in order to make decisions;Second, it is urgent to meddle in the Ukraine issueThird, the global geopolitical contest has entered a white-hot state, and has reached a state of either/or, black and white, and either-or him.
So, we can't help but ask, why is the EU so desperate for Ukraine to join the EU?In the view of Zhan Hao (WeChat *** Zhan Hao), there are three fundamental reasons:
1. Ukrainian Zelensky** is close to collapse
The support of the United States and NATO for Ukraine has become less and less, and the United States has also turned to support Israel, and in the face of Russia, Ukraine's power has become weaker and weaker. Even if it is Ukraine's ** Zelensky, his sense of existence has become weaker and weaker, and the fate of relevant countries is no longer as straightforward as in the past, and he is full of harvest. It is no exaggeration to say that the Ukrainian Zelensky ** is already in danger and may collapse at any time.
For EU countries, Ukraine is their buffer zone with Russia, and if the whole of Ukraine is taken by Russia, it means that Russia can directly threaten the current EU countries militarily. Against this background, the EU countries definitely want to avoid all this by joining the EU through Ukraine. To put it bluntly, it is to huddle together to warm up and deal with the pressure of Russia.
Second, Ukraine is getting closer and closer to ushering in a new game pattern
The situation between Russia and Ukraine is no longer what it was a few months ago. Half a year ago, Zelensky repeatedly clamored for **Russia, but now don't talk about it**, it's almost impossible to hold it. The game landscape in Ukraine is undergoing a qualitative change. What qualitative change has occurred?The United States suddenly could not stand it. Why can't you stand it?Because there is a point explosion that is worse than Ukraine. The outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is the only salvation that the United States must save, and failure to save it will directly lead to death. However, if the United States is saved, I am afraid that it will not want to withdraw again.
Why doesn't the United States want to pull out again?Three reasons:
First, Israel does not allow it, and it wants to use the afterglow of US hegemony to expand its territory.
Second, neither China nor Russia will allow it, and both China and Russia must implement the two-state planAs soon as the two-state solution was implemented, the influence of the United States in the Middle East collapsed.
The third is that Islamic countries do not allow, although Israel's cruel methods against Hamas this time, but in fact it exposes that the strength of the United States and Israel is not as good as before, compared with the previous five Middle East wars, Israel in addition to the Palestinian people, Hamas is not broken at all, but not small. As a result, everyone can see that if the United States and Israel do not implement the two-state plan, China and Russia can help them implement it.
The United States in the Middle East has no way to withdraw, how can it aid Ukraine?So, over time, the United States can only be squeezed out of Ukraine. In this case, the EU wants to preemptively admit Ukraine to the EU so that he can have an advantage in the future game.
3. The EU is trying to preempt the legal fact of Ukrainian membership before the collapse of Ukraine
The situation in Ukraine is accelerating, Russia's initiative is getting stronger and stronger, and once Russia takes Kyiv, the EU will no longer be able to let Ukraine join the EU. The capital is lost, this country is equivalent to the death of the country, will the EU let the exile ** join the EU?Therefore, for the EU, if it wants to occupy a certain initiative at the future negotiating table, it must let Zelensky sign the treaty on joining the EU as soon as possible. In order to achieve this goal, the EU has even ignored its internal rules, which is a bit like a crazy robbery of Ukraine.
This behavior of the EU can be understood, in order to seize time and opportunities. However, the fact that decades of rules have been ignored for the sake of practical interests also means that the seriousness of the EU's covenant has been challenged, and the consequences will be very great. For the sake of immediate interests, regardless of long-term interests, this is probably the logic of Western pragmatism. Of course, the United States supports this, and he is counting on the EU to block Russia on its own!However, as everyone knows, the future is really on fire, and the first one to get rid of is the United States.
Partition of Ukraine, Putin is ready to be a "killer"!
The partition of Ukraine has actually entered the countdown. Does Russia want to spit out again the territories already occupied by eastern Ukraine?It was clear that he was unwilling. What does the EU want to do?Want to include the rest of Ukraine in the EU. Considering that Ukraine Zelensky already owes hundreds of billions of dollars in foreign debt to the EU (the so-called military aid is all on the books), once Ukraine joins the EU, it means that Ukraine will have a large number of interests flowing into EU countries, and Ukraine that joins the EU will cede a lot of sovereignty to the EU. Therefore, the current pattern is essentially the partition of Ukraine.
Faced with this situation, Putin is actually ready for both:
The first preparation was to continue the advance of the war. The series of decisions made by Putin are all in preparation for the further expansion of the war in the future. On the one hand, further military expansion, and on the other hand, an increase in military spending by 70% in 2024 are all preparations for further advancing the war against Ukraine. According to the latest information, Russia has again begun airstrikes on the Ukrainian port city of Odessa. For Russia, in addition to further depleting the Ukrainian army, the next step is to further control Ukraine's access to the sea, first turn Ukraine into a landlocked country, and completely control the Black Sea mouth, which will be a strategic initiative for Russia.
For Russia, once it has mastered the entire Black Sea access, and then further considers taking Kyiv, it will be more and more proactive for Russia. These are killer moves.
The second preparation is "peace talks". Some people may have said that Putin has taken the initiative and is still "holding peace talks"?Yes, Russia also wants peace talks. However, there is a precondition for this peace talks, that is, to throw the United States out of this situation. If the United States is caught up in the Middle East, when the United States can no longer help Ukraine, then the United States' influence in Ukraine will be seriously weakened. At this time, if the negotiations turn into peace talks between Russia, the European Union, and Ukraine, and China is not added as well, this peace talks will be meaningful. What's the point?The significance lies in the fact that if there is no US interference and Russia and Europe compromise on the Ukraine issue, then Ukraine may be a peace.
What ties?Or return to Russia's positioning of Ukraine, "demilitarization" and "denazification". To put it bluntly, if Ukraine amends its constitution, no longer has an army, and becomes a completely neutral country, then this situation is acceptable to Russia. As for whether to allow Ukraine to join the EU, it is the focus of bargaining.
For Russia, it also has a great advantage that it can focus more on the Middle East and work with Islamic countries and China to "fight landlords" against the United States while stabilizing the situation in Ukraine. As long as everyone works together to drag the United States in the Middle East and finally implement the "two-state solution," it will be impossible for the United States to shake its prestige and hegemony.
More importantly, if we win or lose the Palestinian-Israeli issue in the Middle East, it will be the lowest-cost way for all mankind to fight, and it will be much better than a direct conflict between major powers. Just as Zhan Hao analyzed before, including the Taiwan issue, can be resolved in the Middle East, or in other words, the Palestinian-Israeli issue in the Middle East can be solved, and the Taiwan issue will be solved by the way. The precondition for the peaceful reunification we are talking about is that if the two-state solution for the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is implemented and the United States loses its influence on the Palestinian-Israeli issue, how can it influence the Taiwan authorities?That is the fundamental logic behind which many problems can be solved in the Middle East.
In the Russia-Ukraine conflict, why did China become a winner from a spectator?
In the Russia-Ukraine conflict, China is undoubtedly the big winner. Almost effortlessly, the entire Russian market is made in China, and now it is tens of billions of dollars a year, and it will be even larger in the future. China is now cheaper to buy oil and gas, and its energy security is higher. These are benefits that can be seen with our eyes.
As far as the future is concerned, there are also a large number of interests that we do not see. The Russian-Ukrainian war has developed to this stage, and when the war has begun to show the dawn of "peace", China's opportunity will come. What chances?An opportunity to build Ukraine. Ukraine has already been shattered, and no matter who takes over the country, no matter how it is distributed, when the war is over, it will need to be rebuilt. Who is the most capable of building?Who has the lowest construction cost?There is no doubt that it is Chinese industry. Therefore, we can now see that China is very much needed for the construction of infrastructure in Ukraine in the future.
When the war was fought, the Chinese fishermen profited;With the dawn of "peace" in war, we can see greater good. War or no war is equivalent to China being able to reap the benefits of the fisherman. Why can China do this?Strength is everything!The fundamental reason for the fact that the United States is losing a lot of money every step it takes now is that after its strength has declined, it is unwilling to accept it, and the more it tosses, the more it loses. The gambler mentality is serious, and this is one of the fundamental reasons why the United States is getting deeper and deeper.