After the Spring Festival, in the domestic pig market, the pig market showed a "big mess" trend, among them, in terms of standard pigs, the pig price after the holiday "sit on the slide", the pig slaughter **frequency**, the pig price showed a north-south "through the fall" situation, the actual slaughter of many large factories fell below 7 yuan catty. However, in terms of piglets, piglets "rose sharply", compared to about 7 kg of piglets in China before the holiday***50 100 yuan, so, what happened to the market? Here comes the specific analysis!
In the standard pig market, the inertia of pig prices after the holiday, mainly affected by the stage of the pig market into the stage of "production and marketing mismatch", pig prices are under pressure in stages, showing a significant trend, at present, domestic and foreign ternary pigs ** in 704 yuan jin, the average price is about to fall below 7 yuan jin, and many places in East China and Central China have dropped by 1 compared with the high point before the holidayAbout 5 yuan catty!
On the one hand, consumer demand has fallen off a cliff, due to the Spring Festival just after the Spring Festival, residents still hoard more goods, fresh pork residents lack enthusiasm for procurement, and migrant workers have not fully returned, urban consumer demand has not rebounded significantly, fresh pork consumption has decreased, and the situation of "two days" before and after the holiday;
On the other hand, the inertia of the breeding end after the festival has increased, due to the greater pressure of the group pig enterprises to slaughter, the mentality of selling pigs at a higher price is stronger, in particular, the first and the group pig enterprises have obvious post-holiday "rush to sell" phenomenon, the supply of live pigs has increased significantly, and the difficulty of purchasing pig sources in the north and south regions is weak. By the post-holiday consumption inertia downward, although, slaughtering enterprises resumed normal start-up, but, based on the lack of downstream orders, the operating rate compared with the pre-holiday show a "halved" trend, the average daily slaughter volume of slaughtering enterprises has dropped sharply, for the weight of pigs to undertake the deviation of capacity!
Therefore, under the pressure of long and short markets after the holiday, pig prices have shown a sharp trend, however, by the low price of pigs, changes in market sentiment and bad weather such as rain and snow in many places in the north and south, the purchase and sale of grassroots pigs have been inhibited to a certain extent, and the trend of pig prices may slow down, and the bottom of the market may be obvious!
In terms of piglets, before the holiday, piglets ** sharply**, after the festival piglet market continues to be strong, from the market feedback, 7 kg of piglets after the festival *** 50 100 yuan, the mainstream area of the transaction ** in 420 500 yuan or so, in the short term, piglets ** still have further ** support!
On the one hand, since the fourth quarter of last year, there have been more diseases in pig farms in many places in the north, and the sow inventory of many places and group pig enterprises has been passively reduced, and the scale of newborn piglets has gradually decreased.
On the other hand, around the Spring Festival, the domestic secondary fattening and breeding of the main body of the appropriate weight of the pig and the large pig slaughter came to an end, the breeding end of the empty pen phenomenon increased, the stage of piglets in the peak season, the market has a routine piglet operation, market demand increased significantly;
Superimposed, according to the changes in the sow inventory, the market has a strong bullish mentality for long-term pig prices, and the phenomenon of piglets in the breeding end is based on an obvious optimistic attitude towards pig prices in the third quarter. After the Spring Festival, the cost of domestic feed is low, and the cost pressure of piglets is weak, which also drives the enthusiasm of the market to fill the column!
To sum up, at present, the pig market, the standard pig is still facing the pressure of the off-season and the pressure of the off-season, the lack of opportunities for significant improvement in the short term, and for the piglets, due to the strong market outlook mentality, the stage of piglets to fill the fence sentiment is higher, and the scale of newborn piglets is declining, in the short term, piglets will still maintain a strong trend!
The pig market is "in chaos"! Pig prices "sit on the slide", piglets "rise in price", what happened? What do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion, **from the Internet!