The Spring Festival holiday is far away, recently, the wheat market has resumed purchases and sales, from the market feedback, the pre-holiday and post-holiday wheat trend is clearly differentiated, after the holiday wheat "rocket", Shandong, Hebei, Henan and other places, the mainstream winter wheat producing areas, milling enterprises listed ** generally **, wheat ** center of gravity has gradually stabilized at 1More than 4 yuan, the market is showing a trend!
In the past two days, milling enterprises in many places resumed work, and the phenomenon of low prices in some areas was more obvious, among them, Dezhou Yihai Kerry raised ** to 100 yuan in a single day, which greatly improved market sentiment. According to the latest data, at present, the average price of wheat listed in the country's winter wheat producing areas has risen to 14 yuan, of which, in Shandong, the mainstream milling enterprises ** in 137~1.43 yuan, the mainstream wheat in the Hebei market ** in 139~1.41 yuan Jin ......
Wheat continues to strengthen, and logic has been found!
On the one hand, the pattern of wheat after the holiday is relatively tight, due to the continuous decline of wheat before the holiday, the cost of hoarding goods is higher, and some of the wheat storage is slightly late, and the cost of wheat storage is generally nearly 14 yuan catty, therefore, after the holiday, the main body of grain holding a wait-and-see bullish mentality is stronger, and the mentality of resisting low-price grain is stronger;
On the other hand, the post-holiday wheat just needs to be strengthened! On the demand side, before the Spring Festival, due to the poor delivery of by-products, the downstream flour procurement enthusiasm of the milling enterprises is not high, and the mainstream milling enterprises are mainly based on inventory consumption, and the mentality of cautious replenishment is strong! After the holiday, due to the poor delivery of flour in front of milling enterprises, the slow pace of factory start-up, and some small and medium-sized flour mills have not fully resumed work, therefore, wheat starch flour is more tense. Before the holiday, the demand for flour was cautious, and after the holiday, the market purchase and sales recovered, and some of the merchants had less inventory, and the phenomenon of flour just demand increased, and the starch was higher, which drove the enthusiasm of milling enterprises to raise prices and replenish the raw grain!
Therefore, with the support of multiple positives, wheat has shown a higher situation after the holiday, and the market center of gravity has gradually risen into "14 yuan +", however, from the latest news, the wheat market ushered in a new situation, is the price of wheat going to fall again?
It is understood that after the holiday, wheat is relatively tight, and the grain merchants are reluctant to sell at a strong price, while the local grain depot and the grain storage warehouse have not yet recovered, which supports the wheat price! However, according to the latest news, a large number of wheat wheels may come after the holiday!
On February 21, in Henan, China Grain Storage will bid for the auction of old grain wheat 99.68 million tons. China Grain Reserves Shandong Heze area will auction 20-year-old wheat 109.42 million tons; China Grain Storage Lanzhou Company auctioned 46.17 million tons of wheat ...... 19 years
After the holiday, the grain storage companies around the country increased the rhythm of wheat policy rotation, of course, the local grain depots have gradually resumed the phenomenon of wheat rotation, among them, Henan and Shandong and other places, the enthusiasm of local wheat rotation has increased significantly!
Therefore, due to the acceleration of the pace of wheat bidding in the grain depot, the wheat pattern may improve significantly, which may be bearish for the wheat market, or there is a risk of weakening again.
In particular, in recent days, North China and the Huanghuai region ushered in a wide range of rain and snow cooling weather process, which is conducive to maintaining winter wheat soil moisture, for the new wheat has a certain benefit, will also lay the foundation for the summer grain harvest, for the market long-term sentiment or have a certain negative impact!
After the holiday, wheat "sits on a rocket", * logic has been found! 1 New situation, wheat prices are going to fall again? What do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion!