High-quality author list Today, A-shares opened low and went high, forced short in the afternoon, and the three major stock indexes Changyang rose, sweeping away the decline.
As of **, the Shanghai Composite Index +323%, and the deep component index +622%, GEM +671%, science and technology 50+650%, CSI 500 and CSI 1000 respectively. 97+%, the total turnover of the two cities was 926.3 billion, an increase of 49.2 billion from the previous day.
In terms of industry sectors, mineral products, pharmaceuticals, diversified finance, chemical fibers and aerospace led the gains, while only general, public transportation, oil and coal** were the leading sectors.
*In terms of 3829 shares, **1465 shares, 145 shares with a limit and 135 shares with a limit of 135 shares, the increase is between 5% and 1904, and the money-making effect has surged.
Northbound capital net **1260.5 billion, with a net inflow of 216 main funds3.4 billion.
Traceability perspective: GJD continues to work hard, the positive superposition ferments, the market is fully adjusted in stages, the valuation is historically low, the short-term technology is seriously oversold, and the market has ushered in "violence"**It is expected that the market outlook may take this as a starting point, and the New Year's Eve "big red envelope"** may be launched.
Let's take a look at the market details
01. Open low and go high, force short in the afternoon, ** or have "qualitatively changed".
In early trading, the market opened low, which is obviously a continuation and inertial behavior of yesterday's **, which is reasonable. This was followed by a rapid turn in popularity, which means that after the first batch of investors who picked up bargains entered the market yesterday, another group of followers began to enter the market.
Although the market is still dominated by GJD at this time, the selling pressure has been significantly reduced, because the trading volume throughout the morning is smaller than the same period yesterday.
In the afternoon, the opening rose in a straight line, combined with the voices of the "village" and Huijin Company from last night to today, it can probably be speculated that the strength of GJD** has been strengthened.
Although 13The post-50s market has fallen, but the extent of the decline is quite limited (the above stock exchange has fallen from more than 90 points to more than 80 points), and the overall high level is horizontalThis means that the market mentality has changed, and it is no longer worried about the routine rush up and down, and the core is likely to increase a lot
In other words, after yesterday's bottoming out, today's ** rise and then force the short to rise, A shares ** may have "qualitative change".
02. The transaction was enlarged to 926.3 billion, and the incremental funds entered the market?
Today, the total turnover of the two cities is 926.3 billion, nearly 50 billion more than the previous trading day.
Looking at it for a long time, in the last four trading days (including today), the two cities have traded 703 billion, 805.7 billion, 877.4 billion and 926.3 billion respectively.
Obviously, this is most likely a medium- and long-term capital behavior。In the context of the over-the-counter capital entry mode or has been opened, the market outlook is likely to be easy to rise and difficult to fall.
The reason is very simple, this round of **, small and medium-sized *** prison, can only lie flat; ** was stunned, and under the pressure of redemption, he had to tear down the east wall and make up the west wall; In the case that none of them have much available funds, the volume here can only be incremental capital entry.
On the other hand, Traceability has previously said that transactions below 700 billion are "hell" mode, transactions below 800 billion are "difficult" mode, 9000 1 trillion transactions are normal mode, and 1 trillion 12 trillion is the "easy" mode, 1More than 2 trillion is the mode of picking up money.
Obviously, the current deal means that ** has been from the previous few daysThe abnormal extreme mode returns to the normal mode。We have experienced strong winds and waves, and there is no need to be overly pessimistic about the market outlook.
03. Northbound funds rushed to raise 12.6 billion yuan, and the net inflow of main funds was 21.6 billion yuan, resonating with domestic and foreign capital
Today, the northbound capital is net ** 1260.5 billion, of which the Shanghai Stock Connect net **601.3 billion, Shenzhen Stock Connect net ** 659.2 billion.
In the last 7 trading days, the net ** of northbound funds last week was about 10 billion, and the net ** was 12 yesterday1.1 billion, today's net **12.6 billion, 7 trading days cumulative net **23.8 billion, northbound funds with real real gold** for the medium and long-term investment value of A-shares voted in favor.
What's even better is that the main funds have a net of 216 throughout the day today3.4 billion, of which communication equipment, Internet services and software development have become the targets of capital grabbing.
From August last year to late January this year, northbound funds and main funds showed one-sided net selling almost at the same time, and few of the two vigorously went in the same direction, which means that based on the logic of value and medium-term, domestic and foreign capital have reached a consensus.
And once the two most influential funds in the market are long at the same time, the upward trend of A-shares may be a high probability event.
04. The size index and the size of the index are flying together, and the ** is expected to form a positive feedback?
Today, the most noteworthy thing about the board is that there is no obvious seesaw effect between the size index and the size **.
For example, the Science and Technology Innovation 100 rose by 9At the same time as 55%, the SSE 50 index also increased by 282%。
The previous market paradigm was that the weight was raised, the small ticket collective**, or the small ticket technical reversal, and the weight forcibly suppressed the index and sentiment.
The most typical example is, 1On the 29th, the actual decline in the weight of the 6 consecutive yin was limited, but many small and medium-sized market capitalizations fell by more than 30% at every turn.
At present, the size index and the size of ** are started at the same time, and the two coexist in harmony, which on the one hand implies that the thinking of the guide (GJD funds) has changed, and on the other hand, it also implies that there is almost no room for **.
Conversely, the market is expected to form a positive feedback and continue to strengthen。That is, at the same time that the negative feedback of the previous market was interrupted, the big red envelope** may be launched.
05, Changyang anti-bag, how to go on Wednesday?
Technically, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen in the long yang, covering the first negative line of the previous two trading days, and the short-term bulls have the advantage.
*, the stock index regained 5 days**At the same time, it began to attack the 10th**, with the MACD indicator double bottom pattern, and the short-term golden cross, as well as the moderate amplification of the trading volume, the last two trading days to overcome the 10** or a high probability event.
There were 4 sequentially raised lows on the 15-minute ** cycle, and 3 sequentially raised lows in 30 minutes, ** bullish arrangement, MACD golden cross, and red column gradually lengthened, obviously on these two cycles, the Shanghai Stock Exchange has been on an upward trend.
On the 60-minute and 120-minute cycles, the sun is rising, gradually repairing, and the MACD golden cross is upward, and it is gradually getting better.
GEM one yang package 6 yin line, MACD golden cross, green column disappeared, while the strong recovery of 5 days and 10 days **, about to attack 20 days **, bullish meaning is stronger.
Comprehensive analysis: Volume and price are rising, the plate and ** are flying, ** is strong and anti-package, the news is warm, leveraged funds may have been cleared, and A shares may have ushered in a "big red envelope".
The article is a collation and reflection of traceable investment ideas, and does not constitute investment advice, for reference only).