Sixty-three percent of U.S. experts believe that China only needs to blockade the island of Taiwan to bring down the U.S. military personally, while 96 percent of experts believe that once China launches a war against Taiwan, the U.S. military will directly enter the war.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a well-known U.S. think tank, came to this conclusion after conducting interviews with 52 U.S. diplomatic experts before publishing a report.
According to the report, about 63 percent of the experts surveyed believe that once we blockade the island, then they have "some confidence" that the US military will intervene militarily.
When it was discovered that the PLA had launched a local attack on targets on the island, 88 percent of the experts interviewed believed that the US military would intervene militarily.
Once the time comes for the PLA to launch a full-scale campaign against Taiwan, 96 percent of the experts interviewed believe that the US military will join the battle.
However, as for whether U.S. allies, such as Japan and South Korea, will act with the U.S. at that time, the experts interviewed also expressed their opinions.
Seventy-one percent of experts say that if the PLA only blockades the island of Taiwan, then America's allies will not intervene, but if China launches a campaign against Taiwan and conducts a landing operation, then 60% of experts believe that America's allies will provide military assistance.
And the above is the opinion of American experts, so what do experts on the island think?
CSIS also interviewed 35 experts on the island, however, most of the experts on the island do not have any illusions about the US intervention, and only 40% of the experts on the island believe that once the PLA blockades the island, the US military will provide corresponding help to ensure that the island can be the best in the world
However, when it comes to the PLA launching a landing operation and comprehensively seizing targets on the island, then 72 percent of the experts on the island will believe that the US military will directly intervene.
When asked how long the Taiwan region would be able to hold out without the help of the United States, 90 percent of the US experts and 89 percent of the experts on the island believed that the island would be able to hold out on its own for two weeks to a month, and only 6 percent of the people on both sides would believe that the island would be able to hold out on its own for one year.
Therefore, whether it is from the perspective of US experts or experts on the island, they have basically reached a consensus, that is, when there is "something" in the Taiwan Strait, the US military will most likely never stand idly by, but will choose armed intervention.
As a matter of fact, the US military is the biggest uncertainty in the struggle in the Taiwan Strait, and we must give full consideration to the possibility of armed intervention by the US military, especially since the main force of the US military is now on our eastern side.
Although after nearly 10 years of rapid development, our national strength has been greatly enhanced, and our equipment has been rapidly modernized and updated, compared with the US military, our navy is still a young force, especially in ocean-going operations, and its experience lags far behind that of the US military.
Therefore, in the struggle against Taiwan, we cannot ignore the factor of the US military, and we need to make complete preparations with the attitude of firmly believing that the US military will intervene, and we must not be arrogant.
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