Everyone wants to find the bottom, as if finding the bottom is the wealth code. However, the so-called bottom is only one of the prerequisites for **, not even an absolute signal. If there is a bottom signal, you don't have to buy, but if there is no bottom signal, you must not be able to buy. Even if there is a bottom signal, before the bottom is really confirmed, it is a defensive operation. And the bottom is established at the moment, and it is entirely possible that it will fall again in the near future and continue to fall, so it will have to be defensive. Therefore, the absolute bottom, the bottom that can be done once and for all is simply not there. All operations based on finding the absolute bottom are all on paper, and they are all afraid!
Since the bottom cannot be absolutely guaranteed, can it be relatively confirmed? The answer is obvious, otherwise all operations will be impossible to talk about, let alone start.
First of all: the confirmation of the bottom must be on the right side, that is, there are some ** signals, and the minimum required bottom signal must also appear as a neutral signal of the stop falling signal, that is, the stock price has not appeared a new low for a relatively long time. However, the large-level stop signal is not too cost-effective due to the uncertainty of the stop fall and the possible consolidation trend in the later stage, therefore, from a purely technical point of view, the bottom must be subject to the emergence of strong conditions of the first signal.
Secondly: the confirmation of the bottom signal can be either a simple stock price or an indicator. A simple stock price confirmation bottom is very prone to visual bias, resulting in a success rate that is basically not too high. Because of human nature, there is basically no escape from the fate of loving the house and Wu. For example, if you like a girl, how beautiful you look, and then you don't want to be itchy. Like a ticket, how do you look like the bottom, and if you don't go up, it seems that you will miss 100 million.
Therefore, the bottom signal must have its own criteria. The most powerful entanglement theory belongs to the bottom signal mining theory of the neutral strategy, which is neither left nor right. For example, a long-term ** and the beginning of a sideways ** looks very bottom, at least the profit and loss ratio is cost-effective. However, the reason why it is difficult to entangle is that the bottom of the vast majority of stocks is dominated by V-reverse, rather than sideways, so this kind of V-anti is very easy to make mistakes because there is not so much time to make current judgments. Conversely, if most of the tickets have a long-term sideways bottom, almost everyone will be able to find a relatively cost-effective buying point. Therefore, it is necessary to find a relatively confirmed bottom in a fast-moving market. Here are a few bases for the bottom signal.
One: The rise and break of the trend line.
The trend line is a relatively early and classic analysis tool, which is easy to use when showing a straight trend, and is not very useful when there is acceleration or deceleration! Of course, it is still useful as a tool for judging acceleration and deceleration.
2: Bollinger Bands or channel lower bands.
The Bollinger Bands dual track is easier to use in the market judgment, but once the trend appears, the Bollinger Bands are an indicator of strength, which has little to do with the top and bottom!
Three: ** of the multi-hair scattering:
*: An ancient and proven analytical tool that still plays an important role because of the purity of its conclusions. **Turn, must be accompanied by**crossing. The relationship between multiple roots and the relationship of multiple roots constitutes a variety of relationships. In the next lesson, let's focus on it**!