(Lao Zhu said pension-24-06).China's rapid population aging rate means that China's medical system will need to make adjustments to this rapid demographic change in a relatively short period of time, and it is expected that the future control and governance of chronic diseases will be an area that needs to be paid attention to, because with the increase in life expectancy, the physical function of the elderly will gradually decline, and the possibility of suffering from long-term chronic diseases will be greatly improved. At the same time, with the deepening of the aging of China's population, the proportion of the elderly is increasing, and the characteristics of aging will increase the proportion of disabled and semi-disabled elderly in China. According to the seventh national population census, 12% of China's population aged 60 and above is in unhealthy physical condition, and 2% of the elderly are unable to take care of themselves.
The scale and proportion of disabled and semi-disabled elderly people in China will increase from 45.64 million and 17.64 million in 202011% rose to 69.53 million in 2030 and 1744%, which will further rise to 126.06 million and 22% by 2050, and the demand for caregivers in care facilities will increase from 33 in 202080,000 to 52 by 203020,000 and 1.01 million in 2050. For the elderly and their families, the rising life expectancy will also lead to a continuous increase in the cost of medical care for the elderly. In general, the medical expenses of the age group over 60 years old are 3-5 times that of the age group under 60 years old, and the average cost of care and medical care for each elderly person aged 80 and above is about 14 times that of the elderly aged 65-744 times.
(Lao Zhu said pension-24-06).There is a mismatch between supply and demand in the supply of urban pension services due to the imbalance of spatial layout, which is caused by the coexistence of "hard to find a bed" in urban areas and "vacant beds" in suburbs, taking Beijing as an example, the elderly population in the six districts of Beijing accounts for 66% of the total elderly population in the city2%, but the number of public pension beds only accounts for 32% of the city; According to the survey, the number of elderly people queuing up to register for the bed of the first social welfare institute in Beijing once exceeded 10,000 people, and the waiting time for the bed queue in Lening Elderly Welfare Institute in Jing'an District, Shanghai was nearly 10 years; At present, the service supply of community pension institutions in China mainly focuses on the healthy elderly groups with high self-care ability, and there is a lack of professional medical care services for the disabled and dementia elderly, resulting in a situation where the supply of urban professional pension services exceeds demand.
The number of various pension service institutions and facilities in China has increased from 40,000 in 2010 to 35 in 202180,000, the number of beds for various elderly care services in the country increased from 314 in 201090,000 to 81590,000 sheets.
(Lao Zhu said pension-24-06).It is estimated that between 2014 and 2050, the consumption potential of China's elderly population will increase from 4 trillion yuan to about 106 trillion yuan, and the proportion of GDP will rise from 8% to 33%. The growing size of the elderly population has created a huge demand window for "Chinese-style" pension services, and the continuous growth of wealth accumulation has enabled the elderly in the future to have the economic strength to pay for their own pension services.