2024 Chinese New Year outlook
The Russian-Ukrainian war has lasted for more than 2 years, and although the two sides are still in a stage of strategic stalemate by and large, the Russian army has now grasped the initiative on the battlefield, and in a sense, Ukraine's defeat is decided! Is there any way to salvage the defeat now? There really is! That is, the U.S. military needs to take the entire NATO with them in person, and fight face-to-face with the Russian army, otherwise there will be no fun!
Today's Ukraine, like the flag behind this soldier, is in tatters)
Less than 2 months after the start of 2024, the Ukrainian side has already had bad news: first of all, the strategic town of Maryinka was lost, and not long ago, the Ukrainian army took the initiative to withdraw from Avdeyevka, which means that the two "horns" controlled by the Ukrainian army in the north and south of Donetsk have been taken by the Russian army. A few days ago, the Russian army began a large-scale attack on another strategic point in the Zaporozhye region of the southern front, and the Ukrainian army basically did not put up much resistance and immediately withdrew here. Although the new commander of the Ukrainian army, Syrsky, declared to the outside world that the retreat was to "protect the lives of Ukrainian soldiers" and also to "retreat to a more suitable line of defense", but retreat is retreat, and no matter how whitewashed it is, it is useless.
From a macro point of view, the Ukrainian army has lost a number of strategic support points in a row, mainly due to the following problems:
First of all, the morale of the Ukrainian army is already very low, and the troops have no determination and will to fight at all. At the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the enthusiasm for signing up to join the army to resist the Russian army in Ukraine was very high, and many recruitment points on the streets even had to queue up, but after two years of bloody battles in 2022 and 2023, the Ukrainian army paid an extremely heavy price, but did not regain much land. According to reports, the Ukrainian army will have more than 340,000 people in 2023 alone**. Due to the large loss of soldiers, at least nine rounds of mobilization have been carried out in Ukraine so far, the conscription period has been relaxed to 16 to 70 years old, and even pregnant women and mentally ill people have been drafted into the army.
Famous scene: All tanks and infantry fighting vehicles aided by NATO to Ukraine were destroyed by the Russian army).
Such huge losses in personnel, but not much land was recaptured, not even the Sea of Azov was seen, not only the Ukrainian army, but also the morale of the people in Ukraine was greatly damaged, and this morale was manifested in the front line that the Ukrainian army units had no intention of fighting, and there was little trouble, either scattered and fled, or turned around and surrendered to the Russian army. The Russian army attacking Lobodine reported that many of the Ukrainian troops they captured were intact, and there were even a large number of various documents, which showed that the Ukrainian army was simply scattered when they fled, and it was not a planned retreat at all.
If it weren't for NATO assistance, Ukraine would have collapsed long ago)
Second, NATO's assistance to Ukraine is also in great hesitation, and there is a danger of interruption at any time. Although Britain, France and Germany, the three major European powers, have signed agreements with Ukraine and will continue to support Ukraine in the fight against Russia, it will take a cycle for these aids to turn from agreements into tangible materials, not to mention that now Britain, France and Germany's own warehouses are not full, and there is a big question mark over how much ammunition can be taken out to support Ukraine. As for the United States, it is even more insecure, although the US Senate has successfully passed the aid bill to support Ukraine, but the Republican-controlled House of Representatives has publicly stated that it will refuse to pass this proposal, and US aid accounts for about 44% of Ukraine's total foreign aid, and if it loses US aid, Ukraine will soon collapse.
The Ukrainian army is seriously short of ammunition, while the Russian army has ten times more firepower than the Ukrainian army)
Third, although it is the "political correctness" of the West to assist Ukraine in resisting Russia, in a truly Western strategy, Ukraine is a "pawn" that can be sacrificed. The real target of Western countries, especially the United States, is still China, and at present, the United States is hyping that the US military will deploy 5 aircraft carriers to the Asia-Pacific region, while the United States is now only deploying 1 aircraft carrier in the Middle East, and not even a single aircraft carrier in Europe! This is evident from the Center for National Defense Strategy of the United States. And now Ukraine probably understands its fate, so it simply began to "rot".
There is no shame in surrendering to the Russian army, both sides are originally Slavs, and it is clear that the Russian army "treats prisoners preferentially").
Finally, it needs to be noted that the West's aid to Ukraine is not free, so in 2023, Ukraine has given all its military industry, food, energy and other areas that can be mortgaged to the BlackRock Group of the United States, it can be said that Ukraine's "oil and water" has been basically squeezed clean, in this case, the West can give up Ukraine at any time, and let it be attacked or even occupied by Russia, anyway, Ukraine will not be able to take anything to exchange arms and aid with the West.
In this case, if you still want to achieve the kind of victory that the Kyiv authorities fantasize about, you must take the lead in organizing the entire NATO army to go to Ukraine and fight the Russian army head-on, so that it is possible to recover the four eastern Ukrainian oblasts lost by Ukraine, otherwise it is impossible for Ukraine alone to "regain lost territory". But as long as there is nothing wrong with the brain, everyone will understand this truth: will the United States go to fight Russia desperately for the sake of Ukraine? As long as you understand this truth, you can see one thing clearly: Ukraine is lost!