The topic of India's entry into normalcy has been heated again. During his meeting with his Indian counterpart, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov clearly expressed support for India's accession to the permanent state and said that Russia and India would strengthen cooperation in the military field. In addition, Biden of the United States also publicly announced his support for India's entry into the norm at the G20 summit in September.
At present, the United Kingdom and France have expressed no opposition to India's accession, which means that China's attitude has become key. China must resolutely reject India's entry into the normal state, which is non-negotiable. Why? There are at least three reasons that cannot be refuted.
First, Western countries are courting India in order to counter China's strategic intentions.
In the game between China and the United States, China cannot expect India to remain neutral, and it is very obvious that Western countries are courting India in order to politically enhance India's status and thus counterbalance China's influence. India's previous five applications for permanent membership have been rejected by the five permanent members in turn, which is playing on India's feelings.
However, the author believes that the current Western countries really want to make India a permanent member, because the United States wants to cultivate a strong opponent in Asia that can compete with China, and India is the most suitable choice, and Japan, South Korea and Southeast Asian countries do not have such strength. Russia has maintained good relations with India in order to balance China's influence, and Britain and France have not had their own independent diplomacy. China's rise has rallied the entire Western world against China.
Second, India's entry into the Security Council would leave China isolated in the Security Council.
If India does become a permanent member, the number of permanent seats on the Security Council will increase from five to six, and such an even number would be detrimental to decision-making, so it is likely that one more seat will be added, and Germany is the most likely candidate. In this way, there will be 7 seats in the Security Council, and Western countries will occupy 5 of them, and there will be a Russia that may remain neutral at any time, and China will face the joint pressure of the 5 Western countries, which is very disadvantageous to China.
The United States, France, Russia, and the United Kingdom collectively supported India's entry into the normal state this time, on the one hand, in order to win over India and confront China, so that China's western region will be unstable and unable to develop with peace of mind. On the other hand, it is also to dig a hole for China, and now the call for reform of the Security Council is very high, and if China refuses to allow India to join the Standing Committee, it will offend India and some developing countries. However, even so, we cannot make wrong decisions for the sake of face and at the expense of China's national interests. The reason why we must reject India's entry into the normal state depends on the third point, India's potential threat to China.
Third, India will be China's worst enemy in the future.
From the perspective of the next 10 years, the United States is China's biggest enemy, but from the perspective of the next 30 years, India must be China's biggest enemy. Under Modi's leadership, India's economy has begun to develop rapidly, with a GDP growth rate of 7% this year, making it the fifth largest economy in the world.
With a population of 1.4 billion, India has an abundant and young workforce, which is India's greatest advantage. Over the years, Western countries have increased their investment in India, infrastructure construction has accelerated, and Western countries are helping India to industrialize, including our Xiaomi company. Although India's economic aggregate is far from China's, India is following the path that China once walked, and in terms of trends, the future potential is the greatest. China and India are adjacent to each other, and there are more than 100,000 square kilometers of territorial disputes, and India is located in the Indian Ocean, which is very important to China, and the rise of a large country with a population of 1.4 billion in the Indian Ocean is very unfavorable to China.
The power of the United States is declining, and sooner or later China will drive it out of the Asia-Pacific region, and we must not ignore the threat from India. We cannot stop Western countries from reindustrializing India and supporting India against China. However, we must not be negligent and let India take advantage of the Sino-US game to become a permanent member of the Security Council. China's attitude towards India's entry into normalcy will never be possible.