This week, not only did we get off to a good start as expected by our pre-holiday analysis, but also walked out of the five consecutive yang with momentum, plus the three ** big yang lines before the holiday, and walked out of the rare eight-day trend. According to historical statistics, since 2015, there have only been two eight-linked yang trends, and this time the eight-linked yang rose the most, more than 12%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose from 2670 points to 3004 points, has recovered all the ** from 2970 points in January, forming a real V-shaped reversal.
From the stock market crash that continued to fall sharply at the beginning of January to the eight consecutive days after the holiday, A-shares unexpectedly walked out of a strong reversal. During the Balianyang period, almost every day was the daily limit of 100 shares, and many sectors rose by more than 20%, and most of them also exceeded 20%.
During the Balianyang period, the trading volume was significantly enlarged, with an average daily trading volume of more than 800 billion, and more than 1 trillion in 2 days, forming a beautiful volume trend on the technical graph, which indicates that the bottom has been very solid, and it is impossible to return to 2600 points in the short term.
Another gratifying signal is that since this week, funds have almost only been in and out, and the net outflow of large funds is very small, which is in stark contrast to the previous period of net outflow of two or three billion yuan per day. For example, today's net outflow of large funds exceeded more than 11 billion at the most, but only 3.6 billion at the time.
Because there are not many chips sold in the market, **I can't adjust it if I want to, it's just sideways**, and in the end it is all held up by the buyer and climbs step by step, so there is a continuous yang trend of shrinkage and climbing.
This trend is a super upward pattern from a technical point of view, that is, there are not many selling orders, so it can be achieved without much capital, indicating that the main force has a strong ability to control the market.
In recent years, there is an obvious feature of A-shares, which is that due to the large scale, there is rarely a general rise, even if the general rise can only last for a day or two, and then the main thing is that there are one or two plates as the main line to lead**, and other sectors can not follow, and a prominent feature of this week's five-day trend is that there is a rare general rise**, almost all sectors are following**, so it seems that the index has not risen much, and the strongest Shanghai Composite Index has only risen by 140 points, that is, 5%, but** But there are **, more than 50%** increase is about 20%, which is rare**universal**, typical bull-dominated**.
The continuous vibration has produced a money-making effect, so everyone's mentality is relatively stable, and they all want to meet the *** plus the stock price fell by 50% in January, and there are many small-cap stocks, and the current ** is still far from unraveling, so there are not many people who sell. So almost every day *** is above 80%, ** is usually done on the same day.
Therefore, a virtuous cycle of various plates and rotations has been formed, and it is estimated that this virtuous state can be maintained for a period of time.
From the perspective of the symmetry law of market operation, it is now the first to achieve a V-shaped reversal, and most of them are still far from this indicator, which shows that most of them still have a lot of potential. Among the three major indexes, only the Shanghai Composite Index has recovered its losses since January, and the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext are still some distance away from recovering the losses in January, indicating that these two indices still have the potential to make up for their gains.
This shows that the first wave has not yet reached the top, and there is still room for upside.
Judging from the attitude of the regulators, now the bailout has just achieved results and stabilized the market, and the task of maintaining stability is far from over. The crackdown on short selling, market manipulation, and counterfeiting is still ongoing, slowing down the pace of IPOs. However, it is more tolerant of continuous daily limits** and has not been forcibly suspended. The policy environment has also prepared good conditions for the stable upward movement of the market.
From the point of view of space, the basic goal of this time should be 3400 points, even if it is only half now. The Shenzhen Component Index only went from 7700 points to 9000 points, only up 1300 points, and the target of the Shenzhen Component Index is 12000 13000 points, that is to say, there should be more than 3000 points of ** space, which is more than 2 times the current ** amplitude. The ** space of the GEM is larger, but from 1500 points ** to 1758 points, up 250 points, and the ** goal of this round is 2600 points, that is, there is still 850 points of ** space in the future.
In other words, the Shanghai Composite Index is expected to be 25% in this round, which is a typical small bull market; The deep component index may be **50%; The GEM may be **70%. So the future space is quite broad.
Therefore, this round of reversal has just begun, the current situation is gratifying, there are a lot of overfalls, it can be said that it is everywhere, now we can not hesitate, we should seize this rare opportunity to turn over, actively and boldly operate, and make up for the losses of the big fall.