Recently, some investors have been anxious and asked me: "Can it still rise in the future?" ”
I laughed :"Who did you hear about falling to 1000 points? Without God, don't listen to the nonsense of the so-called "world-class institutions". You think about it calmly, what is the probability of falling down another 1200 points to 1000 points in the future? What is the probability of rising from 2200 to 1200 to 3400 in the future?
Based on the analysis of the current ** situation, I am optimistic that the probability of falling to 1000 points is less than 10%, but the probability of rising to 3400 points in the future will reach more than 60%! The probability ratio is 1:6, and the probability of the low position here is much greater than the probability of the ** relay, what are you afraid of? Take 10,000 steps back, that is, you are very unlucky, ** really fell to 1000 points, won't it rise to more than 3000 points in the future? The probability that 1000 points will become the head of China's ** for a few years is too small. On the contrary, there is a 90% chance that it will rise above 3,000 points in the future.
Your money is your own, and it's not misappropriated. Wait a few months or a few years at most, what are you worried about? If you kill the fall now, go to the 1000-point abacus idea that is very unlikely in the future, and it will be sold in the bottom area, once it rises sharply in the future, can you guarantee that you have the time and courage to buy it back? I don't think it's as good as you look at the overall situation, calculate the general direction, and hold on to it is the best policy. The leader listened and nodded repeatedly.
Soon, the lowest fell to about 1700 points, the next year** rose to more than 3400 points, and seven years later** it rose to more than 5100 points. Whether the leader cut the meat at that time, I don't know. Anyway, I'm not ashamed.
Every year is different, but humanity never changes. The general trend of the world economy in the first place is unchanged! Now the a** field has come to make many shareholders anxious. In my opinion, there is no need to be anxious and worried at all.
The current is the bottom, and the future A-share ** will be above 3500 or even points. The most worrying thing right now is not **, but the most worrying thing right now is the fundamentals of the listed companies we hold. If we hold an excellent company, even if it is 50% now, it will have a new high in the future, and we will not only be able to untie it in the future, but also make a big profit of 50% or even more than 5 times in the future!
What's the scariest thing right now? It's the company behind us that holds the ** too rubbish. I am most afraid that their performance has been sluggish, **when it is the most fierce, **when it is the weakest, and then the bull market comes it also**, and finally falls to the delisting. Then our money is really wasted!
So the most important thing to do now is to look at the fundamentals of the ** we hold in our hands, is it a good company or not? What are the prospects for the future? In the past two years, the bear market has come, **one after another**, and many people have panicked. What is the last straw for shareholders? I thought about this question very thoroughly when I was middle-aged.
Excellent listed companies are the last guarantee for shareholders. Be a good person, choose a good company, and get a good reward. It would be more perfect if you could buy a good company at a low price or buy a company with high dividends all year round. We are set on the ** of a good company, as long as we hold it for a long time and make up for it from time to time, we have great hope of untying and making money in the next few years. If we are buying a bad company, the longer we hold it, the greater the risk we have.
The problem is that most shareholders don't know if they are taking a good company. That's the most worrying thing! Therefore, it is better for ordinary investors to invest in indices**. The index is a collection of excellent companies, no matter how bearish the index is, the probability of a new high in the future index is infinitely close to 100%! Especially those with a bright future in sectors or composite indices**.