At present, China's real estate market is still in an adjustment cycle, and the downward pressure on housing prices in some cities is still greater. Recently, many places have optimized the property market regulation and control policies, enhanced market activity, and promoted the steady and healthy development of the real estate market.
Adjust the purchase restriction policy.
On January 27, Guangzhou issued the "Notice on Further Optimizing the Policies and Measures for the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in Our City", optimizing and adjusting the purchase restriction policy, relaxing the purchase restriction of units above 120 square meters, and supporting "rent-one-buy-one" and "sell-onebuy-one".
According to reports, the highlight of Guangzhou's new policy is to make precise efforts from both ends of supply and demand to accelerate the construction of a new housing system of "security + market". On the one hand, on the demand side, we will broaden the space for improving demand to enter the market; On the other hand, on the supply side, we will further improve the structure and policy system of public rental housing, affordable rental housing and allotment affordable housing.
The Shanghai Municipal Housing and Urban-Rural Development Administration and the Shanghai Municipal Housing Administration jointly issued the Notice on Optimizing the Housing Purchase Restriction Policy in Shanghai, which stipulates that from January 31, non-Shanghai residents who have paid social insurance or individual income tax for five consecutive years or more in Shanghai can purchase one house in areas outside the outer ring of Shanghai (except Chongming District) to better meet the reasonable housing needs of residents.
The reporter learned that in terms of optimizing the property market policy, Shanghai adopts the fine-tuning mode of "small steps and fast walking" to continue to release rigid demand and improvement demand. Lu Wenxi, an analyst of Shanghai Zhongyuan real estate market, said that the policy optimization is conducive to promoting regional job-housing balance and industry-city integration.
Since September last year, Qingdao has timely introduced measures such as liberalizing the purchase and sale restrictions, recognising houses without loans, reducing the down payment ratio and loan interest rates, and actively carried out activities such as the Four Seasons Housing Fair and the "Five Advances" group, and fully implemented the transaction models such as "transfer with mortgage" and "excellent fresh sale", which promoted the steady and healthy development of the local real estate market.
Meet diverse needs.
Li Yujia, deputy director and chief researcher of the Guangdong Provincial Housing Policy Research Center, believes that Guangzhou's new policy is to meet reasonable improvement demand and promote supply through the adjustment of supply and demand, and also meet the needs of the working class, new citizens and talent groups, so as to match multi-level demand with multi-level supply.
After the implementation of the new policy, the number of people looking at houses in urban areas such as Liwan District of Guangzhou has increased, and the transaction volume of some large real estate units has increased.
In December last year, Shanghai announced that it would adjust its general housing standards and optimize its differentiated housing credit policy. In just over a month, Shanghai has once again optimized its housing purchase policy at the city-wide level. Yan Yuejin, research director of Shanghai E-House Real Estate Research Institute, said: "The new policy responds to the reasonable demands of the market, and the favorable policies cover a wide range of areas, which can release greater consumption potential. ”
Lu Wenxi said that although January is the off-season, Shanghai's second-hand housing transactions still maintain a certain rhythm. The optimization of the property market policy is based on supporting reasonable housing demand, and the city-specific and precise policies are not only to consolidate the previous effect, but also to further strengthen market confidence and expectations.
Wang Gang, director of the market monitoring department of Qingdao Real Estate Development Center, believes that there is still a lot of room for improvement in Qingdao's per capita housing area. Citizens are hungry for bigger and better houses. As the public's demand for the improvement of living quality, living environment and living comfort becomes more urgent, marketable high-quality residential products will become more and more advantageous.
Wang Gang said that in 2023, Qingdao's housing demand will remain stable and there will be no significant contraction. In addition, urban renewal projects such as the transformation of urban villages and the renovation of old residential areas can release a large number of replacement needs and new improvement needs, and further accelerate the removal of stock real estate.
The market is expected to stabilize.
Industry experts believe that the new deal is conducive to stabilizing the confidence and expectations of Guangzhou's property market, and it is expected that Guangzhou's commercial housing market will bottom out and stabilize in 2024. Li Yujia said that the adjustment of Guangzhou's real estate policy is conducive to further stabilizing the commercial housing market and realizing a gradual and smooth transition to a new real estate development model.
Regarding the future trend of Shanghai's property market, Lu Wenxi believes that the demand for non-household registration is an important part of the market, and there is consumption potential to be tapped. The short-term market attention will be improved, and the early policy will be favorable, and there is a high probability that Xiaoyangchun will appear. Once the transaction data is obvious, the enthusiasm for buying houses is expected to further return, laying the foundation for the steady and positive development of the Shanghai property market in the first half of the year.
Chen Jing, the person in charge of the market of Shell Qingdao Station, believes that it is expected that the Qingdao property market will experience a period of repair in 2024. In terms of transaction volume, the phenomenon of polarization will be more obvious, and new housing projects with good locations, good products and good services will be concerned, and it will be more difficult to remove inventory in suburban areas. The transaction volume of second-hand homes is expected to increase slightly, and under the existing market conditions, some buyers will be more inclined to buy "what you see is what you get" second-hand houses than new ones. In terms of transactions, after a period of market adjustment, new houses have gradually stabilized, and second-hand house owners have more rational expectations for house prices. (Economic ** reporter Liu Cheng, Zheng Yang, Li Zhiguo).
*:Economy**.