Recently, domestic pig prices have shown a significant upward trend, according to data analysis, outside January 31Three-yuan pigThe price rose to 158 yuan kg, 6 days pig price **133 yuan, an increase of 919%。This increase was higher than market expectations and attracted widespread attention. At the same time,HogsThe average price is also **048 yuan kg, the domestic market generally shows a first-class trend. Regional feedback shows that pig prices in the Middle East provinces and regions are the most obvious, while the increase in the north and south is relatively small. On the whole, the price of pigs is mainly affected by the rapid price of pigs in the Middle East.
Analyzing this phenomenon, on the one hand, due to the fast pace of slaughter of group pig enterprises in East China, Central China and some parts of North China, the phased scale pig control price mentality is stronger. On the other hand, low-priced pigs in Northeast China were transferred to East ChinaLogistics costsThere has been a significant increase, while South China has been hindered by rain and snow, and the transfer of low-priced standard pigs has been restricted, and local slaughterhouses have been transferred from other provincesHogsThe cost has increased dramatically. At the same time,Chinese New YearPositive expectations for the holidays also stimulated porkConsumption levelThe enthusiasm of slaughterhouses to stock up has increased significantly, which has further exacerbated the tight supply and demand situation in the market.
As the rain and snow weather gradually ends,HogsPurchases and sales will also gradually resume. However, distanceChinese New YearThere are only a few days left, and the pre-holiday stocking of the slaughterhouse is about to end, the market demand is weakening, and the phenomenon of slaughtering and piling up at the breeding end is expected to heat up. Therefore, pig prices may show a trend of rising and falling. From a rational point of view,Chinese New YearFormer NationalHogsThe average price could rise to 165 yuan or so kg.
Personally, I believe that due to the impact of continuous rain and snow, the phenomenon of "lack of pigs" in East China and Central China may be further revealed, and pig prices are expected to continue. Pig prices in other parts of the north and south will maintain a slight upward trend. With the end of the rain and snow weather,HogsPurchases and sales will also gradually return to normal. However, it is nearChinese New Year, the stocking of slaughterhouses is also coming to an end, market demand may weaken, farm slaughter may increase, pig prices may appear to a certain extent. So we can**,Chinese New YearFormer NationalHogsThe average price could reach 165 yuan or so kg.
Summary: Pig prices once "sat on a rocket" and ushered inChinese New Yearof warm-up. Affected by multiple factors, pig prices have shown a significant trend. However, as the holiday season approaches, market demand may weaken, farm slaughter may increase, and pig prices may appear to a certain extent. Therefore, we are interested in:Chinese New YearThe trend of the former pig price is conservative, and it is expected to be dominated by "rising and falling".
Personal summary: The sharp ** pig price has brought people a lot of thinking. As consumers, we should be concernedHogsThe trend of the market, reasonably plan their own consumption demand, and avoid consumption pressure caused by pig price fluctuations. At the same time, market supervision should also be strengthened, market order should be maintained, and pig prices should be prevented from fluctuating violentlyEconomyand society. For farmers, it is necessary to reasonably control the scale of breeding, grasp the trend of market supply and demand, and stabilize operations. EconomyProsperity is inseparable from the stability of the market, and only the stability of the market can be doneFarmersRevenue, security**. It is hoped that pig prices can stabilize in a reasonable range in the future and bring more convenience to people's lives.