AI frenzy abates, S&P Thrill Revenue hits all-time high,The Nasdaq turned lower during the session, the Dow hit a record high for two consecutive days, and both rose this week. The tech giant "Seven Sisters" once fell intradayTesla closed down nearly 3%.Nvidia rose nearly 5% at the beginning of the session, and its market value exceeded $2 trillion for the first time, closing up 04%, the weekly earnings report rose 85%。The chip stock index fell more than 1%, but ARM closed up nearly 4%; AI "demon stock" SMCI (SMCI) fell nearly 12%.。Pan-European stock indexes, German stocks, and French stocks continued to hit record highs, while the technology sector retreated, and ASML fell more than 1%.
The yield on two-year Treasury bonds fell after hitting a new intraday high for more than two monthsStill rising for four weeks。The U.S. dollar index halted a seven-week winning streak and fell for the first time this year.
* Hit a three-month high and fell sharply the next dayIt fell for the first time this month, U.S. oil fell nearly 3% to a two-week low. ** to a two-week high. London copper fell to a three-week high and still rose for two consecutive weeks. London nickel hit a three-month high in three consecutive days, up nearly 7% in a week.
In the Chinese market, the U.S. stock market session,The China Concept Stock Index rose for the third time in a row, rose for two consecutive weeks, while NIO fell nearly 8%, and Xpeng Motors fell more than 5%; The offshore yuan fell more than 100 points intraday and fell to 721, but the Year of the Dragon rose for two weeks. The Shanghai Composite Index regained 3,000 points in a row, and small and micro cap stocks continued to **The market's largest dividend ETF and 30-year Treasury bonds** hit a new high.
Presiding over the convening**Finance CommitteeThe fourth meeting emphasizedPromote the renewal of equipment and the trade-in of consumer goods to effectively reduce the logistics cost of the whole society.U.S. stocks: The Dow rose 016%, the S&P 500 rose 003%, Nasdaq fell 028%。National Standing Session: ResearchGreater efforts should be made to attract and utilize foreign investment, the deployment is further improvedPrevent and resolve local debt risksJob. The 2024 National Foreign Investment Work Conference and the Special Working Group Meeting on Key Foreign Investment Projects were held in Beijing.
Securities and Futures CommissionBlockbuster response to hot issues:At present, there is no 10-year arrangement for IPO back-inspection, and the proportion of on-site inspections of companies to be listed has been greatly increased.
China, January70 city house prices: New and second-hand houses in all tiers**The month-on-month decline narrowed overallThe overall downward trend continued year-on-year
NvidiaMarket capitalizationExceeded $2 trillionAfter,It once turned sharply lower during the session, and finally closed slightly higher; Nvidia warms up the "AI event",The B100 chip and Blackwell architecture are the focus
From Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon to "Sister Wood", the bigwigs are aimingA new outlet for AIHumanoid robots
Oil prices are sluggish, the market expectsOPEC+ production cuts will be extended into the next quarter
European stocks: Europe's STOXX 600 index closed up 043%。Germany's DAX index closed up 028%。France's CAC 40 index rose 070%。Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 028%。
A shares: The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 300488 points, up 055%。The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 906942 points, up 028%。The GEM index closed at 175819 points, up 002%。
Bond market: The yield on the benchmark US 10-year Treasury note fell 668 basis points at 42539%。The two-year Treasury yield fell 241 basis points, at 46875%。
commodity: WTI closed down 2 in April$12, down 270% to 76$49 barrel, cumulative for the week**341%。Brent closed down 2$05, down 245% to 81$62 barrel, this week's total**222%。COMEX closed up 092% at 2049$40 oz. LME copper closed down $17 at $8,568 tons, and London nickel has accumulated nearly 7% this week.
Domestic macro
**Presided over the convening of the fourth meeting of the Finance and Economics Committee,Promote the renewal of equipment and the trade-in of consumer goods to effectively reduce the logistics cost of the whole society. 。The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to promote the renewal and technological transformation of various production equipment and service equipmentEncourage the trade-in of traditional consumer goods such as automobiles and home appliances, and promote the trade-in of durable consumer goods。Promote large-scale recycling, and strengthen the development of "new +** logistics system and new models. National Standing Session: ResearchGreater efforts should be made to attract and utilize foreign investment, the deployment is further improvedPrevent and resolve local debt risksJob. The meeting pointed out that to further prevent and resolve local debt risks, it is necessary to strengthen governance at the source, combine near and far, block and sparse at the same time, treat both the symptoms and the root causes, and accelerate the establishment of a first-class debt management mechanism that is compatible with high-quality development. The 2024 National Foreign Investment Work Conference and the Special Working Group Meeting on Key Foreign Investment Projects were held in Beijing. The meeting pointed out that in 2023, the national business system will conscientiously implement the national decision-making and deployment, continue to increase the efforts to attract and utilize foreign investment, maintain the overall stability of the scale of investment and its share of global cross-border direct investment, promote the continuous optimization of the industrial structure of investment, continue to diversify the structure of investment, and deepen the institutional opening-up, which has made positive contributions to the overall recovery and development of the economy. The CSRC responds to hot issues:At present, there is no 10-year arrangement for IPO back-inspection, and the proportion of on-site inspections of companies to be listed has been greatly increased. 。The China Securities Regulatory Commission said that it will significantly increase the proportion of on-site inspections of companies to be listed, accurately identify and crack down on market manipulation and insider trading, and prevent counterfeiters from "hiding the world" and "passing the customs in confusion", and the cost of violating the law will become higher and higher in the future. Shanghai Stock Exchange: This week, it strengthened the monitoring and analysis of quantitative trading, especially high-frequency trading.
Housing prices in 70 cities in China in January: the month-on-month decline in new and second-hand houses in all tiers of cities** narrowed as a whole, and continued to decline year-on-year. The number of cities with a month-on-month decline in commercial residential sales** decreasedXi'anThe average price of new houses surpassed Chengdu year-on-year to lead the country, and the month-on-month decline in second-hand housing sales narrowed as a whole, and the overall year-on-year decline continued. Chen Guo:The market bottom has been established, allocate high dividends and four major directions. A-shares this yearValuations will increase somewhat。Li Bei talks about small micro disks: after escaping from the fireDo not return。In the next two to three years, the economic environment, institutional environment and supply and demand relationship that lead to the continuous excess of small and micro disks will undergo a medium- and long-term and profound reversal. Domestic companies
*Finally WeChat Pay is available. Alibaba and Tencent, two Internet giants that once built barriersHand in hand in more areas。Following the ice-breaking in the advertising business between the two parties, the payment entrance of Alibaba's e-commerce business has also opened its doors to Tencent. Ding Lei appeared at the headquarters to apologize to the employees, admitting that there were only 3 months left in the window periodBelieve he can turn over。Ding Lei said in a speech, "In the next three months, the Gaohe will be very difficult, and the window period for us to turn over is at most three months." In 3 months, we will do everything we can to save the company. If you can't save it, then you can only accept your fate, and fight for the last time." Overseas macro
Economists lowered the probability of a U.S. recession to 40%, expecting only a 25 basis point rate cut in the third quarter. Economists have pushed the U.S. annualized growth rate from 1. to 1 this year on expectations of stronger household demand, ** spending, and a continued strong labor market5% to 21%, and slightly raised inflation expectations, expecting high interest rates to remain high for longer. Goldman Sachs changed his tune again:The Fed's first rate cut is due to be postponed until June。Goldman Sachs noted that four rate cuts are expected this year, compared with five previously. The ECB's "big hawkish" release: it is unlikely that the Fed will cut interest rates sooner. Robert Holzmann, a hawkish member of the ECB, called for patience and not to rush to cut rates, which could be preceded by a large cut once they start. Oil prices are depressed and the market expects OPEC+The reduction will be extended into the next quarter。According to the anonymous survey, 14 of the 17 traders and analysts will stick to their production cuts, while the other three will gradually ease them. Some analysts pointed out that the current oil ** exceeds demand, in order to maintain ** stability and prevent ** collapse, OPEC+ must move these oils out of the market, so they will have to extend production cuts. Overseas companies
After Nvidia's market capitalization exceeded $2 trillion, it once fell sharply in intraday trading, and finally closed up slightly; Nvidia warms up the "AI event",The B100 chip and Blackwell architecture are the focusNvidia's nearly 5% rally in early trading on Friday failed to sustain, and it turned sharply down 1% at midday, and finally closed slightly higher. From 344 times P/E ratioNvidia is not expensive among the many tech companies, which is even half of what the company's earnings report was when it began to take off in May last year. It was held in-person for the first time in five yearsAt this GTC conference, NVIDIA may "sacrifice" Blackwell architecture, B100 AI GPU and other "big killers", and the NVIDIA ecosystem will also be further improved. Duan Yongping and Warren Buffett both stepped on Nvidia. The shortfall of the two market "consciences" may confirm the irrational prosperity of AI-related companies in the United StatesBut the core question is still about how much money Nvidia has to "gamble" with outside of its knowledge. Nvidia soared, but Bin became one of the most excited. But Bin said that it is estimated that in the end, Nvidia's market value will exceed many people's imagination. I listened to the Nvidia Q4 performance communication meeting twice,Gradually, the fear of high stock prices began to believe that it was just the beginning. From Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon to "Sister Wood", the big guys aim at the new outlet of AI:Humanoid robots。**According to the new round of financing of Figure AI, a start-up that can make coffee robot Figure 01 out of the circle, is about 6$7.5 billion, with a pre-investment valuation of about $2 billion, this round of Microsoft and Nvidia will invest $95 million and $50 million respectively, Bezos' companies will invest $100 million, OpenAI, Samsung and LG companies, a number of venture capitalists and "Sister Wood" will also participate. Apple's first folding screen productProbably not an iPhone。Apple's first foldable product could be a tablet or laptop, and the actual launch of this product will be no earlier than 2025. Amazon has launched a new platform, focusing on low prices, and sellers have been able to settle in! Emulate temu, Bazaar's main lifestyle products, mainly targeting the Indian market, are priced at less than 600 rubles (52 yuan). "End of Full Text".
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