Conclusion in a word: It is a sign that the dollar is about to depreciate.
The world's ** is denominated in US dollars.
Since 2018, the United States and China have been holding their breath more than anyone. China now only needs to ensure stable development, and there is a high probability that the United States will lose.
As the de facto world currency, the high interest rate of the US dollar makes it uncomfortable for anyone. Is it China that blows up first, or is the United States the first to blow up? We'll see the results in 2024.
Why is the United States the biggest loser in the Russia-Ukraine war?
I've written about it in other articles before:
On the current Blue Star, there is essentially a hidden world that rules the whole world, and this is the Federal Reserve, which is called the capitalist world. The Federal Reserve represents the international monopoly financial capital group with the United States as its vest, and its world domination relies on four hegemons: technological hegemony, military hegemony, financial hegemony (dollar hegemony) and cultural hegemony. The most important of these are military hegemony and dollar hegemony. ”
If you regard the current Blue Star as a unified market, and all countries in the world and various multinational companies are the parties to the transaction in this market, then the United States, the world financial empire company governed by the United States + Jews, mainly exports the following ace products to the people of all countries in the world:
The first trump card product: security (corresponding to "military hegemony").
With more than 50% of the world's military spending, and ranked.
Second, third, and tenth, other countries combined are not comparable to the naval and air forces, and the United States began to establish an "American order" in our world in 1945, and finally succeeded in 1991 when the Soviet Union collapsed. Since then, the number one product that the United States exports to the world has been "safe" or, conversely, "unsafe."
The most important product that the United States offers to all its collaborators is "security", including "security" that provokes great powers with the support of the United States. Correspondingly, the standard product provided by the United States to all non-partners is called "unsafe". For example: the United States directly involved in the war of annihilation against Iraq and Libya, the blockade and sanctions against Cuba, North Korea and Iran that lasted for decades, provided Ukraine with various attacks on ethnic Russians in eastern Ukraine from 2014 to 2022, recently instigated and protected the Philippines to harass China in the South China Sea, openly and covertly instigated **elements**elements**, and provided Israel with all kinds of advanced *** Palestinian people, etc.
The second trump card product: the dollar (corresponding to "financial hegemony").
I have previously written in other articles: "The United States is no longer the United States founded by the English Puritans in the 1700s, the modern United States is the world financial empire governed by the joint Angsa + Jews, and the hegemony of the dollar is the lifeblood of the international monopoly financial group with Jewish capital as the core." “
Modern world hegemons no longer need to directly send troops to occupy global colonies to suck blood from the world, thanks to the decoupling of the world currency dollar, the United States now only needs to directly start the nuclear-powered money printing machine, you can directly draw blood from the blood vessels of all countries in the world, eat civilized and elegant.
The third trump card product: advanced technology (corresponding to "technological hegemony").
At present, the standard of advanced science and technology is "China cannot produce". The moat of this product is relatively shallow compared to the previous two products, and it is easy to be broken by other countries. Therefore, the United States guarantees that all high-tech industries are controlled by itself through military hegemony and financial hegemony at the same time, in order to earn huge excess profits.
By 2024, the United States has given up almost all of its mid-range industrial production (and even if it still exists, it is dying like fuel***, not to mention low-end industrial goods). Under the world order established by the United States, the world's industrial countries are divided into three categories: high-end industrial products producers (the United States), general industrial products producers (divided into mid-end industrial products producers and primary industrial product producers), and energy, minerals, and agricultural products. As for the other countries that have not completed industrialization, they are all cattle and sheep, negligible.
The fourth trump card product: cultural and information control (corresponding to "cultural hegemony").
This product has not worked for the past 10 years, so I won't discuss it in detail here. Of course, after the release of this article, there will definitely be netizens who shout "freedom and democracy" who want to argue with me, and I declare in advance that I have no intention of arguing with anyone about this, and each can scold the other party as "xx" in their hearts.
After so much foreshadowing, I can finally turn back to talk about the "Russian-Ukrainian war".
I wrote in the article "Three Modes of the Russia-Ukraine War and Their Results**", published in May 2022:
First of all, the Russian-Ukrainian war model that the United States wants: Before February 2022, the United States' calculation is to create problems for Russia through its ** people Zelian driver and the Ukrainian army to attack the two autonomous regions of Donbass non-stop. If Russia ignores it, it will completely occupy the Donbass and further weaken Russia's peripheral security environment. If Russia can't help but go down and send troops to help the two autonomy of Donbass**, then fight a limited local war in Donetsk and Luhansk. As long as the scale of the war is manageable, then additional sanctions will be used to bleed Russia on the one hand, and the EU on the other. The United States has made a lot of money no matter what, and Great Russia will lose miserably no matter how it chooses. ”
Generally speaking, according to the experience of normal people, the best way for Ukraine to deal with the secession regime in East Ukraine formed after the coup d'état in 2014 is to follow the example of Georgia in 2008, freeze the conflict, develop the economy, and wait for change. And why did Ukraine dare to take the initiative to attack** ethnic Russians in eastern Ukraine many times from 2014 to February 2022? The reason is that several Ukrainian ** believe in Biden's broker Biden Jr.'s trump card product "security" guaranteed by patting his chest, thinking that Russia will not dare to attack Ukraine on a large scale. The fundamental reason for the sudden expansion of the scale of the war in Ukraine in 2022 is that in order to cooperate with the United States to raise interest rates, the Ukrainian ** army drove European capital to the United States to take over, and increased the intensity of its offensive against the Russian-controlled areas of eastern Ukraine.
Seeing the weakness of the United States in the context of Sino-US confrontation, Russia resolutely launched a war of national annihilation, which is equivalent to gambling on its national fortunes. The best strategy is to solve the Ukrainian problem in one fell swoop. The middle strategy is that if Ukraine cannot be resolved in a short time, then follow the example of 2014 and then bite a piece of meat from Ukraine and sign a peace agreement. By February 2024, Russia has now basically safely eaten the four regions of Eastern Ukraine + Crimea, and if there is a truce now, it will definitely be earned.
This time the sales in the United States were shattered, and the money was collected but the goods could not be delivered. Even if the United States drops a financial nuclear bomb, Russia is still alive. So, in the rest of the world, in the Middle East, East Asia, South America, will everyone still believe that the ace product of the United States is "safe"? Starting on October 27, 2023, the Iranian "Resistance Front" in the Middle East has given the answer.
In addition, after the start of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the United States dropped a financial nuclear bomb on Russia, but did not blow up Russia. This has also caused another serious consequence, that is, the second trump card of the United States, the dollar, has also begun to be seriously unsalable.
I've written about it before:
The US dollar interest rate hike has not been increased, and the US Treasury bond has exceeded 34 trillion in January 2024, and it is still rising in a straight line, and there is no possibility of a decline. This year, the interest on Treasury bonds alone is enough for the United States to drink a pot, and about $8 trillion in Treasury bonds will need to be sold to pay off the old ones when they mature. After the death of several banks in 2023, the Federal Reserve is already secretly releasing water to other US banks that have bought large amounts of US Treasuries.
Almost all production indicators in the United States in 2023 will shrink, only consumption indicators will grow, and there is only one truth, that is, borrowing money to consume and false prosperity.
The United States is now like a family, with an annual income of only 440,000 yuan in 2023, but an expenditure of 610,000 yuan (including 60,000 yuan in online loan interest), and 170,000 yuan in the hole that year, all of which are made up by borrowing, and already owes a total of 3.4 million yuan in online loans. The expenditure in 2024 will be **, the income may have to decline, and then the interest alone will have to repay 100,000 yuan, and there will be 1 million yuan of online loans that need to be borrowed to repay the old when they expire, but who to borrow has not yet been settled.
So how did you spend this year?
Either go out and grab (start a war), or buy a lottery ticket and suddenly win the jackpot (there is an industrial revolution-level technological breakthrough). If it doesn't work, the only way to do it is to sell the house and land (strategic contraction). ”
Now the Fed is hesitant to cut interest rates, the main reason is that this interest rate hike has not been blown up by any important country in the world, and the dollar has nowhere to go. If interest rates are cut now, the dollar that cannot flow out will only form a dammed lake in the United States, triggering another outbreak of inflation, thereby detonating the United States ** and the bond market, causing systemic risks to the U.S. economy. However, if interest rates are not cut, the interest rate on U.S. bonds will not be sold or the Fed will be forced to use a nuclear-powered money printing machine to buy U.S. bonds, which will also cause systemic risks to the U.S. economy.
A company, if the sales of the first and second largest ace products have been hit hard and irreparable, even if some of the previous money is returned (European capital flows back to the United States), then it will lose anyway.
That's why I say that the United States is the biggest loser in the Russian-Ukrainian war.
By the way, the recent Taiwanese puppet ** dared to do things in the waters of Kinmen, also because they believed in the "security" of the ace product of the United States like Ukraine**. How to prove that the "security" of the United States is unreliable, or in other words, think about how we can also give Taiwan a little bit of "insecurity", I personally think that it should be the key to the next step in the struggle against Taiwan.