Since ancient times, China has been the world's most populous country for most of the time, accounting for about a quarter of the world's total population. At the beginning of the 12th century (Northern Song Dynasty), it exceeded 100 million, and from the 18th century to the early 19th century (Qing Dynasty), it successively exceeded the 200 million, 300 million and 400 million mark, and by the time of the founding of New China in 1949, China's population size had reached 5400 million, entering 2023, the total population has even exceeded 1.4 billion.
Over the years, China's total population has always accounted for a relatively high proportion of the world's total, and even when family planning was carried out at the beginning, the total population was still considerable. However, since 2016, China's demographic trends have changed greatly, and the birth rate has even fallen off a cliff in the next few years.
In order to prevent the birth rate from continuing to decline, the relevant departments launched the two-child policy at the first time, but the implementation effect was not obvious, so the three-child strategy was released. originally thought that with the protection of the policy, the positive performance of fertility would improve again, but what I never expected was that 2022 would usher in an era of negative population growth.
This year, the total population of our country suddenly decreased by 850,000 compared to 2021. This is also the first time in more than 60 years that China has faced negative growth in the total population. Entering 2023, although the downward trend of the birth rate has slowed down, it has still not been able to change the negative population growth. In response to such a problem, the country may have to "show the real knife", since the urging of the third child failed, some experts once again put forward a "good idea", after reading it, do you agree?
Open three children, no effect
In fact, to be more specific, the three-child policy was officially implemented in 2021, and the relevant departments also felt that this was an effective measure that could change the demographic structure of our country. Moreover, considering that the three-child policy alone may not be able to play a full role, various birth subsidy policies have been added to encourage the public to have children through economic support.
Originally, I thought that as long as we provided financial subsidies for everyone, then we would definitely usher in a large number of young people who were willing to have children, so that China's population problem could also be solved. But what I never expected was that with the blessing of the three-child policy and various birth subsidies, the population structure has not improved, but there has been a negative population growth.
The gap between this reality and expectations is too large, so many experts have begun to worry that if this trend continues, it may exacerbate the negative growth and aging of the Chinese population. Later, experts from all walks of life also began to offer advice. Some experts suggest that each child be given a reward of 3,000 to 5,000 yuan per person per month; It has also been suggested that families with three children should be given some benefits, such as a policy of free education for three children from preschool to university.
In addition, another economist even proposed a "good method" that subverts everyone's perception - restricting the inheritance rights of only children. To put it simply, if an only child wants to inherit his parents' property, house, etc., he or she must have the next generation. In this way, the birth rate of newborns can also be improved.
However, this kind of coercive suggestion, instead of gaining everyone's favor, has caused many malicious comments. Insiders believe that if we want to encourage everyone to have more children, we must fundamentally analyze and solve a series of pressures borne by contemporary young people.
Pressures of contemporary youth
Returning to the essential question of today, what kind of methods should we adopt to effectively improve China's population problem? Obviously, the most effective way is to fundamentally solve the pressure of young people, so that everyone has no worries, and young people are willing to have more children.
1.In fact, the first reason why many contemporary young people are reluctant to have children is because the cost of marriage is too expensive. For example, although the high bride price has been curbed in recent years, many rural areas still maintain this traditional custom, and the bride price cost of hundreds of thousands of yuan is simply unaffordable for some ordinary families.
In addition to the bride price, high housing prices are also the reason why many young people cannot afford to buy a house, get married, or have a baby. For example, the current housing prices, even if they are only buying a house in second- and third-tier cities, the total price of a 100-square-meter house must be at least 1 million, which is obviously unaffordable for the vast majority of ordinary families in China.
2.With the development of society and economic growth, families are investing more and more in their children, such as education, medical care, entertainment, life, etc., all aspects need money to support. For example, before the child is three years old, the milk powder money is a large expense, about 30,000 yuan for three years; After the age of three, I go to kindergarten, and it is another three years, and the tuition fee for each semester is about 3,000-10,000 yuan.
Although the nine-year compulsory education does not cost money, the children's food, accommodation, medical care, and even counseling at school are indispensable, which also needs to be piled up with money. However, even so, it does not change the fact that when children enter high school, they will face a five-five diversion. Those with good grades enter public high schools and enjoy free education, saving at least three years of considerable expenses; But after all, there are only a few good universities, and most of them have to face higher tuition education pressure. For example, private high schools in Guangdong have tens of thousands of tuition fees a year, and hundreds of thousands in three years.
This is not counting, in recent years, there has been a lot of news about the increase in tuition fees of colleges and universities, and it is said that some of them have increased by as much as 40%, and in three or four years, it is a big expense. During this period, the children's living expenses, medical expenses, travel expenses...Counting these, it is not easy for an ordinary family to raise one child, and it is impossible to think of having two or even three.
3.There are too many worries about medical care and pension Nowadays, the aging is intensifying, who does not have one or two old people, but there are elderly people who have to face a reality: many elderly people have insufficient income, and may only have one or two hundred yuan per month for the elderly, which can not support themselves even if they live in the countryside, let alone in the towns.
In addition, the physical function of the elderly has declined and there are more diseases, which has led to a sharp increase in the expenditure of many families on medicine. If there is a serious illness or incurable illness in the family, this is a nightmare. Because a serious illness is not good, a middle-class family will be returned to poverty overnight, emptying the family, not to mention, and even carrying huge debts.
Although over the years, the payment of NCMS has become higher and higher, but the people still look down on it more and more in terms of medical treatment. It is difficult and expensive to see a doctor, which has become a major problem for the common people. This situation not only affects the daily life of ordinary people, but also brings a huge financial burden to many families. With so much pressure, who would dare to have more children?
In short, in order to solve the problem of the continuous decline in the number of births in China, it is necessary to analyze and solve it from multiple angles and levels. As some experts have suggested, limit the stepping of only childrenInheriting power to stimulate more children obviously does not essentially solve the problem of young people's reluctance to have babies.
The best way is to let everyone have no worries! Imagine, young people are not worried about not being able to buy a house, not worrying about not being able to marry a wife, and not worrying about the future medical care and pension, who would want to be lonely for a lifetime, or even "cut off children and grandchildren"? Do you agree with that? Agree to like! Wan Ziwen said:Every word of the article was typed out by me, and I clicked it outLookingLet me know that you are also working for lifeDo your best