** "Jumping up and down", is the corn in March messed up? But the truth is becoming clearer
After entering March, the corn market is even more breathing in the throat, the reason is very simple, although the corn is still in the first place, but March is about to enter the stage of the amount of grain lying on the ground, can corn overcome the impact of the amount of grain lying on the ground?
The market held its breath.
In fact, this is not a good thing because, as we have already said, people are currently overreacting to the corn market.
And the consequence of overreaction is that as long as there is wind, it is easy to amplify, which in turn affects the sentiment of the corn market.
In the past two years of market experience, we have also found that although mentality cannot change the essence of supply and demand, it does play a small role in the market stage.
So whether it's good news or bad news, overreacting is certainly not a good thing.
For example, good news will lead to corn continuously**, and the selling sentiment will become stronger, but the market cannot say that buying and selling corn is not gambling, because ** will be blocked;
On the other hand, if the news is not good, it is easy to be overly pessimistic, thinking that corn will come to an end and there may be another panic selling of grains, thus making the market further **, which is obviously not a good thing.
Again, this can't be blamed on the mentality either, as the corn market seems to have gotten more out of the way into March"Confusion", which is mainly manifested in two aspects:
First, it starts to rise and fall.
Believe it or not, the truth is, as we head into March, corn starts to ebb and fall.
Northeast corn in February is"up"You have to be impressive, first of all, no matter how much you rise, you are still immersed in the trend.
But in March, first of all, the deep processing enterprises began to decrease, followed by the direct warehouse also began to decrease, plus the port before the ** seems to have fallen, so the trend of corn in the Northeast has slowed down, and there seems to be a situation of ups and downs.
Second, there is growing polarization.
Everyone is worried about the corn in Northeast China, but no one mentions Shandong. In other words, Northeast corn lasts, and Shandong corn lasts.
Especially in recent days, this polarization has become even more pronounced.
The Northeast is red, while Shandong is green, and there is even one company that has started to downgrade several times in a day**.
This will make the market incomprehensible"Jump up and down"Isn't the market even more confused?
In fact, I think the opposite is true: in the midst of frequent ups and downs, the corn market is becoming clearer: that is, corn's"Top"with"bottom"It is gradually becoming clear.
The market tension is that you don't feel the market, you don't know how high or low the corn will rise, and you don't know the bottom of your heart, so you panic.
However, because corn often jumps up and down, there is a pattern:
On the one hand, the rise and fall of corn is largely affected by absorption conditions.
Now, the market is indeed a bit chaotic, for example, there are companies that are fiercely bullish, but there are also companies that are bearish, and the reason is nothing more than the situation of corn surplus.
If there is more of it, it will be adjusted backwards; If the quantity is less, the ** will be increased to attract food sources. Including the port is also such a way of operation, there are more vehicles collecting goods at the port, and the ** of the port will inevitably change.
This also shows that the demand for corn is limited, and if the amount is too large to digest, it will. Since the demand is limited, it also limits the space.
Second, the likelihood of new major economic policy measures is expected to decrease.
After the year, although the amount of corn is still very large, but with the advancement of grain and oil sales progress, the basis surplus grain is generally still maintained at 30% to 40%, and according to the previous law, when the grain and oil sales progress reaches 70% to 80%, the mentality will change, that is, the sales pressure has eased, but the sentiment of rushing to buy high-quality grain sources has begun to grow.
Nowadays, the tipping point of the change of perception is getting closer and closer, and with the advancement of purchase and sales, corn"** "The selling pressure of price reductions will naturally continue.
It can be seen that the next corn ** has become increasingly clear, after a continuous ** has shown a certain fatigue, with the increase of ** amount, it is likely that there will be a certain decline, but the bottom is also relatively clear, so the **space will not be too drastic.
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