Recently, Ukraine** Zelensky publicly stated for the first time at a press conference that the Ukrainian military** in the battle with Russia ** the number is only 31,000. This data is much less than previously estimated by the United States and Russia, and the Russian *** woman Zakharova fiercely refuted this, saying that Zelensky was lying, and he said that the Ukrainian army was deliberately reducing the war ** in order to obtain economic aid from Western countries. Why is Zelensky so keen on this digital means? What exactly is he trying to achieve?
1. Zelensky's purpose: to increase the prestige of himself and the Ukrainian army.
Zelenskyy used to be a humorist, and he has a strong ability to influence and control public opinion. He focused on the crackdown and the peaceful resolution of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia, defeated Poroshenko in Ukraine, and won the trust and support of the people. However, as soon as he came to power, he encountered unprecedented difficulties, not only dealing with internal economic and social problems, but also dealing with military force from Russia and political pressure from the West. In this situation, Zelensky must not only create a positive image for himself, but also for the Ukrainian army, in order to maintain his power, the public**, and also maintain the fighting spirit and combat capability of the Ukrainian army.
So Zelensky has the motivation to miscalculate the Ukrainian army and miscalculate the losses of the Russian army. Its advantages are as follows:
If the losses are reduced, the grief and anger of the Ukrainian people will be alleviated, so that they will no longer complain and doubt the regime and the army, and they will no longer be tired of coping and resisting. Doing so can reduce the panic of the Russian army, increase their self-confidence and will to fight, strengthen their determination to resist the Russian invasion, and defend the sovereignty and homeland of the motherland. Overestimating the people can not only reduce Russia's prestige and prestige in the world, but also make Russia show cruelty and weakness in front of the people of the country and the world, and at the same time increase the cost and pressure that Russia is suffering in this war, so that Russia can make concessions and concessions. On the other hand, it can also make great achievements for the Ukrainians, making them heroic and strong in the eyes of people at home and abroad, so as to win them more opportunities.
2. Zelensky's approach: make full use of the uncertainty and operability of data.
If Zelensky wants to achieve an estimate of the personnel of the Ukrainian army, an underestimation of the damage caused to the Russian army, and the damage caused to the Russian army, he must make full use of the ambiguity and operability of these materials. The ambiguity of data, that is, the complexity, disorder, asymmetry, and non-transparency of the battlefield, make it difficult to obtain accurate and complete data, and the conclusions drawn according to different data** and criteria are also different, therefore, there are great uncertainties and variations in these data. The operability of data refers to the fact that because the collection and analysis of data must rely on some methods and skills, and there are some subjective and objective factors, these data themselves have some room for choice and adjustment, and can make a variety of different processing and performance for different uses and requirements.
Therefore, Zelensky can use these unclear and actionable information to seek benefits for himself. He can do the following:
Resources and guidelines to facilitate information. Zelensky can select statistics that favor Ukraine rather than Russia, for example, he can obtain information from Ukraine** or other third parties who support Ukraine, and ignore or deny official Russian information or third-party information that supports Russia. Of course, he can also pick out some indicators that are good for Ukrainians and not good for Russians, for example, according to the number of war **, not counting non-war **, and according to the number of regular troops, not counting the number of non-war **, etc. Collection and analysis of processed data. Zelensky can manipulate the collection and analysis of these materials, for example, he can control the acquisition and publication of these materials, and only information that is beneficial to the Ukrainian army and does more harm than good will be hidden or modified by the Ukrainian army. Moreover, through the analysis and analysis of various materials, he can adopt methods and techniques that are beneficial to the Ukrainian army and do more harm than good, ignoring or eliminating some methods and technologies that are harmful to the Ukrainian army but beneficial to Russia. How and how this data is displayed. Zelensky was able to show the methods and impact of these figures, for example, he could illustrate them with some statistics, highlighting what is good for the Ukrainian army, what is bad, what is negative, what is good for the Ukrainian army, and what is good for Russia. At the same time, he can also use various statistical analyses to eliminate all those that are beneficial to the Ukrainian army, those that are beneficial to the Ukrainian army, those that are negative, those that are beneficial to Russia, and negatively.