If Lai Qingde is elected, there will be a time window for reunification
Now, there are only more than 30 days left before the election on the island of Taiwan, and the support rate of candidate Lai Qingde is still higher than that of other candidates.
According to the analysis of people on both sides of the strait, if Lai Qingde is elected, it may lead to a big regression and a major regression, and may even trigger an armed conflict between the two sides of the strait.
However, we believe that we must have the ability to turn the crisis into an opportunity, and we can take advantage of the situation to accelerate or even complete the reunification of the country in one fell swoop
1. The three-way competition behind the "* forces".
The "Taiwan independence" forces represented by Tsai Ing-wen have made a mistake in Taiwan, as if they had regarded Taiwan as the best stage for themselves to gain political capital and interests.
All along, we have pinned our hopes on the Taiwan authorities not to embark on the road of no return, and we also hope that the Taiwan authorities will not take the initiative to collude with the United States to contain China's development.
Lai Qingde himself is a thorough "worker, and during the election campaign, he has repeatedly expressed his position in public, and the goal of the campaign is to completely free Taiwan from the influence of the mainland of the motherland, which can be said to be more radical than Tsai Ing-wen, and basically inherited Tsai Ing-wen's "independent" political line.
The United States is also afraid that Lai Qingde's coming to power will trigger a conflict in the Taiwan Strait, so the United States deliberately asked Xiao Meiqin to serve as Lai Qingde's deputy, first, to control Lai Qingde in its own hands, and second, to let Lai Qingde come to power smoothly and help Lai in the election.
As far as China is concerned, its greatest strategic interest is to realize the peaceful reunification of the two sides of the strait, China's economic strength will become stronger, and its political influence, especially its influence on neighboring countries, will be greatly strengthened; third, China's geostrategic environment will be fundamentally improved, which will greatly increase China's strategic depth, and China will completely change its unfavorable maritime situation.
For some of the "best forces," the greatest strategic gain is to complete "peaceful independence," and if they completely part ways with the mainland for the sake of so-called "independence," Taiwan will suffer a strategic price that it simply cannot bear, and the road of "peaceful independence" is a dead end.
As far as the United States is concerned, the greatest strategic gain is not to let Taiwan "become independent," but to maintain the current situation; if the two sides of the strait complete peaceful reunification or reunification by force, the United States will completely lose the foundation of "using Taiwan to contain China."
The United States will also lose Taiwan as a strategic pawn, and if the Taiwan authorities are allowed to "rush to independence," the United States will have no choice but to enter the war, and it is very likely that it will be bloodied.
If the United States does not enter the war, it will lose the political influence of the boss of the Western world, and this is a situation that the Americans do not want to see, and they cannot advance or retreat.
Therefore, the normal idea of the United States is to keep the two sides of the strait in the first place, and under the guise of the so-called "peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait", let itself stand on the moral high ground and constantly ask the Chinese side for a price.
Second, the PLA must make good preparations for all military struggles.
In 1950, the Korean Civil War broke out, the powerful US Navy's 7th Fleet entered the Taiwan Strait, and the Chinese People's Liberation Army lost the window of time to unify the country.
During the fifth Taiwan Strait crisis in 1995-1996, China once again lost the opportunity to unify the Taiwan Strait, and the People's Liberation Army at that time did not have the ability to cross the Taiwan Strait.
The Chinese Navy does not have the ability to win a modern naval battle and cover the landing force to carry out amphibious landing operations, and the Air Force does not have the ability to seize sea supremacy in the strait, nor does it have the material conditions to prevent foreign forces from intervening.
At that time, the Second Artillery Corps' precision strike capability and long-range conventional strike capability were extremely scarce, and its firepower strike and fire support capabilities were limited to military targets on the island of Taiwan.
Since 2020, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) has acquired a strong ability to use force to resolve the Taiwan issue, and the Taiwan authorities have felt unprecedented military pressure.
At present, it is very likely that Taiwan will once again elect "** elements" to the post of regional leader, and once again push the Taiwan region into a fire pit.
It is hopeless and foolish for us to continue to pin our hopes on the self-examination of the Taiwan people, the historical responsibility of Taiwan's political parties, and the awakening of the national consciousness of the leaders of the Taiwan region, and this will force the Chinese People's Liberation Army to strengthen preparations for military struggle under the existing conditions.
Senior Colonel Wu Qian, spokesman for the Ministry of National Defense, said that the authorities deliberately hyped up the so-called "mainland military threat" and exaggerated the tense atmosphere in the Taiwan Strait in order to seek their own electoral interests, and the PLA fully grasped the dynamics of the Taiwan military and resolutely defended national sovereignty and territorial integrity (excerpt from Senior Colonel Wu Qian's press statement).
We have made it very clear that it is the Taiwan authorities' act of "peace and independence" that has triggered tension in the Taiwan Strait, and we have already grasped the dynamics of the Taiwan military under the accelerated military struggle of the PLA.
Since last year's combat readiness patrol against Taiwan, units and firepower units under the PLA Navy, Air Force, and Rocket Force have pressed Taiwan in an all-round way.
For the first time, DF-15 and DF-16 short-range conventional missiles of the PLA Rocket Force's conventional missile brigade flew over Taiwan Province and hit a preset target east of Taiwan.
First, if the PLA's conventional missiles are capable of striking east of Taiwan, then the military targets on the island of Taiwan are all within the strike radius of the PLA Rocket Force's conventional missiles, and second, the PLA's missile units have all grasped the movements of Taiwan's military targets.
For example, the location of Taiwan's military airfield, the distribution of concrete reinforcement machine fortresses, the berthing position of the first in Taiwan's military port, etc., which requires extremely strong battlefield reconnaissance capabilities and long-term monitoring capabilities on targets, and today's PLA has this ability.
If the crisis in the Taiwan Strait comes again, we should not feel pessimistic and helpless, the powerful military strength of the PLA has given us enough confidence, and seizing all conditions to accelerate the reunification of the motherland is our main task at present, and we will wait and see if we leave the results to time. Project Sword