The first week of the new policy, Beijing, Shanghaiproperty marketushered inBuying a houseThe situation once seemed to be "thriving". However, real market data reveals a much larger and deeper problem. According to the analysis of Zhuge Housing Data Research Center, although the new policy has driven a short-term increase in transaction volume, compared with the previous policy, the stimulus effect this time is obviously limited.
In Beijing, for example, within 48 hours of the implementation of the new policy, the number of new home transactions rose rapidly, with 364 units traded in a single day, higher than the average of 8902%, a new recent high. Shanghai also reached the second peak of 558 units in a short period of time. However, this momentum did not last, and the data showed that the volume fell back in a short period of time. Compared with the previous policy implementation, especially the "recognition of housing but not loans" in early September, the market performance this time is very different. In early September, the day the policy was implementedNew house in BeijingMore than 1,800 units were sold in one day, equivalent to half of the sales in the whole month of August.
However, this sharp increase did not last in NovemberNew house in BeijingSales again**. There was a similar situation in Shanghai, although on the day of the implementation of the policy of "recognising the house but not the loan".Second-hand housing online signingThe volume reached a new high of 699 units, but the new deal in December did not exceed the volume of the previous policy, and fell over the weekend, failing to maintain the bottom line of 600 units. This series of data shows that although the new policy has driven the growth of market volume in the short term, the overall popularity is much lower than that of the previous policy. The lack of demand and the blockage of the transaction chain have become the bottleneck of the marketBuying a houseThe wait-and-see attitude and cautious mentality have slowed the pace of market growth.
However, the market's reaction was not accidental. Buying a houseYesProperty market policyis a response to frequent policy changes and uncertainty. Buying a houseResidents are afraid to enter the market easily, and residents' leverage has peaked, and worries about future income growth make them dare not act rashly. In this case, even if the policy is loosened again, it will be difficult for the market to recover quickly. Buying a houseThe wait-and-see attitude gives homeowners room for reflection, especially in today's increasingly uncertain society. So, in the case of high market volatility, should owners cash out in the short term, or should they consider the long-term trend of the market more rationally and make more prudent decisions?This is also a topic worth going deep into.
Should every policy change be seen as an opportunity to cash out?Does the market really need a temporary price increase to push it?When the market chooses to cash out, owners also need to think calmly. Short-term gains may be tempting, but until the overall market trend is clear, it is important to make careful decisions. Don't be short-termProfitsInstead, you should stay calm and see what the market is really looking at.
Property market policyThe ups and downs are like a roller coaster, which seems prosperous on the surface, but in fact contains all kinds of uncertainties. Market reactions and policy implementation are not always consistent, requiring us to deepen our thinking and rational judgment.
From a personal point of view,property marketThe volatility is actually the market's reaction to the policy, tooBuying a houseworries about the future. In the short term, policy adjustments may stimulate market heat, but this heat is difficult to sustain and requires more comprehensive and long-term policy adjustments to meet itBuying a houseThe actual demand of the market promotes the healthy development of the market.
Buying a houseYesProperty market policyThe gradual increase in "drug resistance" cannot be ignored. ** When introducing policies, we should consider the long-term development of the market and giveBuying a housemore confidence and security. Only in this way can a virtuous circle of the market be truly realized.
The ups and downs of the market are the norm, but rightBuying a houseRational decision-making and accurate judgment of market trends are more important. We need to stay calm, think deeply, and not easily follow the crowd. Hope for the futureProperty market policyIt can be more clear and long-term planning, forproperty marketBring real stability. This requires the joint efforts of all relevant parties in order to achieve the healthy development of the market andBuying a houselong-term interests.