(Data**: Zhuochuang Information).
1. Corn market On February 22, the average price of corn in the country was 229049 yuan ton, compared with February 21 **475 yuan ton, an increase of 033%。Compared with the previous month, corn **month-on-month**004%；Compared with the same period last year, the year-on-year decline reached 1810%。The main contract price of continuous corn was 2464 yuan ton, compared with 38 yuan ton on the 21st.
The enthusiasm of grassroots farmers in the producing areas to sell grain is not high, resulting in a relatively tight effective corn market. In order to promote the acquisition, the northern port merchants have raised the price, and this measure has also driven the corn in the southern sales area to follow up.
The key factors affecting the changes in the current corn market include: in terms of grassroots farmers, the enthusiasm of grassroots farmers to sell grain is not high, and the shipments of some farmers are limited, resulting in a relatively tight corn market; On the demand side, deep processing enterprises have more shun Ji replenishment of warehouses, and the purchase volume of feed enterprises is limited, but some first-class merchants have begun to build warehouses in a timely manner, and the demand for corn has increased slightly; In addition, rain and snow also had a certain impact on the purchase and sale of corn.
In terms of trend prediction, grassroots farmers in Northeast China have been reluctant to sell in the near future, and they have built a small number of warehouses with a cautious attitude. Northern port merchants and some deep processing enterprises raised corn purchases, which may further promote the origin of corn is expected to be in the northeast in the short term. As the weather clears, the effective corn in some parts of North China has increased slightly, and enterprises have adjusted their purchases in a narrow range according to their own arrivals. It may be difficult to increase the sales volume of link purchases, and it is expected that the mainstream transactions in the market may be stable temporarily. At present, it is difficult to have a significant increase in corn in the production area, the spot center of gravity is slightly stronger, and the arrival cost of the sales area is high. Feed enterprises are mainly replenished on demand, and it is expected that corn in the southern region may be strong and finished.
On the whole, the grassroots farmers in the national corn market are not active in selling grain, and the top merchants in the northern ports have raised prices to promote income. In the future, corn may be affected by factors such as tightness, a slight increase in demand, and rain and snow, showing a slight trend. Investors and businessmen should pay close attention to the weather changes in the producing areas, farmers' willingness to sell grain, and the recovery of market demand, so as to flexibly adjust their procurement and sales strategies.
Second, the wheat market
On February 22, the average price of domestic wheat was 281727 yuan ton, compared with the previous trading day**040%。Compared to the previous month, wheat **month-on-month**229%；Compared with the same period last year, the year-on-year increase was **1088%。
In terms of the downstream market, the performance of flour ** yesterday was stable and rising. With the increase of cost pressure, the number of flour manufacturers has increased. In the short term, flour mill operating rates are recovering, and flour** is still relatively tight. Superimpose some downstream appropriate replenishment, and some low-priced flour or tentative upward adjustment**.
Regarding the fundamentals of the wheat market and **, the wheat market ** maintained a strong trend as a whole this week. This is mainly due to the lack of shipment intentions of grain merchants, the increase in the auction premium of old grains, and the poor logistics and transportation caused by snowfall in many places, which jointly supported the rise of wheat**. Zhuochuang Information expects that the wheat market may continue in the short term. However, investors and merchants need to pay close attention to the willingness of grain merchants to ship and the recovery of logistics and transportation, so as to flexibly adjust their procurement and sales strategies.
Overall, on February 22, the average price of domestic wheat rose slightly, flour ** rose steadily, and the market fundamentals were strong. It is expected that there is still room for the wheat market in the short term, but it is necessary to pay attention to the willingness of grain merchants to ship and the recovery of logistics and transportation.
3. Rice market
This week, the rice market showed a divergent trend. Heilongjiang round grain rice** remained stable, and the mainstream ex-factory price was 180-1.95 yuan jin, the average price is the same as the week before the holiday. After the holiday, rice mills gradually resumed work, but some manufacturers said that orders were insufficient, mainly to digest inventory.
In contrast, round grain rice** in Jiangsu has seen a slight increase, and the ex-factory price reference range is 182-1.92 yuan catty, the average price is about 0 compared with the week before the holiday01 yuan catty. This is mainly due to the impact of rain and snow weather and festive atmosphere in Jiangsu producing areas this week, the purchase cost of rice in rice mills has risen, although the price of rice in some producing areas has risen, but the increase has not fully covered the increase in rice costs. It is expected that next week, there is still a possibility that the round grain rice ** of local rice mills will still be narrow and strong.
In the southern indica rice market, ** is dominated by stability. After the holiday, rice mills have opened and resumed work, but the overall market purchase and sales activities are still light. Some producing areas were affected by the weather, and trading was blocked. Currently, mid-to-late Indica rice ** is stable at 198-2.02 yuan catty. The mainstream price of Fengliangyou rice in Anhui is 200-2.10 yuan catty, Hubei Fengliangyou rice mainstream factory ** in 198-2.02 yuan between catties, slightly higher in individual areas.
In terms of the glutinous rice market, glutinous rice in the producing areas maintained a strong trend this week. With the successive opening of first-class merchants and rice mills in the producing areas after the holiday, the trading activity of the rice market has increased. Some farmers are still immersed in the festive atmosphere, and their enthusiasm for selling grain is not high, which has led to a small price increase in some first-class merchants and rice mills to stimulate the purchase of goods. Affected by the cost of rice, glutinous rice also follows. The inventory of glutinous rice in the downstream wholesale market is average, and the on-demand procurement after the festival has formed a support to a certain extent.
On the whole, the rice market shows a trend of stable round grain rice in Heilongjiang, a slight increase in Jiangsu, a thin indica rice market in the south, and a strong glutinous rice. Investors and businessmen should pay close attention to the weather changes in the producing areas, farmers' willingness to sell grain, and the recovery of market demand, so as to flexibly adjust their procurement and sales strategies.
Fourth, the soybean market
Market dynamics: The average price of soybeans in the national market yesterday was 504893 yuan tons, firmly held the position of the previous working day. Due to the lack of momentum in the northeast production area, the purchase and sales enthusiasm of many markets is not high, and the recovery momentum is limited; However, due to widespread rain and snow in the southern market, the purchase and sales activities were cold.
The purchase and sales in the northeast production area are as flat as water, and many places have begun to reduce the purchase **, and the purchase and sales in Heilongjiang Province are stretched; In the southern producing areas, due to weather factors, the purchase and sales activities are also deserted, but the grassroots grain sources in the producing areas are quite sufficient. Although the dealers in the production area, the sales area and some downstream processing enterprises gradually began after the holiday, the resumption rate of downstream processing enterprises is not high, and the rain and snow weather in many places may delay the procurement time. CBOT soybean** has fallen to a low level in nearly three years, and the long-term arrival cost has decreased, which has had a big impact on the mentality of the domestic spot market.
Considering that the snowfall and rainfall in many places in the Northeast and the Huanghuaihai production area have led to a decline in the purchase and sales activity of the producing areas, the grassroots grain sales have not yet been fully launched, and the pace of loading in the producing areas is slightly slow. At the same time, the demand in the sales area and downstream is not strong, and the overall procurement is relatively cautious. As a result, it is expected that today's market** will continue to be predominantly stable.
Investors and businessmen need to pay close attention to the weather changes in the producing areas, farmers' willingness to sell grain, and the recovery of market demand, so as to flexibly adjust their procurement and sales strategies to cope with possible market fluctuations.