With a drone attack on a U.S. air base that resulted in massive loss of life, Biden must make a difficult choice: to curry favor with the belligerent voices of Republicans or to remain mired in the fighting. Whatever he does, U.S. policy toward the Middle East will come to an end.
It is said that the US side is still studying why it failed to stop the drone attack; Initial investigations showed that an American unmanned reconnaissance plane was about to return home when it suddenly turned off its defenses, giving the enemy an opportunity to take advantage of it. Biden had to react to this, he made a stern statement at the beginning, and later he asked all the ** personnel to repeat their words, declaring that "there is no intention of war with Iran".
This is unpleasant for Republicans. Congressman Graham advocated "striking at any target in Iran," while Cotton insisted that "the only way is to deliver a devastating strike on Iran," while Trump even caricatured Biden as "a symbol of cowardice, surrender, tragedy." ”
The attitude of Republicans is like that of many spectators, they just love to watch the drama and are not worried that things will get bigger; But Biden knows that a direct collision with Iran is the worst outcome. The United States is not prepared for this, and even then it will face a far worse problem than Iraq and Syria, and Iran is not a weak power to bully.
The United States has declared that it will seek a new balance: on the one hand, it will show the deterrent effect of the American ** team to prevent the recurrence of such a situation, and on the other hand, it will also prevent "escalation"; According to information provided by Bloomberg, there are now two options that the White House considers the most important: one is to deliver a covert blow to Iran's regional interests; The second is to intimidate Iran and assassinate some important military and political figures in Iran.
Once the US team launches an attack on Iran, whether overt or covert, Iran will certainly retaliate, thus making the situation in the region even more tense.
Let us recall when the Shiite militants in the Middle East attacked American military bases? Did the Palestinian-Israeli war break out? No. Before the U.S. assassination of Soleimani, the biggest adversary was a terrorist group; Since Soleimani was killed by the United States, Shiite militants such as the Iraqi Defense of Liberation Organization have targeted the American team.
Therefore, no matter how careful Biden is, tensions in the region will further increase when the US military dies and when the US military responds; Unless Biden completely surrenders, leaves behind a cruel word, and then withdraws and lets the "Kabul" incident happen again. At that time, the prestige of the US side will be gone.
Biden has no way to deal with Iran, but he has ambitions to make a mess of the Middle East. The Palestinian-Israeli dispute continues to intensify, and the most important thing is that the United States has unlimited tolerance and has sent a large number of arms and munitions to Israel, so that it has the courage to continue fighting; The reason why the Red Sea incident has become so intense is also largely because Biden did not weigh the stakes and only carried out a simple air strike from the conceptual point of view, which led to a fierce counterattack by the Houthis; Now, the U.S. ** team itself is also deeply involved, and claims that it "doesn't want the situation to deteriorate further"? Joke!
The purpose of the United States in deliberately stirring up trouble in the Middle East is also obvious. There is no doubt that U.S. diplomacy in the Middle East has reached a dead end, and its influence in the region is waning; As long as the Middle East is in chaos, the United States can once again see an opportunity for China to exert influence in the Middle East through the Belt and Road Initiative.
Biden has ill intentions, and the US team may have been ready for this kind of complete disruption of the Middle East.